As of September 29, Ukrainian farmers had harvested 34.3 million metric tons of grain and legumes from 7.1 million hectares, or 61% of the projected area, according to the press service of the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food.
The average yield for grains and legumes is 48.2 centners per hectare.
The harvest of wheat, barley, and peas has already been completed. A total of 26 million metric tons of wheat were harvested from 5.11 million hectares at an average yield of 50.8 centners per hectare; barley—6.6 million metric tons from 1.48 million hectares (44.6 tsentner per hectare), and peas—812,300 metric tons from 301,900 hectares (26.9 tsentner per hectare).
Corn harvests totaled 789,000 metric tons from 153,300 hectares at a yield of 51.5 centners per hectare; millet—75,400 metric tons from 32,800 hectares (23 centners per hectare); and buckwheat—44,700 metric tons from 34,700 hectares (13 centners per hectare).
The largest volumes of grains and legumes were harvested by farmers in the Odesa region—5.6 million metric tons, the Dnipropetrovsk region—2.76 million metric tons, and the Mykolaiv region—2.65 million metric tons.
At the same time, farmers harvested over 8.4 million metric tons of oilseeds. In particular, the rapeseed harvest is complete—3.87 million metric tons were harvested from 1.33 million hectares at a yield of 29.1 centners per hectare. Sunflower seeds yielded 3.36 million metric tons from 1.66 million hectares (20.3 centners per hectare), and soybeans yielded 1.22 million metric tons from 571,400 hectares (21.3 centners per hectare).
The sugar beet harvest is ongoing: 296,500 metric tons have been harvested from 5,800 hectares at an average yield of 511.2 centners per hectare.
Yevgen Osipov, CEO of the agricultural holding “Kernel,” anticipates—in a stress scenario—a 12-million-metric-ton decline in grain production in Ukraine next year due to a possible reduction in planted acreage by farmers, if no solution is found within the next six months to resume exports, according to a correspondent for the Interfax-Ukraine news agency.
“It is difficult to make such forecasts today. We hope that some solutions will be found in the next six months. If no practical solution is found, then, objectively speaking, the area under cultivation will be reduced. In such a stress scenario, we estimated this would result in a shortfall of 12 million metric tons of grain next year,” he said at the “Forbes Ukraine” Economic Resilience Forum in Kyiv on Wednesday.
According to Osipov, with seaports closed, Ukraine will be able to export only about 20 million metric tons of the 50 million metric tons of agricultural products needed—that is, 40% of the required volume—so companies are having to pivot to other business models.
“Based on our own experience with the most recent export corridors, about 50% of the operations were inefficient; we need to find new ways. Because right now, for businesses, it’s a matter of building a new business model. In other words, the old business model doesn’t work there anymore. That’s why, for our part, we’re focusing on processing and exporting processed products,” Osipov noted.
According to him, under its new business model, “Kernel” is focusing on exporting smaller volumes of products with higher added value, while retaining the ability to purchase oilseeds from Ukrainian farmers, pay them, and export processed products.
Osipov also added that, due to security and logistical constraints as well as external factors, it is currently not realistic to expect that the Danube ports will be able to handle the same volume of shipments that Ukraine had in 2022–2023.
As previously reported, in its September report, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) raised its estimate for this year’s wheat production in Ukraine by 0.6 million metric tons compared to the August forecast—to 26 million metric tons—and its estimate for other grains (excluding wheat and corn) by 0.5 million metric tons, to 7.29 million metric tons, and maintained its corn production forecast at 31.8 million metric tons. Thus, the USDA estimates Ukraine’s total grain production this year at 65.09 million metric tons.
From September 1 to 21, 2026, Ukraine exported 1.6 million metric tons of agricultural products, which represents 43% of the volume that would have been exported had the logistics system been operating at full capacity, Minister of Agrarian Policy and Food Taras Vysotsky said at a briefing on Thursday.
He specified that 275,000 metric tons of oilseeds were shipped abroad, or 75% of the volume that would have been exported under normal logistics conditions; 190,000 metric tons of oil (55%); 173,000 metric tons of meal (41%); while grain exports totaled 960,000 metric tons (38%).
“We see that the share of grains (compared to potential volumes – IF-U) is the smallest, and, accordingly, the share of oilseeds, oil, and meal is larger. Therefore, yes, as of today, the priority remains on exporting value-added products,” Vysotsky said.
As reported, during the first 15 days of September, Ukraine exported 131,000 metric tons of oil, which accounted for 62% of the volume that would have been exported during this period if the ports had been operating freely.
As of September 21, Ukraine had exported 4.662 million metric tons of grains and legumes since the start of the 2026/27 marketing year (MY, July 2026 – June 2027), had exported 4.662 million metric tons of grains and legumes as of September 21, which is 22% less than the 5.979 million metric tons recorded as of September 24, 2025, according to the press service of the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food.
At the same time, corn exports rose by 103.4%—to 1.841 million metric tons, compared to 905,000 metric tons as of September 24, 2025.
Wheat exports since the start of the 2026/27 marketing year totaled 2.337 million metric tons, a 43.9% decrease compared to 4.168 million metric tons as of September 24, 2025. Barley exports totaled 420,000 metric tons, down 46.9% from last year’s figure of 791,000 metric tons.
Wheat flour exports since the start of the 2026/27 marketing year totaled 6,800 metric tons, down 48.9% from 13,300 metric tons as of September 24, 2025. Exports of other types of flour remained at 0.6 thousand metric tons. Overall, flour exports fell by 46.8%—to 7.4 thousand metric tons, compared to 13.9 thousand metric tons as of September 24, 2025.
As of September 22, Ukrainian farmers had threshed 7 million hectares, or 61% of the projected area, according to the press service of the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food.
The gross harvest of grains and legumes totaled 32.95 million metric tons, with an average yield of 47 ts/ha.
Wheat harvests totaled 25.31 million metric tons from 5.11 million hectares at an average yield of 49.5 centners per hectare, while barley harvests totaled 6.39 million metric tons from 1.48 million hectares at a yield of 43.3 centners per hectare. The harvest of these crops is complete.
Peas were harvested at 812,200 metric tons from an area of 301,900 hectares, with an average yield of 26.9 centners per hectare; millet—62,200 metric tons from 26,900 hectares, with a yield of 23.2 centners per hectare; buckwheat—37,100 metric tons from 26,600 hectares at a yield of 13.9 centners per hectare, and corn—339,800 metric tons from 67,900 hectares at a yield of 50 centners per hectare.
Farmers in the southern and central regions harvested the largest volumes of grain. In the Odesa region, 4.83 million metric tons of grain were harvested from an area of 1.19 million hectares; in the Dnipropetrovsk region, 2.72 million metric tons from 663,300 hectares; and in the Kirovohrad region, 2.43 million metric tons from 561,000 hectares.
The highest average grain yields were recorded in farms in the Khmelnytskyi region (70.6 centners per hectare), the Sumy region (60.6 centners per hectare), and the Kyiv region (55.8 centners per hectare).
More than 6 million metric tons of oilseeds were harvested from approximately 2.4 million hectares. In particular, the rapeseed harvest has been completed, with 3.857 million metric tons harvested from 1.33 million hectares at a yield of 29 centners per hectare.
Sunflower seeds totaled 1.5 million metric tons from 756,200 hectares—or 14% of the projected area—at a yield of 19.8 centners per hectare.
Soybeans totaled 655,400 metric tons from 327,600 hectares—or 21% of the projected area—at a yield of 20 centners per hectare.
Farmers have also begun harvesting sugar beets. 19.3 thousand metric tons have been harvested from an area of 0.45 thousand hectares, with an average yield of 428.9 centners per hectare.
In September, the U.S. Department of Agriculture raised its forecast for feed grain production in Ukraine for the 2026/27 marketing year by 0.5 million metric tons—to 39.09 million metric tons, according to data from the WASDE report.
The USDA includes corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains in this category. Since the corn production forecast for Ukraine remained unchanged at 31.8 million metric tons, production of other feed grains is estimated at approximately 7.29 million metric tons, compared with about 6.79 million metric tons in the August forecast.
The USDA explicitly states that in September it raised its estimate for barley production in Ukraine, as well as in Australia and Kazakhstan.
At the same time, the forecast for total feed grain exports from Ukraine has been lowered from 24.27 million metric tons to 23.77 million metric tons. Since corn exports are still estimated at 22 million metric tons, other feed grains account for about 1.77 million metric tons of exports, which is 0.5 million metric tons less than the August estimate.
Total domestic consumption of feed grains in Ukraine has been raised from 11.24 million metric tons to 11.34 million metric tons, while the forecast for ending stocks has been raised from 7.13 million metric tons to 8.63 million metric tons.
This figure of 8.63 million metric tons includes corn, for which the USDA estimates ending stocks at 5.46 million metric tons. Consequently, the remaining feed crops account for approximately 3.17 million metric tons of ending stocks.
The increase in production, coupled with a downward revision of the export forecast, suggests that grain supply in Ukraine’s domestic market is likely to rise in the 2026/27 marketing year.
Source: USDA WASDE-675, published on September 11, 2026: official USDA report
