Business news from Ukraine

QUOTES OF INTERBANK CURRENCY MARKET OF UKRAINE (UAH FOR $1, IN 01.10.2021-39.10.2021)

Quotes of interbank currency market of Ukraine (UAH for $1, in 01.10.2021-39.10.2021)

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UKRAINE’S ROLLED METAL MARKET UP BY 20% IN JAN-OCT

Ukrainian enterprises in January-October this year increased their consumption of rolled metal by 19.42% compared to the same period last year, to 4.324 million tonnes. According to a press release of the Ukrmetalurgprom association on Tuesday, during this period 969,700 tonnes were imported, or 22.43% of the domestic market for rolled metal consumption.
“In January-October 2021, the capacity of the domestic market amounted to 4.324 million tonnes of rolled metal, of which 969,700 tonnes, or 22.43%, accounted for imports. In January-October 2020, the capacity of the domestic market was 3.621 million tonnes, of which 1.028 million tonnes, or 28.38%, were imported. Thus, in ten months of 2021, there is an increase in the capacity of the domestic market for rolled metal products by 19.42% compared to January-October 2020, with a simultaneous decrease in the import share by 5.96%,” the press release states.
At the same time, the structure of imports in January-October 2021 is characterized by a significant domination of flat products over long products (54.66% and 42.28%, respectively); in the same period of 2020, a domination of flat products over long products was practically comparable with 2021 (56.38% and 42.44%, respectively).
According to Ukrmetalurgprom, in January-October-2021, Ukrainian metallurgical enterprises produced 15.99 million tonnes of rolled metal (105.4% compared to January-October 2020), of which, according to the information of V.S.K. Group LLC, about 12.63 million tonnes, or 79%, were exported. Over ten months of 2020, the share of exports was 82.9% (12.58 million tonnes with total production of 15.17 million tonnes of rolled metal).
The share of semi-finished products in export supplies accounted for 46.17% over ten months of 2021, which is lower than the indicator for the same period in 2020 (51.03%). The share of flat-rolled products in export supplies in January-October 2021 is noticeably higher than in January-October 2020 (37.86% and 32.08%, respectively). The share of long products in export supplies is slightly inferior to the indicator for the same period last year (15.98% in 2021 versus 16.88% in 2020).
According to V.S.K. Group, the main export markets of Ukrainian metal products in January-October 2021 were the European Union (36.5%), other European countries (20.1%) and NAFTA countries (9.7%).
Among metallurgical importers over ten months of 2021, the CIS ranks first (35.4%), the second is the countries of Asia (21.6%) and the third is the EU-27 (20.5%).

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ILLEGAL TOBACCO MARKET IN UKRAINE 18 TIMES UP IN 5 YEARS

The share of illegal tobacco products in the Ukrainian market over the past five years has increased 18 times – from 1% in 2016 to 18.1% in August 2021 and reached a historical peak, its growth was caused by the increase in excise tax, which the government plans increase by 2025 to the EU level – EUR 90 for 1,000 cigarettes.Such data were released in a joint statement by the CEOs of the largest tobacco companies, adopted during a conference in Kyiv on Monday. The event was attended by Philip Morris Ukraine CEO Kostas Salvaras, BAT Ukraine CEO Kakhaber Benidze, JTI Ukraine CEO Paul Holloway and Imperial Tobacco Ukraine CEO Rastislav Cernak.“A year ago, when JTI launched information campaign on the illegal tobacco market, its share amounted to 6.9% of the Ukrainian market. A year later, this figure reached 18.1% – almost 300% growth in 12 months. This is more than UAH 14.4 billion of lost revenue to the budget of Ukraine,” Holloway said with reference to the preliminary results of the Kantar Ukraine research institute.According to industry representatives, the illegal tobacco market in Ukraine began to grow back in 2014, but this year it crossed a dangerous border: tax-free cigarettes have become readily available. This poses a problem for legal cigarette manufacturers losing market share to illegal cigarette manufacturers and smugglers.In addition, the total legal cigarette market is now estimated at 32.7 billion units, which is 18% less than in 2020, and over 40% less than its volume in 2018.To reduce the growth rate of the illegal tobacco market, the largest manufacturers propose to extend the period for reaching the European level of excise tax of EUR 90 per 1,000 cigarettes in Ukraine by five years – from 2025 to 2030, whereas now it is EUR 48.4 per 1,000 cigarettes.“There was an unprecedented rise in prices for any category of consumer goods, which significantly outstripped inflation, and became the main factor in the reduction of the legal market for tobacco products and the growth of illegal trade […] We propose to expand the schedule for increasing excise taxes on tobacco products until 2030, providing for an annual increase in rates at the level of 10% [instead of current 20%]. This will stabilize the situation in the tobacco market,” Cernak said.He also proposed to “freeze” the increase in the excise tax on heated tobacco products for three years, until 2024.“This approach will give the consumer more time to adjust to higher prices and deprive the illegal market of the potential for growth,” Cernak said in a statement.The unpredictability of regulation of the tobacco industry in Ukraine affects not only business income, but also its future investments, the Philip Morris Ukraine CEO said.“Three of our companies [from those present at the conference] are ready to consider the possibility of localizing production of tobacco-containing products for electric heating in Ukraine, if the state creates the appropriate conditions,” Salvaras said.According to the calculations of market participants, the localization in Ukraine of production of such products with reduced harm from smoking can bring the country more than UAH 6 billion of investments and about UAH 4 billion of additional income tax in three years.As reported with reference to the Kantar Ukraine study in May this year, in January-May, the share of counterfeits in the domestic cigarette market increased by 3.1 percentage points compared to the data for 2020, to 5.1%, the share of tobacco products marked as intended for export and illegally sold in Ukraine increased by 4.8 p.p., up to 7.6%. At the same time, the share of smuggled cigarettes decreased by 0.5 p.p., to 1.7%.

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BUSINESS INSISTS ON MANDATORY REVISION OF BILL ON TIMBER MARKET

Experts of the European Business Association (EBA) insist on the obligatory revision of the draft law on the timber market taking into account the proposals of the business, in particular, it should provide for a cascade principle of the auction.
“In our opinion, priority access to the resource should be provided to companies that have production facilities and carry out wood processing in Ukraine,” the EBA said in a press release on Thursday.
In addition, according to the press release, it is necessary to significantly revise and simplify the rules of administration of transactions with wood products.
“According to business, they are not only excessive but also inappropriate given the specifics of the market. Businesses find it inexpedient to declare transactions related to wood products, instead of focusing on declaration of the procurement and sale [resale] of wood,” the association’s experts said.
The EBA also notes the need to revise the list of wood products requiring a certificate of origin and exclude from it products that are not of primary wood processing.
The press release notes that the consideration of this bill (No. 4197-d) in the Verkhovna Rada is scheduled for October 22.
“It is worth noting that the updated version of draft law No. 4197-d took into account certain important proposals from businesses. These are provisions that provide a mechanism for the sale of timber on the terms of the offer in parity with the auction and the restructuring of state forestry enterprises by separating the woodworking units of state forestries,” the press release states.
The association notes that it continues to develop proposals for the wording of the bill, which will be submitted additionally.
As reported, revised draft law No. 4197-d on the timber market envisages the abolition of the moratorium on export of unprocessed timber from Ukraine and the introduction of a transparent timber market.

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UKRAINIAN PRIME MINISTER: MARKET GRADUALLY REORIENTING FROM RUSSIA TO EUROPE

The volume of trade between Ukraine and Russia has dropped by nearly 84% over the past six years, Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal said at a joint press conference with European Commission Vice-President for Interinstitutional Relations and Foresight Maros Sefcovic in Kyiv.
“In fact, the volume of annual trade from Russia has dropped over the past six years by nearly 84%, from $37 billion to $7 billion. Trade turnover between Russia and Ukraine is gradually declining. At the same time, the volume of trade [between Ukraine and] Europe has grown to over 40%, which means it has grown by more than fivefold. The replacement of markets is underway, and Ukraine is learning to manufacture goods of higher quality, in line with European standards, which meets the course of our development,” Shmyhal said, when asked by Interfax-Ukraine what share of Ukrainian exports has been affected by Russia’s recently-introduced ban on imports of certain products from Ukraine and how the Ukrainian government would respond to it.
Shmyhal insisted that he was talking not about “trade wars” but about the Ukrainian market’s natural reorientation toward the European and other markets.
As was reported earlier, the Russian government extended a list of products that cannot be imported from Ukraine on June 28, 2021.

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E-COMMERCE MARKET IN UKRAINE GROWS TO $4 BLN

The volume of the e-commerce market in Ukraine in 2020 grew by 41% and reached $4 billion, which is 8.8% of the total retail trade, follows from a study by Soul Partners, Baker Tilly Ukraine and Aequo with the support of USAID.
According to the study, the Ukrainian e-commerce market has tripled in the past five years and has the potential to double in the next five years.
According to the material, the share of e-commerce in Ukraine’s GDP is 2.6%. At the same time, Ukraine has a low level of spending on e-commerce per year in comparison with other countries – about $104, which is explained by the low purchasing power of the population.
The most developed sectors of e-commerce in Ukraine are electronics and clothing, but every year the share of electronics is decreasing due to the growth of other categories, the study notes.
Thus, the volume of e-commerce in clothing over 2020 amounted to $291 million, the share of online sales in the structure of retail trade in clothing was 6.8%. According to the forecast, this figure will reach 10% by 2023. The most visited online clothing stores in 2020 were Shafa (105.1 million visits), Klubok (35.1 million) and Kloomba (34.9%).
According to the research, food has become a relatively new category with a significant growth potential in the Ukrainian e-commerce market, which also includes ready-to-eat food delivery services. Thus, the volume of e-commerce in products last year amounted to UAH 150 million.
The volume of e-commerce of furniture in Ukraine last year amounted to $69 million and occupied 9.2% in the structure of retail trade. This category of trade is forecast to grow 1.7 times over the next three years. The most visited online stores last year were Jysk (18.2 million), Taburetka (8.6 million) and MebelOk (6.7 million).
Most of the purchases on the Internet are made by Ukrainians on marketplaces (63%), the rest – in specialized online stores. The largest marketplaces in Ukraine are Rozetka, Prom, Allo, Bigl and Epicentr.

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