Ukraine since the beginning of 2022/2023 marketing year (July-June) and until December 2, exported 18.08 million tons of cereals, including 9.66 million tons of corn (53.4% of total supplies), 6.87 million tons of wheat (38%) and 1.48 million tons of barley (8.1%).
As reported on the website of the Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food on Friday, the rate of grain exports since the beginning of this MY is 29.84% lower than the same period last MY (from July 1, 2020 to December 2, 2021, 25.77 million tons were delivered abroad), the lag was the lowest since the beginning of MY. For comparison, the previous maximum rate of exports was reached on November 14, when the lag from last year’s values was the lowest in the last few months at 30.6%.
According to the Ministry, from the beginning of 2022/2023 MY to December 2, 2022, Ukraine exported 6.87 million tons of wheat (2.12 times less compared to the same period last year), 1.48 million tons of barley (3.35 times less), 12 thousand tons of rye (6.9 times less). At the same time, exports of corn exceeded last year’s volume: 9.66 million tons were exported, which is 1.62 times more than on the same date of 2021/2022 MY, while export of flour amounted to 53.2 thousand tons (+2.1%).
It is specified that on the first day of December Ukraine exported 0.2 million tons of grain crops, including 97 thousand tons of wheat, 89 thousand tons of corn, 13 thousand tons of barley, 0.1 tons of rye and 1 thousand tons of flour.
As the Ministry data show, during the last reporting period November 28 – December 2, an average of 222.5 thousand tons of cereals per day were supplied to the foreign markets, whereas during the preceding period November 18-28 – 124 thousand tons per day, November 14-18 – 212.5 thousand tons per day, November 7-14 – 118.6 thousand tons per day and November 2-7 – 178 thousand tons per day. Thus, the average daily rate of exports during the reporting period of November 18-28 has increased by 1.8 times compared to the previous period of November 18-28.
As reported, Ukraine exported 48.51 million tons of grains and leguminous crops in 2021/2022 MY, which is 8.4% higher than in the previous MY, despite the full-scale invasion of Russia and the difficulties with the export of agricultural products due to the blockade of Ukrainian seaports. 18.74 million tons of wheat (12.6% more than in 2020/2021MY), 23.54 million tons of corn (+1.9%), 5.75 million tons of barley (+35.9%), 70.9 thousand tons of flour (-44.1%) were supplied to foreign markets.
In 2020/2021 MY, the country exported 44.72 million tons of cereals and legumes: 16.64 million tons of wheat, 23.08 million tons of corn, 4.23 million tons of barley, 126.9 thousand tons of flour and 18.4 thousand tons of rye.
In 2019/2020, Ukraine exported 56.72 million tons of grain and leguminous crops.
Four dry cargo ships with more than 120,000 tons of wheat and corn left Ukrainian ports on Friday, the Joint Coordination Center (JCC) reported.
“Four ships left Ukrainian ports today, they are carrying a total of 120,150 tons of grain and other food within the framework of the Black Sea Grain Initiative,” the report said.
Vessel Nestor S will deliver 62,9 thousand tons of corn to China, dry-cargo carrier Mohamad M will carry 23,5 thousand tons of corn to Italy. In addition two vessels Tzarevich (19 thousand tons of wheat) and Gannet S (14 750 tons of corn) set a course to Turkey.
In addition, there are five ships heading for Ukrainian ports, which passed through the humanitarian sea corridor on November 11.
SKC notes that 76 dry cargo vessels are awaiting permission to enter Ukrainian ports, and seven loaded vessels are preparing to be inspected in Turkish territorial waters.
“As of November 11, the total tonnage of grain and other agricultural products exported from three Ukrainian ports is 10,288,535 tons. A total of 892 ships have been allowed to move so far: 450 to arrive at Ukrainian ports and 442 to leave them,” stressed the JCC.
The pace of harvesting in Ukraine due to rainy weather is significantly inferior to last year’s, especially for corn, which by November 4 was harvested on 27% of the area (1.14 million hectares), while last year on this date was thinned 61% of the area (3.3 million hectares).
“Harvesting in Ukraine is slower than last year, and the average moisture content is very high due to the long rains in September and October. Farmers hope that frosts will reduce the moisture content of corn from 22-28% to an acceptable 16-20%, so they plan to postpone harvesting until winter or spring, especially if exports from the Black Sea ports are blocked, which will lead to lower prices,” according to the website of the electronic grain exchange GrainTrade on Monday.
Besides, this season the cost of drying grain has increased two or three times as compared to last year, from 60-100 UAH/ton/percent to 160-250 UAH/ton/percent due to the rise in price of gas and diesel fuel.
The exchange also specified that agrarians of Vinnitsa and Chernovtsy regions have already finished sunflower harvesting, while in Kharkiv region only 42% of sunflower crops are threshed. Most of all 380 thousand tons of soybeans were harvested in Khmelnytsky region and most of all the sugar beets (1.9 million tons) – in Vinnitsa region. The highest yield of grain and leguminous crops – 6.22 tons / ha was obtained by farmers of Khmelnytsky region.
As it was reported, Ukrainian agrarians harvested 53.11 million tons of major crops from the total area of 15.13 million hectares on November 4, with 4.3 million tons from 2 million hectares from October 28 – November 4.
The final yield of wheat in this season amounted to 19.2 million tons from 4.7 million hectares, barley – 5.5 million tons from 1.6 million hectares, rape – 3.1 million tons from 1.96 million hectares, pea – 261 tons from 111.5 million hectares.
In addition, November 4, 9 million tons of sunflower was gathered from 4.1 million hectares, 6.4 million tons of sugar beets from 105 thousand hectares, 6.3 million tons of corn from 1.1 million hectares, 3.1 million tons of soy from 1.3 million hectares, 151 tons of buckwheat from 111 thousand hectares and 98 tons of millet from 42.6 ha.
According to the Ministry, the average yield by all crops in the current season was 40.7 c/ha, including corn – 55.4 c/ha, wheat – 41.2 c/ha, of barley – 35.1 c/ha, rape – 28.9 c/ha, soybeans – 23.9 c/ha, peas – 23.4 c/ha, millet – 23.1 c/ha, sunflower – 22.0 c/ha, buckwheat – 13.6 c/ha, sugar beets – 488 c/ha.
In its September report, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) increased the forecast for the harvest of Ukrainian corn in 2022/2023 marketing year (MY, July-June) by 1.5 million tons compared to August, up to 31.5 million tons from 30 million tons, and its export estimate has been raised by 0.5 million tons to 13 million tons from 12.5 million tons.
According to a report on the US Department of Agriculture website on Tuesday, the estimate of domestic corn consumption in Ukraine has been increased by 1 million tons – from 10.5 million tons to 11.5 million tons.
In the new forecast, the agency also raised the forecast for wheat production in Ukraine in 2022/2023 MY by 1 million tons – up to 20.5 million tons from 19.5 million tons, while the estimate of its exports remained at the same level – 11 million tons. At the same time, the forecast for its domestic consumption in Ukraine has also been increased by 0.5 million tons – up to 5.5 million tons from 5 million tons.
“Forecast of production (wheat – IF) in Ukraine increased by 1 million tons, to 20.5 million, as the harvest is almost completed, and government statistics indicate higher final yields in the forest and forest-steppe zones,” the Ministry of Agriculture said in a report. USA.
In addition, the forecast for carry-over stocks of wheat at the end of the current marketing year has been increased – from 4.24 million tons to 4.71 million tons compared to 5.84 million tons at its beginning.
According to the report, in general, the forecast for the feed grain harvest in Ukraine for 2022/23 MY was increased by 1.5 million tons – up to 38.96 million tons from 37.46 million tons, and its export – by 0.5 million tons, up to 14 .83 million tons from 14.33 million tons.
As reported, from the beginning of the 2022/2023 marketing year and until September 9, Ukraine exported 5.29 million tons of grain and leguminous crops, which is 1.94 times less than the previous marketing year. The country supplied to foreign markets 3.17 million tons of corn (2.37 times more than in the same period in 2021/2022 MY), 1.65 million tons of wheat (3.6 times less), 447 thousand tons of barley (6 .7 times less) and 15.6 thousand tons of flour (1.7 times less).