According to Experts.news, Ukraine has a strong chance of taking first place in the world during the 2026/27 season—not only in terms of net exports but also in terms of the total volume of frozen raspberry exports—amid a sharp decline in harvests among its main competitors, Serbia and Poland, according to the August analytical report by the Ukrainian Berry Growers Association.
The association estimates that Serbia’s raspberry harvest in 2026 could total about 30,000 metric tons, compared to approximately 65,000 metric tons in a typical season—the lowest figure in about 30 years. Production was affected by spring frosts, plant diseases, heat, and extreme drought: Serbia received only about 7 mm of precipitation in August.
The situation has also worsened in Poland, where spring frosts damaged berry plantations. The reduction in supply immediately affected European prices: the cost of Serbian IQF raspberries reached about 7 euros/kg, which is approximately 51% higher than last year’s level.
This creates a favorable price window for Ukrainian suppliers. Ukraine is already the world leader in net exports of frozen raspberries—that is, export volume minus imports. During the 2025/26 season, from June 2025 to May 2026, the country exported 63,300 metric tons of frozen raspberries for a record $250.8 million. Export revenue rose by 65% year-over-year, and the average price was 3.96 euros per kilogram.
The new season also began with high prices. In June 2026, Ukraine exported approximately 2,150 metric tons of frozen raspberries at an average price of 4.14 euros per kilogram. The main export destinations were the Czech Republic, Poland, and Germany.
Over the past few years, Ukraine’s frozen raspberry sector has significantly strengthened its position in the European market. Based on 2024 results, EastFruit analysts estimated Ukraine’s exports at approximately 65,1 thousand metric tons, while Serbia exported about 67,7 thousand metric tons. However, Serbia simultaneously imported about 4,700 metric tons of berries for subsequent re-export, so its net exports amounted to about 63,000 metric tons. Ukraine, which imports virtually no raspberries, became the world leader in this category for the first time.
Poland also remains one of the largest hubs for the global trade in frozen raspberries; however, its role is largely tied to the processing and re-export of imported berries. According to EastFruit estimates, in 2024, more than half of the frozen raspberries exported by Poland consisted of imported raw materials, a significant portion of which came from Ukraine. Poland’s net exports were estimated at only about 16,000 metric tons.
At the same time, Ukraine is gradually reducing its dependence on Polish intermediaries. Between 2022 and 2024, Poland’s share of Ukrainian frozen raspberry exports fell from 63% to 35%, while the combined share of Germany, the Czech Republic, Austria, and France rose to 48%. During this period, direct shipments to Germany increased 4.5-fold, to the Czech Republic 4.2-fold, and to Austria 33-fold.
The key factor in Ukraine’s ability to maintain its leading position remains the quality of processing. A significant portion of the added value is generated not during the berry cultivation stage, but during sorting, individual quick freezing (IQF), packaging, and direct sales to European retail chains and industrial consumers. Therefore, further growth in processing capacity may be no less important than the expansion of the plantations themselves.
According to the latest available FAOSTAT data for 2024, Russia remained the world’s largest raspberry producer—at approximately 213,800 metric tons—followed by Mexico in second place with 175,500 metric tons and Serbia in third with 94,000 metric tons. Next were the United States with approximately 82,1 thousand metric tons and Poland with about 76,9 thousand metric tons. Ukraine produced about 33,6 thousand metric tons. These figures reflect domestic raspberry production specifically and do not correspond to export rankings, as part of the harvest is consumed domestically, and some countries actively import the berries for processing and re-export.
In the global trade of frozen raspberries, Ukraine, Serbia, and Poland remain the key players. Ukraine has led in net exports since 2024, while Serbia has maintained a slight lead in gross shipments. In the broader HS 081120 tariff category, which also includes frozen blackberries and some related berries, Chile is among the major exporters; therefore, customs rankings cannot be fully equated with the ranking for raspberries specifically.
If the forecast by the Ukrainian Berry Growers Association proves accurate, the 2026/27 season could be the first in which Ukraine simultaneously ranks first in the world in both net and gross exports of frozen raspberries.
agricultural sector, BERRIES, EXPORTS, RASPBERRIES, UKRAINE
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