Record price growth
In 2025, gold reached historic highs, exceeding $3,500 per ounce, which is 28% higher than at the beginning of the year. This growth is driven by global economic and political factors, including:
US trade tariffs: the introduction of 10% tariffs on imports caused economic uncertainty, stimulating demand for gold as a safe asset.
Central bank purchases: active accumulation of gold, especially by Asian countries, increased demand.
Political instability: conflicts and sanctions have prompted investors to seek stable assets.
Analysts predict further growth in gold prices:
Goldman Sachs: up to $3,700 by the end of 2025.
JP Morgan: may exceed $4,000 in the second quarter of 2026.
Gov Capital: in an optimistic scenario, up to $4,631 by December 2025.
Investment bank Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for the gold price at the end of 2025 to $3,700 per ounce, up $400 from its previous estimate. The bank’s analysts expect that amid growing recessionary risks and stronger demand from central banks, the price of gold could range from $3,650 to $3,950 per ounce. In the event of negative scenarios, such as an economic downturn in the United States, the price could reach $4,500 per ounce.
Historical dynamics of gold prices over the past 10 years.
2015-2018: The gold price remained in the range of $1,100-$1,300 per ounce.
2019-2020: Growth to $1,500-$2,000 per ounce amid global economic uncertainties.
2021-2022: Stabilization in the range of $1,800-$1,900 per ounce.
2023-2024: Gradual increase to $2,400 per ounce.
2025: Reaching record levels exceeding $3,200 per ounce.
Gold prices traditionally rise during periods of geopolitical instability and economic crises, as investors view the metal as a safe haven asset.
The rise in gold prices continues on Friday afternoon due to concerns about the global economic outlook and the falling dollar. Quotes of June gold futures on the Comex exchange by 12:30 a.m. rise by 2.2% to $3,246.2 per troy ounce. Earlier in the day, an ounce was worth $3,255.9, which is a record high in history.
On the spot market, quotes reached $3,234 per ounce.
The dollar index DXY, which shows the dynamics of the dollar against the six major world currencies, fell by more than 1% to a minimum since the beginning of 2022 due to weakening confidence in US assets in the context of the trade war, Trading Economics notes.
A cheap dollar makes gold more attractive to holders of other currencies.
Earlier this week, the United States eased its position on duties on most countries, giving them 90 days to negotiate to eliminate problems in bilateral trade. At the same time, duties on China were raised to 145%. On Friday, China retaliated by raising tariffs on American goods to 125%.
An escalation of the trade conflict between the world’s two largest economies could lead to a global recession, analysts say. In such circumstances, investors are showing increased interest in safe-haven assets, including gold.
“We believe that gold will continue to rally, and in a favorable scenario, prices could rise to $3,400-3,500 per ounce in the coming months,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.
A Ukrainian woman has won the individual all-around at the opening round of the World Cup in rhythmic gymnastics in Sofia, the National Olympic Committee of Ukraine has announced.
From April 4 to 6, the Bulgarian capital Sofia is hosting the opening stage of the World Cup in rhythmic gymnastics as part of the new competition season. Ukraine is represented at the tournament by two gymnasts in the individual competition and the national team in group exercises.
Taisiya Onofriichuk, a participant of the Paris Olympics, won the individual all-around. She was 3.8 points ahead of her closest rival from Bulgaria and won a gold medal at the World Cup for the first time in her career.
This is the 16-year-old Ukrainian’s fourth consecutive victory in the all-around this season, having previously won gold three times at the Grand Prix.
The price of gold has exceeded $3,110 per ounce for the first time, and silver is trading at its highest level in 13 years due to increased investor interest in safe-haven assets amid tense global trade, Trading Economics reports.
US President Donald Trump is expected to unveil a plan on Wednesday to increase import duties on products from a number of countries.
Quotes of April gold contracts on the Comex exchange on Monday rose by 1% to $3118 per ounce. Since the beginning of this year, the rise is about 18%, a record quarterly increase since 1986.
Goldman Sachs analysts expect prices to reach $3300 per ounce by the end of the year.
Silver rose by 0.6% to $34,855 per ounce.
On Wednesday, the most actively traded gold futures hit a record high as investors avoided risk amid heightened geopolitical tensions and the situation around tariffs. April gold futures are up 0.1% during trading on Wednesday and are trading at $3045 per ounce. At the same time, quotes reached $3052.5 per ounce during the session.
Since the beginning of the year, the price of gold has risen by 14.6%, over the past 12 months – by 34.1%.
Israel has launched the deadliest strike on Gaza since the ceasefire in the conflict with Hamas and warned that this is “just the beginning,” Trading Economics writes.
Meanwhile, US tariffs, including a 25 percent levy on steel and aluminum, have increased tensions in global trade, and Washington’s counter duties on imports from countries that impose duties on US goods are due to take effect in early April.
“It is planned to impose duties on April 2,” the White House said.
“Unless customs and non-customs barriers are equalized or US duties are higher, these duties will go into effect,” Reuters quoted a White House official as saying.
In addition, on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will summarize the results of its regular meeting, which, along with the interest rate decision, will release new forecasts for the US economy.
