Business news from Ukraine

Business news from Ukraine

Oil prices rise, Brent at $85.66 barrel

Oil prices are rising Wednesday ahead of the release of the results of the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting as well as the results of the OPEC+ meeting.
The Fed is expected to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Wednesday, signaling a further slowdown in the rate hike.
Ministers of the OPEC+ monitoring committee (JMMC) will meet Feb. 1 to discuss the oil market situation. Most experts do not expect any new decisions following this meeting, notes Bloomberg.
The cost of April futures for Brent oil on London’s ICE Futures exchange by 7:15 a.m. on Wednesday is $85.66 per barrel, which is $0.2 (0.23%) higher than the price at the close of the previous session. Those contracts rose $0.96 (1.1%) to $85.46 a barrel at the close of trading on Tuesday.
The price of WTI futures for March increased by $0.32 (0.41%) to $79.19 per barrel at electronic trades of NYMEX. By closing of previous trades the cost of these contracts grew by $0.97 (1.3%) to $78.87 per barrel.
In January both Brent and WTI have fallen in price by about 1.7%. It was the third straight month of decline, despite increased investor optimism about demand prospects in China following the lifting of quarantine restrictions in the country.
“The oil market seems to have found a steady footing,” notes Yep Jun Rong, an analyst at IG Asia Pte in Singapore. – Nevertheless, any hawkish signals from the Fed on Wednesday could bring back downward pressure.”
The American Petroleum Institute (API) data released Tuesday night showed a 6.33 million barrel increase in U.S. oil inventories for the week ended Jan. 27.
The official report on U.S. energy stocks will be released at 5:30 p.m. Wednesday.

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A.G.R. Group will continue to export some grain through EU after war ends – interview

The first part of an interview with the owner of the agricultural holding A.G.R. Group, Misak Khidiryan, and Board Chairman of A.G.R. Group Ihor Shestopalov about the key challenges of the past year – Russia’s invasion and forced change of conditions and destinations of agricultural crops export.

By Oleksiy Kozachenko

What did you see at your agricultural cluster in Kyiv region after the “goodwill gesture” of the Russian troops?

Misak Khidiryan: Our Brovary cluster in Kyiv region was occupied in the spring. The Russian occupiers knocked out the gates with an armored personnel carrier, took the guards hostage and began to loot: they stole diesel fuel, equipment from warehouses, damaged expensive agricultural machinery. In addition, during missile and artillery attacks, the Rushists damaged storage silos, grain drying complex, and a grain storage facility with a capacity of 20,000 tonnes. The shelling also caused damage to the vehicles in the winter storage – John Deere tractors and trailed units. Up to the point that the occupiers broke the doors in self-propelled sprayers in order to get the radios. They couldn’t take it – they just destroyed the panels.

The holding spent more than UAH 5 million for partial repairs. The restoration of the cluster took one month and a half – we rushed to get back in line and returned to work as soon as the sowing and harvesting campaigns started.

Some manufacturers of agricultural machinery left the Ukrainian market when the war broke out. How did this fact affect the working capacity of your agricultural machinery park?

Ihor Shestopalov: The situation with spare parts is very difficult today. We have to wait for a part of the ordered items – we pay in advance and wait for the delivery. We try to solve the problems with the repairs of equipment on our own – something we process, something we weld, and then we continue to work. We repair equipment by our own efforts, we diagnose it with relevant software.

Before the war, we planned to buy tractors, trailed units, and sunflower reapers. Last year we used our own equipment and only leased Case IH combines to harvest sunflower crops.

Despite everything, we continue to work on precision farming technologies, and this is justified. Our Kinze and Väderstad seeders are set up to sow with a sowing rate depending on the crop and the set depth, which eliminates overseeding and sowing errors due to automatic section shutdown.

Our tractors and sprayers are equipped with the iTEC system to minimize operator work. We set up BoomTrac, an automatic height measuring system for the sprayer boom above the soil or plant. Our grain harvesters and tractors work with an RTK signal. Each combine operator has his own name card, without which he will not be able to unload the harvested products.

Did you provide the military with equipment in wartime?

Misak Khidiryan: Near the Brovary cluster, there was a lot of broken Russian equipment, which we pulled with our tractors for further transfer to the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) – there were mostly broken tanks, but there were also intact ones. Part of the equipment of the invaders was dragged to our base, loaded onto trawls, and taken for repairs. It was such that one tank had to be pulled out of the fields by three powerful tractors. We also went to neighboring villages and pulled trophies of the Rushists from people’s gardens.

In spring, we passed six MAZ trucks with trailers, a fuel truck, Niva and Renault Duster cars, Toyota Hilux pickup trucks to the AFU and the Territorial Defense Forces, as well as supplied the Ukrainian defenders with fuel. By the way, they returned the fuel truck when the occupiers retreated from Kyiv region, and it was successfully used during the sowing campaign.

What did you do to mines and remains of munitions in Kyiv region?

Misak Khidiryan: We decided that the sowing campaign should take place under any conditions. We found a demining team that went to the fields every day with our agronomists and looked for anti-tank mines and unexploded ordnance. Meanwhile, a special commission was invited to document the facts of destruction and theft by Russian troops.

In fact, it took a month and a half to resume the operation of the cluster, of which about ten days were spent on demining the fields. We started to till the soil and apply fertilizers on April 10-11, and a week later we started sowing corn. We also received permission from the AFU and the Territorial Defense Forces to work during the curfew so that our machine operators could work around the clock. The forces agreed and even organized the escort of machine operators at night because at that moment sabotage and reconnaissance groups continued to operate in the region.

As for the employees, more than 90% returned to their jobs. When it was possible, we transferred our workers from the occupied territories to the main office and clusters. In particular, a mechanical engineer was hired from Mykolaiv cluster. Another three machine operators, who are internally displaced persons, were hired from Kherson and Mykolaiv regions.

The Russian aggression forced the agricultural sector to develop new logistic corridors. What have you managed to do during the past year?

Ihor Shestopalov: When the war broke out, A.G.R. Group and MK Merchants S.A. owned by Misak Khidiryan, reoriented logistics to the EU market from seaports to motor, rail transport and river ports of Reni and Izmail. However, even after the end of the war and de-occupation, we will continue to export part of our grain in this direction. Due to this fact, we are interested in grain storage facilities and agricultural enterprises in the west of Ukraine – this will help us to reduce the logistics leg and facilitate export to the EU.

Currently, we are investing in the restoration of assets damaged by the Russian troops – we have already repaired a dryer and a grain silo in Brovarsky cluster. We are studying how to restore the grain infrastructure in Mykolaiv cluster after its recent liberation by the AFU.

Logistics was abnormally expensive in 2022. How did you cope with that?

Misak Khidiryan: For Ukraine, the economic feasibility of exporting to Asian and African countries through EU seaports is questionable, since transshipment and reloading cost 50-60% of the cost of grain, which makes this method of export unprofitable for farmers. Directing exports to the EU can only be beneficial for exports to end consumers in the EU.

If we evaluate the work of the “grain” corridor, the UN data show that most of the grain exports from Ukraine over the past three months went to Spain, Turkey, Italy, China, and the Netherlands. It was the return of Ukraine to the world agricultural markets after the opening of the grain corridor that contributed to a decrease in world food prices, which eased the food problem for the poorest countries.

We are also actively exporting along the “grain” corridor. Frankly, this is a risky option due to long queues, delays in inspections of grain trucks by the Russian side, and generally very slow operation. But given the current situation with the cost of logistics during the war, I consider the grain corridor a good opportunity.

In the end, the European railway is unable to transport the volumes of grain needed by Ukraine, and not only grain. In order to make full use of the European infrastructure for export, we need to open additional railway and road checkpoints on the border with Ukraine, and, of course, build a European gauge in our country.

What about your road and railway transportation?

Ihor Shestopalov: Throughout the year, we accelerated and facilitated our own business processes, applied to the relevant official structural units of the EU and Ukraine to increase the speed of cargo delivery, and actively used vehicles. Probably, it is necessary to gather representatives of ministries, agribusinesses, exporters, and relevant associations, put together a complete picture of the obstacles to logistics in the EU, and jointly find ways to solve these problems.

Consider that the cost of transporting grain by rail increased several times over the year. Before the war, delivering grain to the port cost $6-7 per tonne, and now it costs $10-12 per tonne. The rate of Ukrzaliznytsia for a grain carrier is UAH 4,500 per day for export transportation and UAH 2,500 per day for domestic transportation. With this tariff, the wagon component in the cost of transportation is $50 and $19 per tonne of grain per day. Add the services of a transshipment terminal – $15-30 per tonne, although before the war it cost $9-10 per tonne. The transportation of his cargo across Ukraine will cost an agrarian $80-120 per tonne, and for our farms – about $90-95 per tonne from the elevator to the port. The cost of logistics has increased several times.

As for trucking, we, like most farms, faced a shortage of grain carriers. A.G.R. Group passed more than a dozen own vehicles to the AFU. As for the rest, we have the opportunity to control the location of our vehicles and build a schedule for their work so that the export does not stop for a day.

Could you please clarify what, where and in what amount you export?

Ihor Shestopalov: Soybean, rapeseed, barley, wheat, corn, sunflower, buckwheat – we are considering all possible markets for products in the EU, Turkey, Egypt, and Nepal. Since the beginning of the full-scale invasion, we have exported almost 55,000 tonnes. Our partners from MK Merchants transport grain through the river ports of Izmail and Reni and ship an average of eight to ten vessels per month.

What will you sow this year? Are you planning to switch to oilseeds?

Misak Khidiryan: Next year we plan to abandon the cultivation of corn – we will sow soybeans and sunflowers. Growing corn is now problematic – prices for drying and processing are high, and the purchase prices are low. In 2023, we planned to grow wheat and rapeseed, we expected to sow winter wheat in September, immediately after sunflower harvesting. But the weather did not allow us to go out into the field, and in October it was too late to sow wheat, so we had to abandon it.

Did you manage to buy commodities and materials?

Ihor Shestopalov: We had to abandon anhydrous ammonia, the production of which is 99% associated with the aggressor country. In the spring we plan to use carbamide in the fields. As for nitrogen and phosphorus-potassium fertilizers, some of them have already been purchased.

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Grain harvest in Ukraine in 2023 will be about 49.5 million tons – forecast

Grain harvest in Ukraine in 2023, according to the forecast of the Ministry of Economy, will be about 49.5 million tons, which is better than the estimate of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) of 46 million tons, First Deputy Minister Denis Kudin told Interfax-Ukraine
“Ukraine will definitely have enough food, the problem with the rest of the world: we have become a weighty player on the world stage, so if the logistics of agricultural products from Ukraine is important to us because it is the inflow of foreign exchange earnings, it is important to the world because it is food security for it,” he said on the sidelines of the business forum on the rapid recovery of Ukraine in Luxembourg, organized by the Ukrainian-Luxembourg Business Club.
The First Deputy Minister noted that in the current situation the Ministry of Economy sees no need to resort to any bans or quotas on the export of agricultural products, but at the same time will maintain the licensing of its individual types.
“Through licensing we receive information on the exported volume, and if we see that the balance does not add up, that our domestic consumption is at risk of being unsustainable, then we reserve the right to limit the export,” he explained.
In general, as Kudin pointed out, the balance of payments forecast of the Ministry of Economy for 2023 is much more positive than that of the NBU.
According to the Ministry of Agrarian Policy, Ukrainian farmers harvested 52.6 million tons of grain and leguminous crops by January 27, 2023. During the week, the total area of harvested crops increased by 1 percentage point (p.p.) – up to 96% of previously planned areas, including corn which had to be harvested from 10% of areas (+3 p.p. during the week). By January 27, a total of 25.2 million tons of corn had been harvested.

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Egypt remains one of most favorable trade partners of Ukraine – experts

In the next video YouTube-channel of the analytical center “Club of experts” the prospects of trade and economic relations between Ukraine and Egypt were considered.

As the founder of the Club of Experts Maxim Urakin emphasized, before the war Egypt was the most favorable trade partner for Ukraine, the trade surplus with which amounted to almost 2 billion U.S. dollars. Grain and metallurgical products were the main Ukrainian goods at the Egyptian market.

At the same time, in the first months of the war, the Russian blockade of maritime communications in the Black Sea limited Ukrainian exports to Africa and, above all, to Egypt. The grain agreement improved the situation, but only with regard to agricultural exports. In order not to lose the Egyptian market, the Ukrainian companies have to adapt to the current situation now in order not to make additional efforts after the war.

According to the President of the Ukrainian Exporters Club Eugenia Litvinova, the Ukrainian producers should pay attention to the Egyptian market of dairy products in the first place. In this case, it is necessary to take into account the separation of Egyptian groups of goods for wholesale and retail trade while creating favorable conditions for imports. Also, according to her, the demand in Egypt is for canned and dried fruits, confectionery, chocolate, oils, fats, mineral water, as well as crockery, various cutlery, baths, showers, sinks, building materials and other goods for the retail trade.

“I want to draw attention to the fact that all Ukrainian exporters who want to trade with Egypt, must be registered in the general administration to control exports and imports. After that it is possible to establish logistics through rail and road ways, taking into account the temporary inaccessibility of the port of Odessa”, – she explained.

Besides, Yevgeniya Litvinova noticed that since March of the last year, Egypt obliged Ukraine to use the letter of credit for many groups of goods that leads to rise in price of transactions from 0,2 to 0,5%. This factor, according to the expert, will also directly affect trade and its final results.

“If we talk about advice to our small and medium-sized businesses when entering the Egyptian market, first you need to understand what exports are, if you have not previously been involved in this process. Then you should analyze in which cases it is profitable to open a Ukrainian enterprise in Egypt to work, and in which cases you do not always need to do it and not always profitable. Finally, the third tip – go through the registration. At least look at how to pass authorization, registration through a single window in Egypt. I draw your attention to the fact that your brand should be registered at least in Ukraine before you start to pass this registration in Egypt, “- summed up Eugenia.

In turn, the head of the Egyptian diaspora in Ukraine, Dr. Atia Walid noticed that in recent years Egyptian-Ukrainian trade relations have been intensively developed and our country has been invited to participate in major infrastructure projects, which are now being implemented by the Egyptian authorities.

“Back in 2021 Egypt discussed with the Ukrainian government investment in the special economic zone of the Suez Canal. That is, the Egyptian economic policy is primarily aimed at encouraging investment in the country’s economy. Egypt, of course, is interested in cooperation with Ukrainian companies from the point of view of opening joint ventures on its territory, which can well be realized today, despite the war. I think it is quite realistic for Ukrainian companies to open branches there, if they are interested in the sales market. Egypt is ready to facilitate this,” stressed the representative of Egypt.

In his opinion, our suppliers should work more actively both with the Egyptian embassy in Kiev and the Ukrainian embassy in Cairo. This will facilitate the passage of bureaucratic procedures and reduce the likelihood of becoming victims of fraud.

“Ukrainian businessmen should check with the Egyptian embassy or the Chamber of Commerce the authenticity of the documents of those organizations with which they cooperate. And only after that, conclude a contract according to all international rules. You should not believe the promises and pretty eyes, and do not forget the basics of doing business in the field of export-import. I wish all businessmen in Egypt and in Ukraine only success,” said Dr. Atia Walid.

See more details in the video:

You can subscribe to the Club of Experts channel by following the link:

https://www.youtube.com/@user-nz9lh8yg9g

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A.G.R. Group restored agricultural cluster in month and half in Kiev region

The agricultural cluster “Brovary” of A.G.R. Group. Group in the spring of 2022 was occupied by Russian troops invading the northern regions of Ukraine, missile and artillery fire damaged the holding’s operational silo, grain drying complex and grain storage facility with a capacity of 20 thousand tons.
Misak Khidiryan, the owner of the agricultural group, said in an interview with Interfax-Ukraine that it took more than UAH 5 million and a month and a half of intensive work to restore the cluster’s performance, as the agricultural holding was in a hurry to conduct the sowing and harvesting campaigns on time.
In addition, Russian shelling also damaged A.G.R. Group’s winter storage equipment, which resulted in damage to John Deere tractors and trailed units.
“Our Brovary cluster was under occupation in the spring. The Russian occupants knocked out the gates with an APC, took the guards hostage and started looting: they stole diesel fuel and equipment from the warehouses, damaged expensive farm equipment… To the point that the occupants broke the doors of self-propelled sprayers in order to get the radio sets. They couldn’t take them off – they just gutted the panels,” said the owner of A.G.R. Group owner told in an interview.
Khidiryan specified that in addition to the restoration of agricultural buildings, clearance of the cluster “Brovary” took about 10 days. Also in the fields remained a lot of damaged and destroyed military equipment of the occupants.
“Near the Brovary cluster there was a lot of broken Russian equipment, which we pulled with our tractors for further transfer to the AFU – there were mostly broken tanks, but there were also intact ones. There were mostly broken tanks, but there were also intact ones. It was so that from the fields we had to pull out one tank with three powerful tractors. We also went to neighboring villages and pulled out missile trophies from people’s gardens,” noted Khidiryan.
As reported with reference to the National Academy of Agrarian Sciences of Ukraine (NAAS), the total direct damage caused to the agricultural sector of Ukraine as a result of the full-scale Russian invasion reached $9.3-9.8 billion by the end of 2022, which is comparable to the total profits of the country’s agricultural enterprises in 2020 and 2021.
This figure includes damage from the blockade of Ukrainian seaports and forced changes in export logistics ($7.5-8.0 billion), the cost of unsold last year’s grain ($0.5 billion) and the cost of warehouses and elevators destroyed or seized by the occupiers ($1.3 billion).
The A.G.R. Group holding includes more than 20 companies. Its main activities are trade of agricultural products, cultivation and storage of crops and livestock breeding.
A.G.R. Group cultivates land in Poltava, Kiev, Chernigov, Nikolaev and Sumy regions. All grown products are sold on foreign markets.
The president of the holding and head of its supervisory board is businessman Misak Khidirian.

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U.S. sends 60 Bradley infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine

The United States has sent a shipment of 60 Bradley infantry fighting vehicles (IFVs) to Ukraine, the U.S. Armed Forces Transportation Command (TRANSCOM) said.
“A shipment of more than 60 Bradleys left North Charleston, South Carolina, last week; they will provide Ukrainian forces with additional offensive and defensive capabilities,” the statement said.
At the same time, it is indicated that the U.S. Transportation Command of the Armed Forces is delivering the first batch of Bradley infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine as part of a $2.85 billion military assistance package, which was announced earlier in January.
The Bradley has a three-man crew and can carry up to six infantrymen in a troop compartment. The BMP entered service in 1981, and a total of 9,753 copies of different versions were produced. They were used by U.S. troops in the wars in the Persian Gulf, Iraq and Afghanistan.
The total amount of U.S. military aid to Ukraine since February 2022 was $27.1 billion, the command recalled.

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