JSC “Ukrzaliznytsia” expects to post a net loss of 21.9 billion hryvnia and a liquidity shortfall of 26.3 billion hryvnia for 2026, assuming no fare indexation, said the company’s CEO, Oleksandr Pertsovskyi, during a press conference on Tuesday, according to a correspondent for the “Interfax-Ukraine” news agency.
According to him, among the main reasons for the deterioration in financial performance are a 2.4-fold increase in the cost of electricity, which led to additional expenses of 15.4 billion hryvnia; the need to index wages—13.4 billion hryvnia; a decline in revenue from freight transportation—7 billion hryvnia—due to hostilities and the occupation of parts of the territory; an increase in exchange rate losses from the revaluation of liabilities amounting to 3.8 billion hryvnia; and a 28% rise in diesel fuel prices, which cost the company an additional 2.1 billion hryvnia.
According to the company’s estimates, due to the suspension of fare indexation, the shortfall in cash receipts for the period from 2023 through the first three months of 2026 amounts to 99.5 billion UAH.
To cover this financial shortfall, Ukrzaliznytsia is implementing additional optimization measures for 2026, which will allow it to raise 1 billion UAH from the sale of non-core and surplus assets and 2.3 billion UAH in loans from international financial institutions, provided that fare indexation takes place.
Other measures include optimizing CAPEX, through which the company plans to accumulate 6.9 billion UAH by addressing the underfunding of critical capital investment needs. At the same time, internal funds for financing CAPEX in 2026 will amount to approximately 16.1 billion UAH.
A government decision is also required to resume, effective July 1, 2026, the sale of electricity to Ukrzaliznytsia through specialized auctions, with the introduction of a corresponding discount from the weighted average market price of electricity.
Other factors include a plan to increase suburban rail fares by 100%, though this requires approval from regional military administrations.
Among the proposed measures to stabilize Ukrzaliznytsia’s financial situation, the company also proposes raising freight rates by 30% effective August 1, 2026. The first phase involves an immediate rate increase and the standardization of rates for empty railcars.
Pertsovskyi emphasized that June is a critical period for making a decision on revising tariffs, as the regulatory procedure takes about two months.
“This is the last chance to make a decision before August, and by August we’ll simply be heading straight into the red at this pace. We still have a guaranteed debt payment due in August,” added the chairman of the board.
According to Pertsovskyi, a second phase could involve a further tariff adjustment of up to 15% starting in January 2027, though no such decision has been made yet.
As noted in the draft order, the need to adjust tariffs stems from the deteriorating financial condition of JSC “Ukrzaliznytsia,” whose revenues are insufficient to cover current expenses. The ministry noted that the last tariff adjustment took place nearly four years ago, while between July 2022 and April 2026, the industrial producer price index rose by 252.1%.
According to the Ministry of Development, in 2025, freight volumes decreased by 12.5% compared to the previous year, and Ukrzaliznytsia’s net loss amounted to 7.6 billion UAH. In the first four months of 2026, the loss reached 9.3 billion UAH.
At that time, the ministry noted that without tariff indexation, the company’s projected net loss for 2026 would exceed 13 billion hryvnia, and the funding shortfall would reach over 26 billion hryvnia.
Among other things, in January of this year, Ukrzaliznytsia refused to make $45 million in coupon payments on its 2026 Eurobonds with an 8.25% coupon rate totaling $703.2 million and on its 2028 Eurobonds with a 7.875% coupon rate totaling $351.9 million, and announced its intention to begin a comprehensive restructuring of its bond obligations with the assistance of financial and legal advisors.
The company cited the ongoing decline in revenue from freight transportation amid a decrease in freight volumes, as well as an increase in attacks on the railway—the total number of which in 2025 (1,195) exceeded the combined total for 2023–2024—as the main reasons for suspending debt service on the Eurobonds.
FARE, FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION, liquidity, LOSS, UKRZALIZNYTSIA
