In Ukraine, the area under potatoes in the 2025 season increased by 25% compared to last year, and thanks to favorable weather conditions, the yield was also a quarter higher, so it can be assumed that the harvest of Ukrainians’ second bread is 50% higher than last year, said Mykola Furdyga, director of the Potato Institute.
“It is very easy to calculate how much potatoes we produce. If the average farm price is 8 UAH/kg, and last year it was 20 UAH/kg, then I think we have 50% more production: production areas have expanded by 25% and the harvest has increased by 25% thanks to weather conditions,“ he said at the conference ”The state of development of the potato industry and the potential of processing enterprises in Volyn.”
Furdyga noted that Ukraine does not need such a volume of grown potatoes even in the case of deep processing (into chips and starch – IF-U).
Commenting on Ukraine’s import of more than 123,000 tons of potatoes in the 2024-2025 marketing year, the scientist explained that this record volume of sales abroad was caused by the unusual weather conditions of 2024 (Ukraine experienced a “record” drought – IF-U). Therefore, the state was forced to import potatoes to meet domestic food needs. European countries willingly supplied Ukraine with products due to their attractive price. At the same time, potatoes from Egypt did not dominate the market, but occupied their traditional niche in the off-season (February-March – IF-U), he noted.
In addition, Ukraine traditionally imports seed potatoes from leading breeding companies in the European Union, the director of the Potato Institute recalled.
Furdyga stated that since the beginning of the war, there has been a trend in Ukraine toward a reduction in potato cultivation in households and an expansion of production areas for this crop in farms and even in agricultural holdings. He explained this trend by the departure of the population from villages abroad and mobilization.
“For example, in Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr regions, there are villages where households used to plant 30 hectares of potatoes, and now if they plant 2 hectares, that’s still good,” he said, adding that potato cultivation is becoming unprofitable and labor-intensive for households.
Furdyga estimated the share of domestic potato varieties in national production at around 10-12%, given that they are mainly grown by small producers and households.
“Of course, we would like to have a larger market share, but this is the situation at the moment. I can only boast that in the 2025 season, domestic varieties were grown by the farms of Biotech Ltd. and Brovary Kartoplya Ltd. in the Kyiv region and STOV Desna in the Chernihiv region. In total, they propagated domestic varieties for further sale on an area of about 300 hectares,” said the director of the Potato Institute.
As reported, in 2024, due to unfavorable weather conditions and, in particular, drought, Ukraine’s potato harvest was 18% lower, i.e., by 4 million tons, to approximately 17.36 million tons, compared to 21.36 million tons in 2023.
Kernel, one of Ukraine’s largest agricultural holdings, exported 1.3 million tons of grain in July-September 2026 (FY, July 2025-June 2026) exported 1.3 million tons of grain, which is 15% less than in the same period last year, but 27% more than in the previous quarter, thanks to greater availability of grain on the domestic market after the start of the winter wheat harvest.
According to the published quarterly report, wheat accounted for 74% of Kernel’s total exports, with the rest being corn and barley.
“The start of the new financial year for the Infrastructure and Trade segment was shaped by two key market dynamics: a delay in the harvesting campaign in Ukraine caused by weather conditions and slower-than-usual sales by farmers,” the agricultural holding said.
As a result, the cargo turnover of export terminals in the first quarter of FY 2026 amounted to 1.8 million tons, which is 17% less than in the same period last year, leading to a decrease in grain exports and the group’s overall sales portfolio of vegetable oils and meal.
Grain accounted for 75% of the total cargo turnover, edible oils for 13%, and vegetable meal for the rest.
The volume of grain received by silos in July-September 2026 FR amounted to 1.2 million tons, which is 34% less than in the previous year. Of this amount, 796 thousand tons were received from the agricultural holding’s own agricultural enterprises, and the rest from third-party suppliers.
“The decrease in arrivals mainly reflects the later start of the group’s harvesting campaign, as unfavorable weather conditions and uneven ripeness of crops in different regions delayed and reduced deliveries to warehouses,” Kernel explained.
The Infrastructure and Trade segment generated EBITDA of $20 million in the first quarter of 2026 FY, down 62% from the previous year.
Before the war, Kernel was the world’s leading producer of sunflower oil (about 7% of global production) and its exporter (about 12%). It is one of the largest producers and sellers of bottled oil in Ukraine. In addition, it is engaged in the cultivation and sale of agricultural products.
In Ukraine, oil flax remains a niche crop, but its gross harvest in the 2025-2026 marketing year (MY) will amount to 66 thousand tons, which is the highest result since the 2017/18 MY, according to the information and analytical publication UkrAgroConsult.
“Production is subject to fluctuations influenced by market factors and weather conditions. Since 2020, there has been a steady expansion of acreage. Growth is driven by demand from the EU, the main importer of flax. (…) The combination of expanded acreage and improved yields has been decisive. In the 2024/25 MY, there has been a partial recovery in yields, which are still below the crop’s potential,” analysts explained.
Experts noted that exports remain a key driver of the market — more than 80% of the Ukrainian flax harvest in 2024/25 MY is sent abroad. During the years of war, this share has more than doubled.
The main destination for flax sales is the EU (Italy, Poland, and Belgium are the top importers). After the start of the full-scale war, EU countries significantly reduced their purchases of Russian flax, reorienting themselves to alternative suppliers from Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Canada.
At the same time, after peaking in 2023/24 MY (over 70 thousand tons), shipments from Ukraine decreased by approximately 24% in 2024/25 MY.
“The Ukrainian oil flax market is entering a phase of stable recovery. The crop is gradually regaining its position in the crop structure, forming a new niche for small and medium-sized agricultural producers. With support for exports and the development of processing, flax has the potential to establish itself as a promising alternative crop for the northern regions of the country, which are increasingly facing weather risks,” UkrAgroConsult concluded.
The Ministry of Economy, Environment, and Agriculture forecasts a 6% increase in harvest in 2025 compared to last year due to an increase in grain crops, said Minister of Economy, Environment, and Agriculture Oleksiy Sobolev.
“Overall, this year’s harvest is expected to be slightly higher — about 6% higher than last year. The growth will be primarily due to grain crops — approximately 59 million tons are expected, compared to 56 million tons last year,” he said in an interview with Forbes Ukraine.
The oilseed harvest will remain at last year’s level. We expect a harvest of about 79 million tons of grain and oilseeds combined.
The minister noted that farmers sowed 4.8 million tons of winter crops this year (74% of the forecast) and harvested 37.6 million tons of grain (73% of all sown areas).
He emphasized that in 2025, the harvest in Ukraine will be collected later. This is reflected in the skewed GDP growth in the second half of the year, as part of the money that went into the first half of the year will go into the second half due to weather conditions.
The fruit harvest in the 2025 season is about 60% of the pre-war level, and fruit storage facilities are loaded at 50% of pre-war volumes, so consumers should not expect the low fruit prices that existed before the war, said Taras Minko, head of the Ukrsadprom association.
“When fruit cost pennies, it was good for consumers, but for the industry itself, it was a huge minus, as it led to the bankruptcy of enterprises. If this trend had continued to this day, there would be no orchards left in Ukraine. We would be importing Polish, German, and other apples at European prices, which currently stand at EUR 2.603 per 1 kg,” he said at the Agro2Food exhibition.
The head of the industry association explained that low fruit prices in the pre-war period were due to high orchard productivity and intensive industrial horticulture in Ukraine.
According to him, 2022 was a lost production season for Ukrainian horticulture. Part of Ukraine was occupied, and a number of fruit storage facilities and horticultural farms were destroyed and looted.
“The main factors driving up fruit prices in recent years have been the cost of energy, labor shortages, and labor costs. There is a shortage of people—they are leaving the country. Those who remain want to work less and earn more. The discrepancy between wages and productivity is currently incomparable,” Minko emphasized.
He added that 250 people are needed to harvest a 25-hectare orchard. As a result, in 2022, many enterprises harvested 30% of their crops, in 2024 – 60%, and the current situation is no better.
In addition, according to the head of Ukrsadprom, a significant amount of fruit storage capacity has been destroyed in Ukraine. As an example, he cited statistics from association members who collectively cultivate 10,000 hectares of orchards. Before the war, they had about 110-120 thousand tons of storage in refrigerators.
“Currently, about 60% remains (of fruit storage facilities – IF-U). Some have closed, and some have lost their apple harvest due to climate change. This season, refrigerators with a capacity of about 50-60 thousand tons are in use,” Minko stated.
He noted that Ukraine currently lacks a culture of consuming jams and preserves, which hinders the development of the processing industry. At the same time, he predicts that in the next five years, Ukraine will see a boom in the construction of processing enterprises specializing in the manufacture of such products.
“If you look at today’s market, those who will look at such processing will have great prospects regardless of the number of enterprises existing today. While our parents were busy making preserves, our children will buy ready-made products. Therefore, this is a very promising and interesting industry, which will boom in 3-5-7 years,” concluded the head of Ukrsadprom.
The buckwheat harvest in Ukraine in 2025 is 15% lower than a year earlier, which is not a problem for the domestic market, but will lead to price increases due to frenzied demand provoked by the media, said Rodion Rybchinsky, director of the Ukrainian Flour Millers Association.
“As far as I understand, this year’s buckwheat harvest is already 15% lower than last year’s. Questions about its availability should be addressed not to processors, but to farmers engaged in agribusiness,” he said at the Agro2Food Profit forum in Kyiv on Wednesday.
The expert explained that farmers themselves decide what is profitable for them to sow—sunflowers, soybeans, rapeseed— and then defend their rights to export soybeans and rapeseed to the Ministry of Economy and the State Tax Service without paying a 10% export duty, or to sow buckwheat, which yields 1.3-1.5 tons/ha, and then sell it for UAH 20,000 per ton.
Responding to a question about the reasons for the rise in buckwheat prices this year, Rybchinsky said that there were no reasons, but prices would still rise.
“Some newspaper or Telegram channel started shouting this week that buckwheat is getting more expensive. People listened and rushed to the supermarket. They see that buckwheat is selling for 25 UAH/kg, and tomorrow it will be 30 UAH/kg. They bought it all up. The warehouses of processing plants are empty. Retailers are starting to ask the authorities, ‘Where is the buckwheat? ’ And it’s with the farmers, who are waiting for prices to rise to 40 UAH/kg and are not releasing the product. They are doing this because consumers have bought up all the product at 25 UAH/kg,” explained the head of the industry association.
Rybchinsky recalled that the rush demand for buckwheat, rye, and other products occurs steadily every three to four years.
“Ukrainians do not eat buckwheat in such quantities as the media try to portray. Buckwheat is primarily needed by people with diabetes. Other consumers can do without it, because Ukraine produces more corn and wheat groats than it needs for domestic consumption,” emphasized the head of the Ukrainian Flour Millers Association, urging Ukrainians not to react to the artificially created hype.
As reported, in the 2025 season, Ukrainian farmers reduced the area under buckwheat to 69,100 hectares, compared to 90,300 hectares a year earlier. As of October 24, buckwheat has been harvested from 86% of the production areas with a yield of 14 tons/ha, yielding 83.3 thousand tons, compared to 126.9 thousand tons a year earlier.
