Forecast of changes in discount rate of National Bank of Ukraine, % 
Source: Open4Business.com.ua and experts.news
A number of leading agrarian associations have appealed to the Prime Minister of Ukraine with a request to influence the resolution of the situation on the possible deterioration of trade conditions with the European Union in agro-food products, the press service of the Ukrainian Club of Agrarian Business (UCAB) reported.
The association was reminded that on June 6, 2024, the EU’s additional trade preferences for Ukraine, under which the existing customs tariffs and tariff quotas for all categories of goods were canceled for Ukrainian exports, will expire. On January 31, the European Commission officially published a draft EU Regulation on the extension of autonomous trade preferences for Ukraine for the next calendar year (from June 6, 2024 to June 5, 2025).
It is stated that the draft regulation introduces restrictions on imports to the EU of certain groups of goods (chicken, sugar and eggs) “sensitive” for European agricultural producers. In particular, it is proposed to renew the tariff quotas agreed within the framework of the Full and Comprehensive Free Trade Area between Ukraine and the EU for these commodity groups if from January 1, 2024 the volumes of their imports from Ukraine exceed the arithmetic average of import volumes for 2022-2023. According to EU legislation, the draft regulation still has to be considered in the European Parliament and the EU Council of Ministers.
“For the agri-food sector of Ukraine, these preferences were particularly important, canceling a number of tariff quotas on imports to the EU market for key export goods – from cereals and oilseeds to sugar, poultry meat, eggs, fruit and vegetable products – and providing an opportunity for Ukrainian exporters to maintain production, jobs and ensure the receipt of foreign currency earnings during 2022-2023,” the associations noted in their appeal.
At the same time, they cited data from the State Customs Service, according to which agro-exports of Ukraine for 2023 amounted to 61% of total exports of goods from Ukraine and were equivalent to $21.9 billion, compared to 53% and $23.4 billion respectively a year earlier.
At the same time, the EU’s share in total agri-food exports from Ukraine in 2023 amounted to 56.6% (55.1% in 2022), or $12.4 billion ($12.9 billion respectively).
“The issue of maintaining maximum open access for Ukrainian agri-food products to the EU market will be vital for Ukraine’s trade balance in the coming years and the survival of Ukraine’s agricultural sector. If trade restrictions are implemented, Ukraine will face a significant reduction in foreign currency earnings from exports of major agri-food products,” the business community predicts.
Agrarian associations called on the government to facilitate access of Ukrainian agro-products to the EU market and the establishment of a direct dialog with European partners. In particular, they ask to include in the agenda of the next Ukraine-EU Summit the issues of continuation of autonomous trade preferences for Ukrainian agro-food products with minimum restrictions and preservation of the activity of the Ukraine-EU Trade Coordination Platform as the main platform for exchange of information on current issues in trade.
The appeal was signed by the All-Ukrainian Agrarian Forum, the Ukrainian Agrarian Business Club, the Agrarian Union of Ukraine, the All-Ukrainian Agrarian Rada, the Union of Poultry Farmers of Ukraine, and the Ukrainian Agrarian Confederation.
leading agrarian associations, trade conditions with the European Union, Ukrainian Club of Agrarian Business
VEON Group, the parent company of Ukraine’s largest telecom operator Kyivstar, has started implementing $600 million in investment commitments to rebuild Ukraine, the VEON press service said on Monday.
“VEON, a global converged communications and online services provider, and its subsidiary Kyivstar, are pleased to announce that they have officially started implementing the $600 million investment commitment to rebuild Ukraine announced in June 2023,” the statement said.
The investment will be utilized over three years, from 2024 to 2026.
It is reported that Kyivstar’s capital investments in 2023 amounted to $174 million. At the same time, the volume of future investment commitments from $600 million in the three-year period can be increased to $1 billion in the five-year perspective, if market conditions allow, VEON assured.
It is noted that VEON’s investment commitments were the subject of a visit to Kyiv by a high-level delegation, including former US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who was recently elected as an independent member of Kyivstar’s supervisory board, for the first time since his appointment.
According to a press release, he, along with VEON co-founder Auggie Fabella and VEON Group CEO and Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Kyivstar Kaan Terzioglu, met with the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine Andriy Yermak, US Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink, and Deputy Head of Mission of the Kingdom of the Netherlands Esselien van Erten.
“I am very pleased to be back in Kyiv, now as a member of the VEON family and a member of the Supervisory Board of Kyivstar. Ukraine must win this war, both on the battlefield and economically. The private sector, especially international investors, has a crucial role to play in ensuring this victory, and I believe that all stakeholders understand and appreciate this. I am inspired by the incredible commitment of VEON and Kyivstar, as well as other private sector companies, who continue to serve Ukrainians with dedication and tenacity,” Mike Pompeo said in a statement.
For his part, Terzioğlu thanked for the support during the process of international investors’ withdrawal from Russia, which ended in October 2023, as well as for the focus on investments in Ukraine, including $600 million in commitments this year.
Kyivstar’s President Oleksandr Komarov noted that with the start of the implementation of these investment commitments, this year marks the beginning of an ambitious journey for Kyivstar.
“Thanks to the support of our parent company VEON, the leadership of the Board of Directors of Kyivstar, which has become stronger than ever thanks to Secretary Pompeo, the unwavering commitment of our team of 4,000 people and the unwavering gratitude of our 24 million customers, Kyivstar is an example of a company that is taking on the challenge of rebuilding Ukraine today, overcoming all difficulties and never losing focus,” the company’s press service quoted him as saying.
Earlier it was reported that Pompeo met with Kyivstar’s staff in Kyiv last Thursday at the invitation of the company’s management and the CEO of VEON Group.
VEON, a telecommunications holding company headquartered in Amsterdam (the Netherlands), owns 100% of Kyivstar, the largest telecommunications operator in Ukraine, which serves 24 million customers with mobile and fixed-line communications and digital services. The VEON Group operators serve 160 million customers in Pakistan, Ukraine, Bangladesh, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan – six markets with more than 510 million users. VEON shares are listed on Nasdaq and Euronext Amsterdam.
Ukraine in January 2024 exported the largest volume of goods since the start of the full-scale invasion – 12 million tons of products, including 8.7 million tons exported by sea, the Economy Ministry said on Monday.
“We are very close to reaching pre-war physical export volumes. In January 2024, Ukraine exported 12 million tons of products. This is only 2 million tons less than in pre-war January 2022,” First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Economy Yulia Svyrydenko was quoted as saying in the release.
Earlier, Taras Kachka, Deputy Minister of Economy and Trade Representative of Ukraine, told Interfax-Ukraine that in December 2023, Ukraine reached the 10 million tons export figure, which was last reached in March 2023, followed by a decline in exports to less than $3 billion a month due to Russia’s disruption of the grain corridor.
Svyrydenko added that in January, the first vessel insured against military risks under the UNITY insurance was loaded in the ports of Greater Odesa. The cost of insurance for this vessel was 0.75% of the vessel’s value, which is much cheaper than during the Black Sea Grain Initiative.
The head of the Ministry of Economy believes that the normalization of the insurance market in trade is a cornerstone element of the resumption of exports of value-added products, and the goal is to reach not only pre-war export volumes but also higher revenues, which will be facilitated by the free shipment of Ukrainian containers by sea.
“This will only be possible when the insurance market for maritime transportation recovers. That is why it is so important for us that insurance becomes more affordable and is actually used to export Ukrainian products,” the First Deputy Prime Minister said.
The Unity ship insurance program, which the Ukrainian government is implementing jointly with Marsh McLennan and a pool of insurance companies led by ASCOT, is designed to reduce the cost of insurance for the maritime transportation of grain and other important food products in Ukraine’s territorial waters, which will help, among other things, increase the volume of Ukrainian exports. The total coverage under the program is $50 million. It is estimated that the proposed insurance mechanism will reduce the cost of grain insurance by about 2.5 percentage points of the insurance rate on average, which, in turn, will allow grain traders to save about UAH 100-140 per ton of cargo, and will bring an additional UAH 4 billion to agricultural producers.
The Ministry of Economy said that Ukraine expects to expand insurance instruments to other types of exports in the future.
One of the largest grain market operators in Ukraine, Nibulon JV LLC (Mykolaiv), has purchased 76 Scania R450 Euro 5 tractors and 64 semi-trailers from the Belgian manufacturer STAS as part of its strategy to develop its logistics business, the grain trader’s press service reported on Facebook.
According to Nibulon, the first batch of purchases amounts to 30 sets, of which five have already entered Ukrainian roads.
The company explained that due to the reorientation of logistics chains in the war, Nibulon is forced to use combined routes, including the transportation of grain by truck. The company uses such routes in its southern branches, in particular, in Voznesenskiy and Novoodesskiy river terminals, as well as from the terminal in Mykolaiv, which currently serves as a dry port, to Bessarabskiy.
To minimize the load on the roads and environmental impact, agricultural products from all water elevators located along the Dnipro River and blocked due to the explosion of the Kakhovka hydroelectric power station are transported by road to the elevators for rail shipment.
To reduce the weight of the road train and increase the payload, 30 of the 64 semi-trailers are all aluminum, including the frame. All tractors are equipped with 13-liter economical engines with an output of 450 hp and a torque of 2350 Nm and a Scania Opticruise automatic transmission.
In addition, for safe driving, an AEB emergency braking system, headlights and LED fog lights are installed. 7 units of equipment are used in the ADR FL configuration, which will be used for fuel transportation.
“Thanks to a diversified transport system that includes road, rail and water transport, Nibulon has managed to build new supply chains, reduce the cost of our logistics and thus increase the purchase prices for farmers,” says Sergiy Kalkutin, Logistics Director.
According to him, in 2024, the logistics department plans to completely renew the truck fleet of the freight transport service. In particular, trucks from Scania Ukraine will be an effective enhancement of the business, Nibulon believes.
At the conclusion of the agreement, Håkan Jyde, CEO of Scania Ukraine, noted that the company is proud to partner with Nibulon.
“We are pleased to be involved in the realization of an important goal – to ensure food exports in the interests of the Ukrainian economy and global food security,” said Håkan Jyde. – “We facilitate the work of the exporter and provide financial instruments to reduce the burden on business. Thus, the entire contract was financed on lease by Scania Credit Ukraine and insured with hull insurance. All trucks are also connected to the Scania FMS fleet monitoring system. “We are currently offering Nibulon the wide range of services and driver training offered by Scania Ukraine, as it is in our common interest to improve the performance of our vehicles,” said the head of Scania Ukraine.
“Nibulon expressed gratitude to Scania Ukraine and Scania Credit Ukraine for their long-term cooperation and support in the implementation of the truck fleet renewal project.
Nibulon JV LLC was established in 1991. Prior to the Russian military invasion, the grain trader had 27 transshipment terminals and crop reception complexes, a capacity for simultaneous storage of 2.25 million tons of agricultural products, a fleet of 83 vessels (including 23 tugs), and owned the Mykolaiv Shipyard.
“Before the war, Nibulon cultivated 82 thousand hectares of land in 12 regions of Ukraine and exported agricultural products to more than 70 countries.
In 2021, the grain trader exported the highest ever 5.64 million tons of agricultural products, reaching record volumes of supplies to foreign markets in August – 0.7 million tons, in the fourth quarter – 1.88 million tons, and in the second half of the year – 3.71 million tons.
Nibulon’s losses due to Russia’s full-scale military invasion in 2022 exceeded $416 million.
Currently, the grain trader is operating at 32% of capacity, has created a special unit to clear agricultural land of mines, and was forced to move its headquarters from Mykolaiv to Kyiv.
State-owned Oschadbank ended 2023 with UAH 4.75 billion in net profit, 7.4 times higher than the financial result of 2022 (UAH 0.638 billion), the financial institution said in a press release on Monday.
“The final amount of net profit in 2023 was significantly affected by an increase in the corporate income tax rate for banking institutions (from 18% to 50%) (…), as well as a negative revaluation of derivatives – government bonds with an indexed value in the capital of Oschadbank in the amount of UAH 2.9 billion,” the financial institution explained.
Regarding the bonds, Oschadbank emphasized that their fair value is influenced by external factors beyond the bank’s control, such as exchange rates and interest rates.
It is indicated that the pre-tax profit of the state-owned bank amounted to UAH 9.5 billion, which is a historical maximum.
“Compared to last year’s figures, Oschadbank’s net interest income increased by 26% to almost UAH 19 billion, while net commission income increased by 14% to UAH 7 billion,” the release says.
According to the release, in the face of the national currency devaluation, the bank managed to keep its operating expenses at the same level as last year due to effective management of operating expenses.
At the same time, Oschad’s operating profit, before provisions for credit risks, revaluation of derivatives and taxation, amounted to UAH 12 billion, which is 52% higher than in 2022.
As for the volume of customer accounts, in 2023 it increased by 28% to UAH 300 billion. The bank specifies that the growth of stable term customer accounts was 26%, and their volume reached UAH 100 billion.
Over the four quarters of 2023, Oschad managed to increase its loan and investment portfolio by 16% to UAH 263 billion. In particular, retail loans increased by 30% to UAH 15 billion.
It is noted that at the same time, the state-owned bank maintained a consistently high level of liquidity to ensure the smooth implementation of all client payments.
“A balanced credit policy taking into account the risks of wartime and the gradual liberation of our land from the occupiers contributed to the improvement of the quality of the Oschadbank loan portfolio and the dissolution of UAH 1.4 billion of provisions for expected credit risks on interest-bearing assets,” the financial institution said in a release.
The press service of Oschadbank informed that the bank has sufficient liquidity and capital reserves. According to the data provided, the regulatory capital adequacy ratio of the state-owned bank as of January 1, 2024 is 16.57%, while the NBU standard is 10%.
