The business confidence index for Ukraine’s construction market rose by 1.9 percentage points (pp) in the second quarter of 2026 compared to the first quarter, reaching “minus” 25.7%, according to the State Statistics Service (SSS).
According to data from a survey of construction companies conducted by the agency, the assessment of the current volume of orders improved by 1.7 pp to “minus” 41.5%. Specifically, 54% of the surveyed companies assessed their current order volume as normal for the season, while 45% deemed it insufficient.
Sixty-eight percent of respondents expect to raise prices for their services by the end of the second quarter of this year. Only 2% of respondents forecast a decrease in the cost of construction work, while 30% do not expect any changes in pricing policy.
According to State Statistics Service data, the companies surveyed have an average of six months’ worth of orders, which corresponds to the pre-war level at the beginning of 2022.
The agency notes that in the second quarter of 2026, construction will be negatively impacted by labor shortages (56.1%), financial constraints (48.2%), weather conditions (23%), insufficient demand (20.8%), and other factors (42.7%).
About 23% of the surveyed companies expect a reduction in the number of employees in April–June, while 57% believe that their numbers will remain unchanged, and 19% forecast an expansion of their workforce.
According to the State Statistics Service, 25% of respondents noted an increase in the volume of construction work completed in the past quarter, while 41% reported a decrease in volumes.
The survey showed that 98% of Ukrainian construction companies find it quite difficult to predict future business developments.
The statistical data is presented excluding territories temporarily occupied by the Russian Federation and parts of territories where hostilities are (were) taking place.
Ukraine’s construction market is showing mixed trends at the start of 2026: infrastructure and engineering construction remains the main driver, while the residential and part of the commercial segments continue to face pressure from rising costs, limited effective demand, and military risks. However, complete official statistics for January–March 2026 have not yet been published: according to the statistical agencies’ calendar, construction data for January–March is expected to be released in late April, so the current picture as of April 10 is based primarily on January–February results and related first-quarter indicators.
After a 12% increase in the volume of completed construction work in 2025—to UAH 248.1 billion—the market entered 2026 with a higher base, but growth rates began to level off as early as the first few months. In January, the volume of construction work grew by 3.3% year-over-year to UAH 11.254 billion, while building construction declined by 6.5%—including residential construction by 12% and non-residential construction by 4%—while civil engineering added 15.5%. Based on the results for January–February, the market already showed a 1.8% year-over-year decline to UAH 23.04 billion: the residential segment fell by 11.5%, the non-residential segment by 9.5%, while civil engineering structures, conversely, grew by 8.5%.
Rising construction costs remain a separate factor putting pressure on the market. According to the State Statistics Service, in February 2026, prices for construction and installation work rose by 7.2% compared to February of last year, and by 6.5% for the January-February period. In residential construction, price growth over two months was 6.1%, in non-residential construction—6.9%, and in civil engineering—6.4%. This means that even if certain growth areas remain stable, the profit margins of developers and contractors remain under pressure, especially in projects where sales prices or budget limits cannot keep pace with rising construction costs.
The residential segment, meanwhile, continues to present a mixed picture. On the one hand, the National Bank noted in its January inflation report that in the fourth quarter of 2025, the number of projects where construction began rose by 19% year-over-year, including a 77% increase in residential projects, and the number of buildings commissioned increased by 21%, including residential housing—by 40%. On the other hand, the NBU noted in its December Financial Stability Review that sales in unfinished projects remain sluggish, especially in the early stages of construction and in less secure regions, and housing prices in most regions are changing only slightly, indicating subdued demand.
Preferential mortgages remain a key support mechanism for the primary market. As of early April 2026, banks had issued 2,152 loans totaling 4.19 billion UAH under the “eOselya” program since the start of the year, and a total of 24,765 families have purchased housing since the program’s inception, for a total of 43.1 billion UAH. At the same time, in just one of the latest weekly reports, 101 out of 158 loans were for “first-sale” housing, including 48 loans for apartments in buildings under construction. This confirms that part of the demand for new housing in 2026 continues to be driven by state-subsidized mortgages.
According to Maksim Urakin, founder of the information and analytical center Experts Club, in January–March 2026, the Ukrainian construction market entered a phase of more complex but more mature growth. “It is no longer possible to speak of a single construction boom. Ukraine is effectively operating in three parallel markets: the first is reconstruction and engineering infrastructure, where demand remains stable; the second is the locally active residential segment in relatively safe regions; the third consists of frozen or very slow-moving projects in high-risk zones. The main trend at the start of 2026 is not simply volume growth, but a redistribution of capital toward infrastructure, logistics, industrial, and social real estate,” Urakin believes.
In his assessment, the market will depend on three factors in the coming months: continued funding for reconstruction, the sustainability of the “eOselya” program, and companies’ ability to maintain construction costs. “If state and international reconstruction programs maintain their pace, and mortgage instruments continue to support primary demand, the construction sector will be able to remain in positive territory in 2026. But without an expansion of long-term financing and a reduction in military risks, the housing market will grow in isolated pockets rather than across the board,” noted the founder of Experts Club.
Overall, the start of 2026 shows that Ukraine’s construction market remains vibrant and adaptable, though its growth is becoming increasingly segmented. Infrastructure, logistics, and restoration projects are performing the most steadily, while mass residential construction still depends on security, affordable mortgages, and developers’ ability to finance projects amid rising costs.
CONSTRUCTION MARKET, EXPERTS CLUB, HOUSING, INFRASTRUCTURE, URAKIN
The construction market in Ukraine in the first half of 2025 showed mixed dynamics: on the one hand, there was noticeable growth in residential construction and activity in the vast majority of projects, and on the other hand, there was a slowdown in engineering infrastructure and persistent problems with demand. Below are the main findings and forecasts from the Experts Club analytical center.
According to the State Statistics Service, the volume of construction work performed in Ukraine in January-June 2025 reached ≈92.998 billion UAH, which is 8.15% more than in the same period of 2024. However, different sectors show different dynamics.
For example, the area of new construction of apartment buildings increased by ~45–46% compared to the first half of 2024, to ≈2.86–2.97 million square meters. At the same time, the volume of work on engineering infrastructure (roads, communications, etc.) in January-May 2025 decreased by ≈17.8% compared to the same period last year. At the same time, work on non-residential buildings increased by ~29.5%.
Experts also point to many problems in the industry, the most important of which are:
1) Demand for primary housing lags significantly behind supply: many new properties are being built, but buyer activity is not keeping pace with the growth in supply.
2) Inflation (general and construction prices) and rising material costs are affecting construction costs and completion times.
3) The labor shortage is growing month by month, which could have a significant impact on the industry as a whole.
Forecasts for the second half of 2025 and the end of the year
Annual growth in the construction industry (including all segments: housing, infrastructure, commercial construction) is expected to be ≈16% in nominal terms, mainly due to the low base effect and active participation of international aid and state funding.
Private developers are likely to continue expanding their housing supply, especially in large cities and regions with high demand (Kyiv, Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, etc.).
The infrastructure segment may remain weak unless government orders and investments, including international ones, are accelerated.
The building repair and renovation sector may receive an additional boost from reconstruction and restoration programs following destruction and wear and tear.
The Ukrainian construction market in the first half of 2025 is showing some signs of recovery, especially in the residential segment: the volume of work has increased, the construction of apartment buildings has increased, and business confidence has improved. However, the sustainability of growth is still limited: engineering infrastructure is the weakest link, and there are risks of declining profitability and slowdown if issues with material prices, staffing, and the legislative and regulatory environment are not resolved.
In the first four months of 2025, Croatia’s construction sector showed moderate growth amid a slowdown in overall economic growth and changes in legislation. Despite the existing challenges, investments in infrastructure and renewable energy sources are supporting the positive dynamics of the industry.
Key indicators for January–April 2025
Growth in construction output: In February 2025, the volume of construction work increased by 8.7% compared to the same period last year.
New construction orders: In the first half of 2024, the value of new construction orders rose by 14.9% year-on-year, laying the foundation for activity in early 2025.
Gross value added: According to data from December 2024, gross value added in construction reached a record €1,450.5 million. Factors influencing the market
Infrastructure investment: Support from the European Investment Bank, including a €400 million loan, is helping to develop transport and energy infrastructure.
Development of renewable energy sources: The construction of solar and geothermal power plants, such as the 150 MW SE Promina project, is stimulating demand for construction services.
Legislative changes: The introduction of new property taxes and restrictions on short-term rentals create uncertainty for investors and may hold back growth in some market segments.
Forecast for the end of 2025
Expected growth: Croatia’s construction industry is projected to grow by an average of 2.4% in real terms in 2025, with growth supported by investments in infrastructure and energy.
Risks and challenges: A slowdown in economic growth, particularly in Germany, could negatively affect Croatian tourism and, consequently, the construction sector. Thus, despite the existing challenges, the Croatian construction market is showing resilience in 2025, supported by public and private investment in key infrastructure projects.
Pozniaky-Zhyl-Bud (Kyiv) in 2020 saw a net loss of UAH 21.304 million, which is 20% lower than the result of 2019 (UAH 17.631 million loss), follows from the agenda of a shareholders’ meeting scheduled for April 29, 2021, promulgated in the information disclosure system of the National Securities and Stock Market Commission of Ukraine.
The uncovered loss of the company over the year reached UAH 17.044 million against UAH 4.260 million of retained earnings for the previous year.
Current liabilities increased by 3.4 times, to UAH 855.882 million, while long-term liabilities decreased to UAH 443.352 million from UAH 664.757 million.
In addition, it is reported that by December 31, 2020, the company’s assets increased by 44%, to UAH 1.368 billion, while cash and its equivalent almost halved, to UAH 3.626 million. The total debtor indebtedness increased by 1.5 times, to UAH 331.8 million.
The net worth of Pozniaky-Zhyl-Bud in 2020 was negative, minus UAH 16.869 million.
KAN Development (Kyiv) is designing two projects of gated residential communities in Kyiv, which will have a house for rental, the founder of the company, Ihor Nikonov, has said. “We have acquired two land parcels for projects of gated residential communities. We are currently developing them. However, we cannot predict whether there will be demand. We just have to take and make a new product on the market: housing in private houses within the city. I’ll say right ow this will not be townhouses – they did not take root in our market,” he said in an exclusive interview with Interfax-Ukraine.
According to him, the land area is approximately 30 hectares. Both projects are designed for 160-200 houses. Infrastructure will include a kindergarten with an elementary school, a kids club, a restaurant, and a swimming pool.
“We are trying to make a rental house under the project, where one can rent apartments for staff or relatives who have come to stay. All these are attributes of a comfortable life. I personally try to develop the concept of life without a car. It will be our goal in new projects. To live constantly on wheels is absolutely uncomfortable and inefficient,” the founder of KAN Development said.
As he said, currently there are no offers of gated residential communities in the Kyiv’s market, all projects in this segment are being implemented in the suburbs.
In addition, he said that in 2020, KAN Development plans to launch a new business-class complex project in the center of Kyiv.
“We still plan to diversify the risks and carry out several projects of different categories at the same time. This year, I think, we will launch three projects. We have begun a comprehensive business class development project in the center of Kyiv. I think that we will bring it to the market in 2020,” he said.
