The US dollar is weakly strengthening against the euro at auction on Monday, depreciating against the pound sterling.
The yen against the dollar, which jumped at the beginning of the session, again moved to the decline.
The ICE-calculated index showing the dynamics of the dollar against six currencies (the euro, the Swiss franc, the yen, the Canadian dollar, the pound sterling and the Swedish krona) adds less than 0.1%, the broader WSJ Dollar Index – 0.25%.
The euro/dollar pair is trading at $0.9855 as of 9:15 p.m. compared to $0.9864 at the market close on Friday
The pound sterling has risen in price by this time to $1.1375 in comparison with $1.1304 following the results of the previous auctions. The pound strengthens after the refusal of former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to fight for the post of leader of the Conservative Party and, accordingly, the head of the British government.
This gives ex-Finance Minister Rishi Sunak a good chance of winning, the Financial Times notes.
The dollar/yen pair was trading at 148.93 yen as of 9:15 a.m. versus 147.68 yen at market close on Friday. At the beginning of the session, the dollar fell to 145.53 yen, but then again turned to growth.
On Friday, the US currency fell 0.72% against the yen, which the Nikkei newspaper attributed to the intervention of the Japanese authorities in the foreign exchange market.
Japan’s Finance Minister Shun’ichi Suzuki said on Monday that the Japanese government would take the necessary measures to prevent “excessive exchange rate fluctuations.”
He declined to say whether there were interventions on Friday and Monday.
The dollar against the yen on Friday rose to 151.94 yen – the highest since July 1990.
The dollar against the yuan edged up to 7.2535 yuan from 7.2438 yuan despite stronger than expected Chinese GDP data.
China’s GDP in the third quarter increased by 3.9% in annual terms after rising by 0.4% in April-June. The consensus forecast of experts polled by Trading Economics called for growth of 3.4%.
The US dollar is getting cheaper against the euro and the pound sterling at the auctions on Monday, it is stable against the yen.
The ICE-calculated index, which shows the dynamics of the dollar against six currencies (the euro, the Swiss franc, the yen, the Canadian dollar, the pound sterling and the Swedish krona), is losing 0.29%, the broader WSJ Dollar Index – 0.27%.
The euro/dollar is trading at $0.9750 compared to $0.9722 at the market close on Friday.
The rate of the American currency against the yen is 148.72 yen against 148.75 yen following the results of the previous session.
The pound rose to $1.1272 from $1.1183. On Friday, British Prime Minister Liz Truss fired Chancellor of the Exchequer Quasi Kwarteng, appointing Jeremy Hunt to the post.
According to the Financial Times, several British Conservative MPs and prominent figures from the City of London are calling for Truss herself to step down as prime minister after controversial economic decisions that undermined her credibility.
Britain’s new finance minister told the BBC last Sunday, speaking of the possibility of winding down any of the government’s recent stimulus measures, that “nothing is out of the question.”
Later on Monday, Hunt intends to make a statement regarding the country’s medium-term budget.
The dollar rose against the yuan during trading to 7.1996 yuan from 7.1910 yuan at market close on Friday. Chinese President Xi Jinping, speaking at the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which opened on Sunday, signaled that the country’s authorities would continue their tough policy to contain the spread of COVID-19, which has already seriously weakened the country’s economy this year.
US dollar is stable against the euro, strengthening against the yen and the pound sterling on Friday.
The ICE-calculated index, which shows the dynamics of the dollar against six currencies (the euro, the Swiss franc, the yen, the Canadian dollar, the pound sterling and the Swedish krona), adds 0.03% during trading, the broader WSJ Dollar Index loses 0.02%.
The data of the US Department of Labor published the day before showed a weaker-than-expected slowdown in inflation. The CPI rose in September by 8.2% against the same month last year – the lowest rate in seven months. Experts polled by Trading Economics predicted, on average, a slowdown in inflation to 8.1% from 8.3% in August.
Meanwhile, core inflation, excluding the cost of food and energy (Core CPI) accelerated in September to the highest since August 1982 6.6% in annual terms from 6.3% a month earlier.
Published statistical data have strengthened investors in the opinion that the Federal Reserve System (Fed) will continue the rapid tightening of monetary policy. Now traders are waiting for a sharp rise in the rate of the US Central Bank at each of the two remaining meetings of this year, Bloomberg notes.
The euro/dollar pair is trading at $0.9781 compared to $0.9780 at the close of the previous session.
The US currency against the yen is 147.45 yen against 147.22 yen at the close of the market on Thursday.
The pound fell to $1.1322 from $1.1331 the day before.
British Treasury Secretary Kwazi Kwarteng left Washington, where he was meeting with representatives of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), a day earlier than planned. Experts believe that he may abandon part of the tax cuts he announced earlier in order to prevent an economic crisis in the country, the Financial Times writes.
The newspaper’s sources note that the IMF and finance ministers of several other countries recommended that he quickly abandon plans for tax cuts in order to avoid financial problems in the economy.
The dollar is moderately declining against the euro, but growing against the Japanese yen, renewing its maximum value in 24 years.
The ICE-calculated index, which shows the performance of the US dollar against six currencies (the euro, Swiss franc, yen, Canadian dollar, pound sterling and the Swedish krona), is practically unchanged on Wednesday morning, as is the broader WSJ Dollar.
The euro/dollar pair is trading at $0.9721 by 8:52 p.m. compared to $0.9707 at the close of the session on Tuesday, the euro adds about 0.1%.
Meanwhile, the rate of the American currency against the yen rose by almost 0.3% and amounted to 146.25 yen compared to 145.86 yen the day before. This is the highest rate since August 1998. The last time the yen fell to a 24-year low at the end of September, after which the Japanese Ministry of Finance intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the national currency.
The dollar is strengthening against the yen due to mixed monetary policy rates: while the Fed is actively raising interest rates, the Bank of Japan continues to adhere to extremely soft monetary policy.
The pound rose 0.4% to $1.1012 compared to $1.0968 at the close of the previous session.
Traders are evaluating conflicting signals about the Bank of England’s emergency government bond purchase program.
British Central Bank Chairman Andrew Bailey said that the regulator will complete the purchase of bonds on Friday, as planned. “The essence of interventions to stabilize financial markets is partly that this is a temporary phenomenon,” he said.
However, the Financial Times then wrote, citing three anonymous sources, that the Central Bank privately hinted to representatives of some banks about the possibility of extending the bond purchase program in order to protect UK pension funds from losses.
The dollar is moderately rising against a basket of major world currencies on Tuesday morning, strengthening for the fifth session in a row on expectations of new rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
The ICE-calculated index, which shows the dynamics of the US dollar against six currencies (the euro, the Swiss franc, the yen, the Canadian dollar, the pound sterling and the Swedish krona), is growing by 0.24%, the broader WSJ Dollar – by 0.22%.
The euro/dollar pair is trading at $0.9687 by 8:53 pm compared to $0.9704 at the close of the session on Monday, the euro is losing about 0.2%.
The exchange rate of the US currency against the yen is 145.79 yen compared to 145.72 yen the day before, keeping close to the highest level in 24 years, which provokes expectations of new interventions to support the yen from the Japanese government.
The pound fell 0.3% to $1.1028 compared to $1.1057 at the close of the previous session.
By the beginning of next year, the level of the key interest rate in the US may slightly exceed 4.5%, according to the chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank (FRB) of Chicago, Charles Evans. According to him, the Fed will need to keep rates high for some time to cool the economy and the labor market.
Meanwhile, Fed Vice Chair Leil Brainard on the eve noted the need for tightening monetary policy to slow inflation, but added that the central bank’s decisions would depend on incoming statistical data.
The dollar also supports the demand for defensive assets, which increased after the speeches of the heads of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank. In a joint event on Monday, they warned of rising risks of a global recession amid slower growth in advanced economies, record inflation and rising interest rates.
The IMF estimates that countries that account for about a third of global GDP will face at least two quarters of economic decline this year and next, and by the end of 2026 the global economy will lose about $4 trillion.
The US dollar is stable against major world currencies on Friday morning ahead of the publication of data on the US labor market.
The ICE-calculated index showing the dynamics of the US dollar against six currencies (the euro, the Swiss franc, the yen, the Canadian dollar, the pound sterling and the Swedish krona), as of 8:20 am CST, fell by 0.05%, the broader WSJ Dollar – by 0 .04%.
The euro/dollar pair is trading at $0.9799 compared to $0.9793 at the close of the session on Thursday, the euro adds about 0.06%.
The exchange rate of the US currency against the Japanese is 145 yen compared to 145.14 yen the day before. The so-called offshore yuan (traded in Hong Kong) dropped against the dollar to 7.1022 yuan per $1 from 7.0853/$1 the day before.
The pound rose 0.02% to $1.1164 compared to $1.1162 at the close of the previous session.
The market is waiting for the publication of data on unemployment in the US for September, which may indicate the “health” of the country’s labor market and determine the expectations of traders regarding the further trajectory of monetary policy.
Experts believe that the unemployment rate in the country in September remained at the August mark of 3.7%, and the number of new jobs increased by 250 thousand, writes Trading Economics. The report of the Ministry of Labor will be published at 15:30 CST.
