Barley exports from Ukraine in the 2025/2026 marketing year (MY, July-June) are forecast at 2.8 million tons, which is 22% higher than the previous season, according to the Ukrainian Agribusiness Club (UACB) on Facebook.
The association’s analysts noted that barley production has remained relatively stable during the years of war, although it has declined significantly compared to the pre-war period. In 2025/26 MY, Ukraine harvested 5.3 million tons of this crop, which is 0.4% more than in the previous marketing year, but 19.7% less than the average for the last five years.
Among the key trends of the season, experts highlighted the largest reduction in barley acreage among all grains due to the temporary occupation of territories and low export potential. The area under cultivation was 1.4 million hectares, which is 0.9% less than in the previous marketing year and 26.4% below the five-year average. At the same time, barley was the only grain crop to show an increase in yield to 3.9 tons/ha, which was 8.4% higher than the average for the last five years.
Experts emphasized that increased production and high carryover stocks allowed for increased shipments to foreign markets after a decline in the 2024/2025 season. At the same time, Ukraine continues to experience a prolonged decline in domestic barley consumption, which is estimated at 2.8 million tons in the current marketing year. Of this volume, 1.9 million tons are used for feed, and 0.2 million tons are used for food.
“Despite the largest reduction in acreage among all grains, barley managed to maintain production volumes thanks to increased yields. The decline in domestic consumption and the availability of carryover stocks will allow Ukraine to increase exports in the 2025/2026 marketing year, meeting the demand of countries in Asia, Africa, and the Middle East,” the UACB concluded.
According to the Ukrainian Agribusiness Club (UAC), agricultural exports from Ukraine totaled 5.0 million tons in February 2026, which is 0.3% higher than the previous month.
“This is the fourth month in a row that agricultural exports have remained at 5.0 million tons with minimal deviations. The main product currently being exported is corn,” analysts said.
In the export structure for February, grain crops accounted for the largest share—3.4 million tons, which is 1% more than in January. In this segment, corn accounted for 81% of supplies, and wheat—19%. At the same time, exports of oilseeds decreased by 14% to 303.5 thousand tons (soybeans — 72%, rapeseed — 25%, sunflower — 2%).
Supplies of vegetable oils to foreign markets in February fell by 9% and amounted to 437.7 thousand tons. In this category, sunflower oil accounts for 83%, rapeseed oil for 10%, and soybean oil for 7%. On the other hand, exports of oilcake after the extraction of vegetable oils increased by 14% to 470.4 thousand tons, with sunflower oil accounting for 75% and soybean oil for 25%. Exports of other types of agricultural products increased by 3% to 359.7 thousand tons.
