Electricity imports in September 2026 fell by 58.6% compared to August—to 76.1 thousand MWh, the lowest figure since November 2023, while exports rose by 24.4% to 473,700 MWh, marking the highest monthly volume since September 2025.
“As a result, Ukraine has been a net exporter for the third consecutive month, with sales exceeding purchases by a factor of 6.2,” the DIXI Group analytical center reported on Thursday, citing data from Energy Map.
As the center noted, weather remained the main factor driving foreign trade dynamics. September was noticeably cooler than August: the need for air conditioning had subsided, and the heating season had not yet begun, so demand remained moderate. At the same time, shorter daylight hours and cloud cover reduced output from residential and industrial solar power plants.
The price situation remained favorable for exports. In September, the average BASE baseload electricity price index on Ukraine’s day-ahead market (DAM) stood at EUR116.2/MWh—29–50% lower than in neighboring markets: in Poland – EUR149.8/MWh, Slovakia – EUR163.8/MWh, and Romania – EUR174.4/MWh.
However, as explained by DIXI Group, the SWAM carbon adjustment mechanism—which will take effect on January 1, 2026—remains a constraining factor for electricity exports to EU countries, as it increases the price of Ukrainian electricity on the European market, negatively impacting its price competitiveness and exporters’ margins.
According to Energy Map, Hungary accounted for the largest share of exports in September—232,500 MWh, or 49.1%. Moldova accounted for 152,500 MWh (32.2%), Romania for 81,600 MWh (17.2%), Slovakia for 5,300 MWh (1.1%), and Poland for 1,800 MWh (0.4%).
Compared to August 2026, exports to Romania, Hungary, and Moldova increased by 14–36%, while exports to Poland and Slovakia decreased by 39% and 75%, respectively.
On a year-over-year basis, total exports decreased by 25.4% compared to September 2025 (635.1 thousand MWh).
Hungary remained the main source of imports, accounting for 38.8 thousand MWh (50.9%). Poland accounted for 17.0 thousand MWh (22.4%), Romania for 14.8 thousand MWh (19.4%), Slovakia for 5.4 thousand MWh (7.1%), and Moldova for 0.1 thousand MWh (0.2%).
Compared to August 2026, imports decreased by 37–87% across all countries. Trade with Slovakia took place only during the first five days of the month; starting September 6, volumes from this source were zero.
For comparison: in September 2025, electricity imports totaled 139.7 thousand MWh, which is 83.5% more than in September 2026, according to DIXI Group.