Today, Donald Trump will officially begin his term as the 47th President of the United States of America. His possible actions and strategies in the international arena were the main topic of discussion at a meeting of experts organized by the Atlantic Council and Experts Club. Brian Mefford, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center, and Maksym Urakin, founder of the Experts Club, discussed key issues that will affect the geopolitical situation in the world, including Ukraine.
Brian Mefford noted that Trump’s first months in office will be focused on resolving domestic issues, such as the confirmation of his cabinet members in the Senate. However, the expert emphasized that Ukraine will remain an important issue in US foreign policy.
“Ukraine already has a special envoy, General Kellogg. Although his visit to Kyiv was postponed, it shows that Ukraine remains a priority. Its security is crucial for stability in the region,” Mr. Mefford said.
One of the key topics of discussion was Ukraine’s membership in NATO, which was first promised at the Bucharest Summit in 2008. According to Brian Mefford, this decision could have prevented many of the current problems.
“It was a serious mistake at the time. Russia used this uncertainty: first in Georgia and then in Ukraine. Now, because of the war on its own territory, the NATO issue for Ukraine is being postponed indefinitely. At the same time, there is a need for long-term security guarantees. Ukraine needs modern weapons, so the United States and European partners must remain reliable allies of Ukraine,” he explained.
At the same time, according to the expert, the issue of NATO funding became one of the most discussed during Trump’s first presidency, when he called on European countries to increase their defense spending.
“The United States spends more on defense than the next nine countries combined. Trump was right to insist that European countries spend at least 2% of GDP on defense. And now these requirements are being met. Increasing defense spending in Europe is in everyone’s interest. The alliance remains a powerful tool for ensuring stability,” Mr. Mefford emphasized.
According to him, the US withdrawal from NATO is currently an unlikely scenario.
Mefford suggested that the Trump administration will continue its tough economic policy towards China, including trade wars.
“China does not follow fair rules in international trade. Support for Taiwan will remain unchanged, as the United States has strategic interests in the region. Although China often demonstrates strength, its economy is on the verge of recession and its military power is exaggerated,” he explained.
The expert also touched upon the issue of sanctions against Russia, which remain an effective tool of international pressure.
“Trump imposed more sanctions against Russia during his previous term than Obama did. Their mitigation is possible only if the war ends. This is a long-term mechanism that cannot be ignored,” emphasized Mefford.
Maksym Urakin, founder of the Experts Club think tank, in turn, emphasized the importance of Donald Trump’s election for Ukraine and the world and reminded of other important elections for Ukraine and the region in 2025:
“For Ukraine, partnership with the United States is crucial. However, we need to be prepared for different scenarios and strengthen our economic resilience and diversify our foreign policy, given the very important elections this year in Germany, Poland, Romania, Moldova, and Canada. The world is becoming very dynamic in the future,” said Maxim Urakin.
The experts’ analysis showed that Trump’s policy toward Ukraine will be shaped by both internal and external factors. At the same time, Ukraine’s role in global security will only grow, and international support will remain critical for security on the European continent.
The full version of the video is available here:
You can subscribe to the Experts Club YouTube channel here:
https://www.youtube.com/@ExpertsClub
Atlantic Council, EXPERTS CLUB, NATO, SECURITY, TRUMP, UKRAINE, URAKIN, USA, Меффорд
Ukraine in 2024 imported 7 million 562,556 thousand tons of petroleum products (under HS code 2710: gasoline, diesel fuel, fuel oil, jet fuel, etc.), which is 1.1% less than in 2023 (7 million 646,537 thousand tons).
According to the State Customs Service, petroleum products were imported for $6 billion 820.605 million, 12.9% less than in 2023 ($7 billion 831.477 million).
From Greece imported fuel for $1 billion 393.372 million (share – 20.43%), Poland – $917.31 million (13.45%), Lithuania – $681.88 million (10%), other countries – $3 billion 828.042 million (56.12%).
As reported, Ukraine imported 7 million 300.073 thousand tons of petroleum products in 2022, which is 17% less than in 2021 (8 million 790.515 thousand tons). Petroleum products in 2022 imported $8 billion 787.171 million, 56.5% more than in 2021 ($5 billion 614.787 million).
To increase humanitarian aid amid Russia’s war of aggression this winter, the European Union will provide €140 million to Ukraine and a further €8 million to Moldova.
The European Union has announced a new humanitarian aid package
for Ukraine and Moldova. Of this amount, 140 million euros are earmarked for vital emergency aid in Ukraine, including food, shelter, clean water and health care.
This is to be provided in particular to vulnerable groups in the war-torn regions of eastern and southern Ukraine. A further 8 million euros will be allocated to projects in Moldova to support Ukrainian refugees and local communities. The aid is intended to help people survive the “hard winter” in the Russian war of aggression, as Commission President Ursula von der Leyen wrote on X.
Hadja Lahbib, European Commissioner for Resilience, Humanitarian Aid and Crisis Management, and Gender Equality, visited Ukraine to discuss the distribution of EU aid and to step up efforts. “With €148 million in new humanitarian aid for Ukraine, we are providing life-saving support for people and helping to rebuild communities,” Lahbib wrote on X. ”In its hour of need, the EU stands resolutely by the side of the people of Ukraine.”
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky held a telephone conversation with Argentine President Javier Miley, during which the parties discussed the development of economic cooperation, in particular, the relaunch of the Intergovernmental Commission on Trade and Economic Cooperation and the start of intergovernmental consultations.
“Javier Miley assured that Ukraine can continue to count on Argentina’s full support,” the Ukrainian head of state’s website reported on Friday.
Zelensky thanked Argentina for participating in the inaugural Peace Summit and joining the Coalition for the Return of Ukrainian Children, the international Crimea Platform and the Ramstein format. He stressed that Ukraine needs the preservation of the Contact Group on Defense, as well as joint steps by Argentina, the U.S. and all allies to weaken the Russian dictator and end the war with a just and lasting peace.
In a Friday evening video message, the Ukrainian president noted his Argentine counterpart’s results in economic reforms and called from “the right example of economic growth.”
“We will increase our cooperation with Argentina – both economic, political and security,” the Ukrainian head of state said.
Zelensky invited Milay to come to Ukraine on a visit.
According to the daily monitoring data of EastFruit project, this week the potato market in Ukraine has seen a decrease in trading activity. Contrary to the hopes of farmers that this product will once again increase in price on the eve of New Year vacations, the selling prices for potatoes in Ukraine, on the contrary, began to decline. Wholesale companies, in turn, see no reason to raise prices and increase the volume of purchases of this product, as the demand for this product has significantly decreased.
Thus, today marketable potatoes are on sale in the range of 18-28 UAH/kg ($0.43-0.67/kg), depending on the quality, variety and volume of offered batches of products, which is on average 12% cheaper than at the end of the last working week.
The reason for a slight decrease in prices in this segment was not only weakening demand for potatoes, but also stable supplies of these products from foreign markets. At the same time, most key market players note mediocre quality characteristics of imported potatoes, which, in turn, affected the pace of sales of local products as well.
Nevertheless, in general, Ukrainian farmers do not complain about the selling prices for potatoes this season, because this product has risen in price by an average of 41% compared to last year. The reason for such a significant price difference experts call the decline in potato yields in Ukraine due to unfavorable weather conditions in the summer months. Many farmers also note a gradual deterioration in the quality of products stored in storage.
You can get more detailed information about the development of the market of potatoes and other horticultural products in Ukraine by subscribing to the analytical weekly EastFruit Ukraine Weekly Pro. Detailed product information is available here.
AllSeeds Group, one of Ukraine’s largest producers of sunflower oil and meal, has stopped buying raw materials for processing and finished products for export due to delays of ships in ports during the implementation of a new system of export security, the head of the group Vyacheslav Petrishche said on Facebook.
He recalled that on the initiative of the Verkhovna Rada Committee on Finance, Tax and Customs Policy from December 1 began to operate the export security regime to operations for the export of certain types of agro-commodities, which provides a new procedure for customs clearance of export cargoes.
“Well a good thing it seems. Allegedly to combat the shadow market and return currency to the country. I am personally unequivocally in favor of it. I have always been, am and will be against the shadow market. But can it be done not to the delight of the enemy during the bombings, but for the good of the motherland? (…) If you introduce a new procedure, can it be tested first? Will it work at all?” – wrote Petrishche.
According to his information, the authorities issued permits for loading agro-products with all necessary checks on November 29 (before the introduction of the new system – IF-U). Large ships entered Odessa seaports, carried out loading for several days and waited a long time for registration.
“Did you put all this goodness under the berths on purpose for inspection? So that the enemy could take better aim???? (…) during the war I would call it sabotage, you can’t think of anything else. (…) Well, let these boats go (the law has no retroactive effect) and do not launch new ones (and they are already waiting) until exporters submit export documents properly executed according to the new procedure”, – said the head of the AllSeeds group of companies.
Petrische drew attention to the growing losses of companies due to ship demurrage and pointed to safety problems during the downtime in the transition period when implementing the new agro-export system.
“Our company has stopped buying raw materials for processing and finished products for export. It is better to let people go home and sit with their money than to take the risk that if you are not the enemy, you will be “sheltered” by your own people. I recommend it to everyone,” Petrishche emphasized.
He reminded the head of the parliamentary finance committee, Daniil Hetmantsev, that the road to hell is paved with good intentions, and recommended him to “ruin the whole economy” on his own.
“God grant him health, and God grant the country to survive it! (…) It’s a shame for the State,” summarized the head of the AllSeeds group of companies.
Allseeds Group is one of the five largest Ukrainian producers and exporters of vegetable oils and meal. It owns an oilseed processing plant with a capacity of 2200 MT per day of sunflower seeds (or 1500 MT per day of rapeseed or 1 day of soybeans), which is located in the port “Yuzhny” (Odessa region).
Allseeds also provides transshipment services for vegetable oils and oilseed meal at its terminals in Yuzhny. The capacity for simultaneous storage of vegetable oils is more than 100 thousand tons, and of oil meal – 30 thousand tons.
