“Kernel, one of Ukraine’s largest agricultural holdings, intends to strategically adjust its crop mix for the 2025 harvest during the spring sowing campaign to align with its more sustainable practices that were maintained before the full-scale war in Ukraine.
According to the quarterly report published on the company’s website on Friday, Kernel plans to allocate about 168 thousand hectares for corn, which is twice as much as in the 2024 season and will account for 49% of its total production area.
At the same time, the agroholding plans to reduce sunflower acreage by 34%, to 44 thou hectares (or 13% of the crop structure). The agricultural holding explained this decision by further optimizing land use and restoring long-term agronomic sustainability.
“In 2025, Kernel will also reduce its soybean acreage to 27 thou hectares, while a year earlier it had 72 thou hectares under soybeans.
“As of the date of the report, winter crops – including 95 thou hectares of winter wheat and 3.45 thou hectares of rapeseed – are in generally good condition, with no significant risks beyond the usual seasonal factors at this stage,” the agricultural holding summarized.
Kernel is the world’s largest exporter of sunflower oil, one of the largest producers and sellers of bottled oil in Ukraine. In addition, it is engaged in the cultivation and sale of agricultural products.
In FY2024, Kernel’s net profit decreased by 44% compared to FY2023 to $167.95 million, while revenue increased by 4% to $3.581 billion and EBITDA decreased by 30% to $381 million.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has lowered its forecast for Ukraine’s grain production by 13% and exports by 26% due to the country’s depleted stocks.
According to the February forecast, the country’s ending grain stocks in the 2024-2025 marketing year (MY, July-June) are estimated at 1.8 million tons, up 19% from last year, but significantly lower than before the large-scale invasion in February 2022.
The EU will remain an important destination for Ukraine given its liberalized trade policy and geographical proximity. At the same time, Ukrainian exporters continue to regain their traditional markets, made possible by the efficient operation of the Black Sea ports, the report says.
According to the USDA, the wheat harvest in 2024/25 MY in Ukraine will amount to 22.9 mln tons, which is the same as last year, but its exports will decrease by 19% to 15 mln tons. The barley harvest will be 3% lower than in the season-2023/24, and is estimated at 5.9 million tons, while exports will amount to 2.6 million tons. The forecast for rye production was lowered by 18% to 190 thousand tons.
Rye has become a niche crop for Ukrainian farmers, so its production and exports can vary significantly from year to year, the USDA said.
The USDA forecasts the largest reduction in corn, the production of which will decrease by 24% compared to 2023/24 MY – to 24.6 mln tons, while exports will fall by 33% – to 19.6 mln tons. The ending stocks of the grain are forecasted at 722 thsd tonnes, up slightly from the previous year, but significantly lower than the 2.8 mln tonnes that were in reserve at the end of the 2022/23 season.
The agricultural production department of one of the largest grain market operators in Ukraine, Nibulon JV LLC, has fertilized winter crops on 7820 hectares, which is 48.3% of the total area planted for the 2025 harvest, the agricultural holding’s press service reports on Facebook.
“Currently, we are actively applying ammonium nitrate, one of the most effective nitrogen fertilizers that provides plants with the necessary macronutrients for healthy growth and development. Timely application of this fertilizer significantly affects the final yield of winter crops,” the agricultural holding explained.
Nibulon plans to fertilize a total area of 16.2 thou hectares with ammonium nitrate, including 8.6 thou hectares of winter wheat and 7.6 thou hectares of winter rapeseed. In addition to ammonium nitrate, ammonium sulfate will be added to improve plant nutrition efficiency.
Currently, winter crops have been fertilized on a total area of 7,820 hectares, including 5,602 hectares in Mykolaiv cluster, 1,970 hectares in Central cluster and 248 hectares in Kamianets-Podilskyi cluster.
After fertilizing winter crops, the fields will be harrowed and plant protection products will be applied.
“The implementation of these agrotechnical measures in the complex will ensure the creation of optimal conditions for the growth and development of winter crops, which, in turn, will help to increase their yield and maintain high quality products,” the agricultural holding summarized.
Nibulon JV LLC was established in 1991. Prior to the Russian military invasion, the grain trader had 27 transshipment terminals and crop reception complexes, a capacity for simultaneous storage of 2.25 million tons of agricultural products, a fleet of 83 vessels (including 23 tugs), and owned the Mykolaiv Shipyard.
“Before the war, Nibulon cultivated 82 thousand hectares of land in 12 regions of Ukraine and exported agricultural products to more than 70 countries. In 2021, the grain trader exported the highest ever volume of 5.64 million tons of agricultural products, reaching record volumes of supplies to foreign markets in August – 0.7 million tons, in the fourth quarter – 1.88 million tons, and in the second half of the year – 3.71 million tons.
Nibulon’s losses due to Russia’s full-scale military invasion in 2022 exceeded $416 million.
Currently, the grain trader is operating at 32% of capacity, has created a special unit to clear agricultural land of mines, and was forced to move its headquarters from Mykolaiv to Kyiv.
Ukraine’s grain harvest in 2025-2026 marketing year will be at the level of 55-65 million tons, grain exports – 40-50 million tons, and oilseeds harvest will also exceed last year’s and is expected to be at the level of 24 million tons, predicts Sergiy Feofilov, general director of information and analytical agency UkrAgroConsult.
“Rapeseed and sunflower will remain the most marginal, while corn will show stable margin growth due to the recovery of demand,” he explained in an interview published on the agency’s website.
The expert believes that in 2025 agrarians will emphasize the development of processing and increase exports of value-added products (oil, meal, flour, fodder), which will reduce dependence on logistics costs and increase revenues.
According to Feofilov, the focus of trade will shift to North Africa, Asia and the Middle East, where demand for grains and oilseeds is growing, and Ukraine can respond to these challenges by expanding its markets.
The head of “UkrAgroConsult” expressed confidence that this year the key issues for Ukrainian farmers will remain the increase in the share of high value-added products in exports, trends in the growth of lending to farms, adaptation of agricultural technologies to climate change, rising prices for resources and increasing number of sudden requests.
The issues of security, energy independence, increasing the profitability of farmers, adaptation to environmental standards, harmonization of Ukrainian legislation to European legislation, international cooperation, restoration and improvement of logistics chains will also be relevant, summarized Feofilov.
In 2024, one of the largest grain market operators in Ukraine, Nibulon JV LLC, harvested 260 thsd tonnes of grain, up 100 thsd tonnes (62.5%) from a year earlier, the agricultural holding’s press service reported on Facebook.
“This season, Nibulon has positive dynamics of gross grain harvest compared to previous years. This is due to the implemented organizational changes, changes in the structure of sown areas, production technologies and a complete rethinking of the company’s agricultural sector,” explained Oleg Veselov, Director of Agricultural Production at the agricultural holding.
According to him, 14 production branches have been reorganized into four clusters, and the company has switched from traditional (plow) to lean technologies (Strip-Till, Mini-till). The structure of sown areas was completely reorganized: winter crops were moved to the southern cluster, where they have no alternative, and high-yielding corn and soybeans were moved to the central and western clusters.
“This made it possible to increase yields, use available resources more efficiently, and reduce the number of technological operations, which in turn led to a decrease in fuel consumption and a reduction in harmful emissions,” Veselov emphasized.
Nibulon noted that the agricultural machinery purchased in the 2024 season operated with 30% higher productivity and was controlled by monitoring systems. The agricultural holding was also able to integrate yield data into the Cropwise monitoring system online and respond quickly to changes, which helped to increase crop productivity.
Nibulon JV LLC was established in 1991. Prior to the Russian military invasion, the grain trader had 27 transshipment terminals and crop reception complexes, a one-time storage capacity of 2.25 million tons of agricultural products, a fleet of 83 vessels (including 23 tugs), and owned the Mykolaiv Shipyard.
“Before the war, Nibulon cultivated 82 thousand hectares of land in 12 regions of Ukraine and exported agricultural products to more than 70 countries. In 2021, the grain trader exported the highest ever 5.64 million tons of agricultural products, reaching record volumes of supplies to foreign markets in August – 0.7 million tons, in the fourth quarter – 1.88 million tons, and in the second half of the year – 3.71 million tons.
Nibulon’s losses due to Russia’s full-scale military invasion in 2022 exceeded $416 million.
Currently, the grain trader is operating at 32% of capacity, has created a special unit to clear agricultural land of mines, and was forced to move its headquarters from Mykolaiv to Kyiv.
Agrotrade has completed sowing winter wheat for the 2025 harvest in the fields of Poltava, Chernihiv, Kharkiv and Sumy regions, covering a total of 14.6 thousand hectares, the company’s press service reports.
According to the report, the work went according to plan and all areas have sprouts. In the fields where winter crops were sown early, the plants are already highly developed. And where the crops were sown in the optimal periods, they are in the early stages of development.
“To reduce the cost of growing technology, we have changed our approach to choosing a predecessor crop. Previously, we sowed large areas of winter wheat where we grew winter rape. Under these conditions, it requires herbicide and insecticide protection, which costs about $42-47 per hectare. This year, we reduced such crops and planted soybeans and sunflower on the main area. This way we reduced the cost of autumn wheat protection,” said Oleksandr Ovsyanyk, Director of Agrotrade’s Agricultural Department.
The agricultural holding also implemented all measures related to technological control of sowing. The Online Agricultural Operations Management Center monitored the quality parameters of field work: sowing depth, seeding rate and fertilizer application, speed of machinery, and compliance with field contours to achieve high quality sowing and avoid resource overruns.
We remind you that winter wheat ranks first in terms of area among all crops grown by the group.
As reported, on August 13, Agrotrade started the sowing campaign of winter crops for the 2025 harvest, allocating 27.9 thou hectares for the crops. The area under winter rapeseed increased by 1.3 thou hectares compared to last year to 12.5 thou hectares.
The Agrotrade Group is a vertically integrated holding company with a full agro-industrial cycle (production, processing, storage and trade of agricultural products). It cultivates over 70 thousand hectares of land in Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava and Kharkiv regions. Its main crops are sunflower, corn, winter wheat, soybeans and rapeseed. It has its own network of elevators with a simultaneous storage capacity of 570 thousand tons.
The group also produces hybrid seeds of corn and sunflower, barley, and winter wheat. In 2014, a seed plant with a capacity of 20 thousand tons of seeds per year was built on the basis of Kolos seed farm (Kharkiv region). In 2018, Agrotrade launched its own brand Agroseeds on the market.
Vsevolod Kozhemiako is the founder and CEO of Agrotrade.
