The number of banks expecting an increase in the volume of their loan portfolio over the next 12 months amounted to 88% for the corporate segment and 79% for lending to the population, according to the results of a survey conducted by the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) on the conditions of bank lending.
“In the next 12 months, 79% of respondents predict an increase in the loan portfolio of households, 88% – corporate portfolios. The share of banks that expect an increase in the loan portfolio of enterprises is the largest in the entire history of observation. 67% of financial institutions predict an increase in funding due to an increase in funds of both population and corporations,” the central bank said in a review on its website on Friday.
In addition, in the second quarter, half of the respondents noted an increase in demand for both consumer lending and mortgages.
In the second quarter, survey participants noted a moderate increase in liquidity risk, credit and interest rate risks, while in the next three months banks expect further growth in credit risk, simultaneously with a decrease in interest rate risk and liquidity risk.
More than 80% of banks consider the total debt burden to be medium, in addition, for large enterprises it is higher when compared with SMEs.
In the next quarter, financial institutions forecast the largest easing of hryvnia business lending standards since 2013. In particular, in mortgage loans, due to positive expectations of the prospects for the real estate market, and in consumer loans due to positive expectations of consumer solvency and general economic activity, as well as competition with other banks and nonbank financial institutions.
The authorized banks issued 512 loans under the Affordable Loans 5-7-9% program for UAH 1.6 billion over the past week, and in general, from the start of the program, the number of loans exceeded 18,100 for a total of UAH 47.5 billion.
As reported on the website of the Ministry of Finance, out of 31 banks participating in the program, the leaders in issuing loans are PrivatBank (agreements for UAH 4.4 billion), Oschadbank (for UAH 4.9 billion) and Raiffeisen Bank Aval (UAH 8.95 billion).
Authorized banks over the past week issued 592 loans under the Affordable Loans 5-7-9% program for UAH 1.9 billion, and in general, from the start of the program, the number of loans exceeded 17,600 for a total of UAH 45.9 billion.
The Ministry of Economy reported on the website that UAH 1.3 billion of the total amount of contracts concluded last week are loans to replenish working capital at 0%, UAH 480 million are loans to refinance the previously issued loans, and the amount of investment loans totaled UAH 194 million.
The Ministry of Finance, in turn, noted that out of 31 banks participating in the program, the leaders in issuing loans are PrivatBank (5,800 agreements for UAH 4.2 billion), Oschadbank (almost 2,400 agreements for UAH 4.5 billion), and Raiffeisen Bank Aval (1,900 loans for UAH 8.7 billion).
The loan portfolio of Ukrainian banks in April 2021 grew by 1.7%, to UAH 1.076 trillion, and the volume of non-performing loans (NPL) – by 0.8%, to UAH 425.88 billion, according to reports posted on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
According to its data, the share of non-performing loans in the banking system in April fell from 39.93% to 39.57%.
The National Bank indicated that over the month the portfolio of loans in the corporate sector increased by 1.9%, to UAH 807.408 billion (including the NPL volume in it – by 0.8%, to UAH 369.615 billion), and the portfolio of loans issued to individuals – by 1.6%, to UAH 218.678 billion (NPL – by 0.7%, to UAH 52.289 billion).
At the same time, the volume of interbank loans increased by 0.6%, to UAH 39.388 billion (including NPL decreased by 0.1%, to UAH 980 million), while the volume of loans issued to state and local authorities decreased by 3%, to UAH 10.909 billion (NPL remained at 0).
According to the National Bank, in April, the share of NPL in the portfolio of loans provided to the corporate sector decreased by 0.5 percentage points (to 45.78%), loans to the population – by 0.2 percentage points (to 25.28%), interbank loans – by 0.2 percentage points (to 2.49%), and loans to state authorities remained at the level of 0%.
The central bank report indicates that the loan portfolio of state-owned banks excluding PrivatBank in April 2021 increased by 0.2%, to UAH 299.733 billion (the NPL volume in it increased by 1.8%, to UAH 131.15 billion), while PrivatBank’s loan portfolio grew by 0.4%, to UAH 246.337 million (NPL remained at the level of UAH 177.99 billion).
In addition, over the month, the loan portfolio of banks with foreign capital grew by 3.5% (to UAH 352.736 billion), and with private capital – by 2.6% (to UAH 177.577 billion), while the NPL volume in them decreased by 0.6% (to UAH 93.55 billion) and by 1.7% (to UAH 23.2 billion).
In March-May this year, the authorized banks issued 351 loans under the Affordable Mortgage 7% program for a total of UAH 297 million, the Finance Ministry has said.
“As of May 31 of this year, authorized banks for the implementation of the Affordable Mortgage 7% program signed 351 loan agreements for a total amount of UAH 297.3 million, both on the primary [24.28%] and secondary [75.72%] housing markets,” the Ministry of Finance said in a message on its website on Monday.
According to its data, the largest number of applications comes in a regional perspective from Kyiv (36%) and Kyiv region (28%).
Over the past week, the number of issued loans increased by 15%, and the amount of loans by 17%, while the growth of applications in terms of amount and number was 7%, the ministry said.
Some 14 banks are authorized to work under the Affordable Mortgage 7% program. It has been operating since March 1, 2021.
The loan portfolio of Ukrainian banks in January-March 2021 expanded by 0.8%, to UAH 1.06 trillion, while the volume of non-performing loans (NPL) fell by 1.8%, to UAH 422.6 billion, according to a report posted on the website of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
According to it, the share of NPL in the banking system in the first quarter of 2021 decreased from 41% to 39.9%.
The National Bank said that in the first three months of 2021 the portfolio of loans to the corporate sector decreased 0.4%, to UAH 792.540 billion (including the share of NPL in it – by 1.2%, to UAH 366.7 billion), in turn, the portfolio loans to individuals grew by 3.3%, to UAH 215.29 billion (NPL decreased 5.6%, to UAH 54.92 billion).
At the same time, the volume of interbank loans increased by 15%, to UAH 39.15 billion (including NPL decreased 0.3%, to UAH 981 million), while the volume of loans issued to public and local authorities decreased 4.2%, to UAH 11.24 billion (NPL remained at zero).
According to the National Bank, at the end of the quarter, the share of NPL in the portfolio of loans issued to the corporate sector fell by 0.4 percentage points (to 46.3%), loans to the population – by 2.4 percentage points (to 25.5%), interbank loans – by 0.4 percentage points (to 2.5%), and loans to public authorities remained at the level of 0%.
According to the central bank report, the loan portfolio of state-owned banks without PrivatBank in January-March 2021 increased 1.3%, to UAH 299.07 billion (the NPL volume in it decreased 0.1%, to UAH 128.9 billion) , while the loan portfolio of PrivatBank increased 0.2%, to UAH 245.376 million (NPL decreased 1.8%, to UAH 177.99 billion).
In addition, in January-March 2021, the loan portfolio of banks with foreign capital decreased 1% (to UAH 340.7 billion), and with private ones increased 5% (to UAH 173.1 billion), while the volume of NPL in them decreased accordingly 3.1% (to UAH 92.9 billion) and 4.9% (to UAH 22.8 billion).
Thus, at the end of the first quarter of 2021, the share of NPL in the loan portfolios of state-owned banks (excluding PrivatBank) decreased 0.6 percentage points (to 43.1%), in PrivatBank – by 1.4 p.p. (to 72.54%), in banks with foreign capital – by 0.6 percentage points (to 27.28%) and in banks with private capital – by 1.4 percentage points (to 13.2%).
As reported, at the end of 2020, the loan portfolio of Ukrainian banks narrowed by 4.4%, to UAH 1.05 trillion, including the volume of NPL falling by 18.9%, to UAH 430.371 billion.
