The shadow market for cigarettes continues to grow in Ukraine. In April 2025, the overall level of illegal trade in tobacco products reached 16.2% (compared to 14.1% at the beginning of 2025), according to a study by Kantar Ukraine “Monitoring of illegal trade in tobacco products in Ukraine,” published on Monday.
Kantar Ukraine specified that with this level of illegal cigarette products on the market, the annual loss to the state budget due to tax evasion amounts to UAH 25.2 billion, and the volume of the shadow cigarette market in Ukraine exceeds 5 billion cigarettes.
“In April, we again observed growth in the market for illegal tobacco products in Ukraine and a significant increase in the share of counterfeit products to 8.8% (compared to 6.4% in February 2025). According to average annual figures, more than a third of counterfeit products (39%) have signs of fake excise stamps. Among them, according to the inscription on the packaging, 33% were produced by Marshall Fine Tobacco (United Tobacco)/VK Tobacco FZE and 6% by Ukrainian Tobacco Production,” said Tatyana Sverdlik, an analyst at Kantar Ukraine.
At the same time, a significant share is accounted for by illegal products marked “Duty Free” or intended for export and illegally sold in Ukraine. More than half of such products, according to the inscription on the packaging, were produced by the Vinnikivska Tobacco Factory. Compliment (47%) and Lifa (5%) are the main brands in this category. The remaining 43% of illegal products are brands produced by Marshall Fine Tobacco, the most common of which are Marshall (26%), Urta (9%), and Brut (3%).
The study notes that the largest volumes of trade in illegal tobacco products are traditionally recorded in six regions, which together account for 71% of the market for such products Dnipropetrovsk – 27%, Odessa – 13%, Lviv – 10%, Kharkiv – 9%; Kyiv and Kyiv region – 7%, Khmelnytskyi – 6%.
A significant share of illegal tobacco product sales comes from kiosks and shops – in April 2025, 67% of illegal tobacco products were sold through these channels, according to Kantar Ukraine.
In January-May 2025, Ukraine imported aluminum and aluminum products worth $206.628 million, up 20.2% compared to the same period in 2024. In May, imports of aluminum products amounted to $40.340 million.
Over the same period, aluminum exports increased by 31.9% to $57.761 million. In May, the company exported products worth $12.698 million.
In 2024, aluminum imports amounted to $446.006 million (+21.7% compared to 2023), and exports amounted to $124.408 million (+27.4%). In 2023, Ukraine imported aluminum products worth $366.463 million and exported $97.616 million.
In January-May 2025, Ukrainian companies reduced imports of nickel and nickel products by 28% year-on-year to $7.976 million. In May, nickel products worth $3.071 million were imported.
At the same time, Ukraine’s nickel exports amounted to $443 thousand, which is almost twice as much as in the first five months of 2024 ($242 thousand). In May, exports amounted to $69 thousand.
For comparison: in 2024, imports of nickel products to Ukraine increased by 73.7% to $26.730 million, while in 2023 they amounted to only $15.391 million. Exports in 2024 amounted to $602 thousand, and in 2023 – $532 thousand.
The Chornomorka fish restaurant chain has announced the opening of restaurants in the capitals of Lithuania and Hungary.
“We are opening new Chornomorkas. Even two: in Vilnius and Budapest! So if you like to fry fish, we miss you very much – join the team,” the chain said in a Facebook post.
According to its website, as of May, the chain operates 36 restaurants in Ukraine, Moldova, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Austria, and Poland.
In January-May of this year, Ukrainian enterprises increased their consumption of rolled metal products by 14.5% year-on-year to 1 million 557.8 thousand tons.
According to a press release from Ukrmetallurgprom, 591.8 thousand tons, or 37.98% of the domestic rolled metal consumption market, were imported during this period.
According to Ukrmetallurgprom, in 5 months of 2015, steel companies produced 2.057 million tons of rolled steel (97.6% compared to the same period in 2024), of which, according to the State Customs Service of Ukraine, about 1.541 million tons, or 61.5%, were exported. In January-May 2024, the share of exports amounted to 65.4% (1.680 million tons with a total production of 2.568 million tons of rolled steel).
The share of semi-finished products in export deliveries in January-May 2025 amounted to 32.23%, which is significantly lower than in January-May 2024 (46.79%). The share of flat products in export deliveries in January-May 2025 is significantly higher than in January-May 2024 (46.59% and 40.30%, respectively). The share of long products is also significantly higher than in January-May 2024 (20.18% in 2025 vs. 12.92% in 2024).
The structure of imports in January-May 2025 is still characterized by a significant dominance of flat products over long products (76.83% and 21.24%, respectively); in January-May 2024, the dominance of flat products over long products was also significant (82.09% and 16.12%, respectively).
“In 5 months of 2025, the domestic market capacity amounted to 1 million 557.8 thousand tons of rolled steel, of which 591.8 thousand tons, or 37.98%, were imported. In January-May 2024, the domestic market capacity amounted to 1 million 360.8 thousand tons, of which 472.8 thousand tons, or 34.74%, were imported. Thus, in January-May 2025, there was an increase in the domestic market capacity by 14.48% compared to January-May 2024, with a simultaneous increase in the share of the import component by 3.24%,” the press release states.
According to the State Customs Service, the main export markets for Ukrainian rolled metal products in 5 months of 2025 are the European Union (82.0%), the rest of Europe (8.4%) and the CIS (6.9%).
Among metallurgical importers in January-May 2025, the first place is occupied by other European countries (57.7%), the second by the EU-27 (23.5%), and the third by Asian countries (18.3%).
As reported, Ukraine’s rolled steel market in 2024 decreased by 6.26% year-on-year to 3 million 288.4 thousand tons, while in 2023 it increased 2.19 times compared to 2022 to 3 million 505.6 thousand tons.