The international reserves of Ukraine as of October 1, 2022, according to preliminary data, amounted to $23 billion 929.6 million (in equivalent), which is 5.9% less than at the beginning of September ($25.436 billion), according to the data of the National Bank of Ukraine, released on Thursday.
“As of October 1, 2022, Ukraine’s international reserves, according to preliminary data, amounted to $23.929 billion. In September, they decreased by 5.9%, taking into account the sale of foreign currency by the National Bank on the interbank market, including to meet defense needs and payments of Ukrainians abroad. At that At the same time, steady receipts from international partners continue to keep international reserves at a sufficient level, despite a full-scale war,” the regulator explained.
The regulator clarified that net international reserves in September decreased by 4.6%, or $736 million, to $15.181 billion, while in August their growth was 26.6%, or $3 billion 342 million (to $15.917 billion).
According to the National Bank, in September the dynamics of international reserves was affected by operations to manage public debt. In particular, foreign exchange receipts to the accounts of the Ukrainian government with the NBU in September amounted to $2.034 billion, including from the United States – $1.5 billion, from the EU – $482 million, from the placement of government bonds – $51.7 million.
The total volume of board payments for servicing and repaying state debt in foreign currency amounted to $65.1 million, including $63 million directed to repay debt to international creditors, $2.1 million – to service government bonds.
In addition, Ukraine transferred $624.6 million to the IMF.
International reserves were also affected by NBU operations on the interbank market. In particular, they sold $2.777 billion on the foreign exchange market and bought $39.4 million into reserves, due to which the balance of interventions was negative and amounted to $2.728 billion.
In addition, the reserves were affected by the revaluation of financial instruments, in particular, their decrease by $115.5 million.
“The current volume of international reserves provides funding for 3.7 months of future imports, which is enough to meet the obligations of Ukraine and the current operations of the government and the National Bank,” Certrobank said.
As reported, at the beginning of 2022, Ukraine’s international reserves amounted to $30.941 billion, net international reserves (NIR) – $20.767 billion.
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) has adopted a resolution to revoke its banking license from October 10 and liquidate the insolvent Sich Bank, the regulator’s press service reported on Thursday.
The corresponding decision was made by the resolution of the NBU Board No. 495-rsh dated October 6.
As reported, on August 10, 2022, the NBU board decided to classify Bank Sich JSC as insolvent due to the financial institution’s failure to fulfill its obligations to the NBU on refinancing loans within the time period established by the agreement due to insufficient funds.
The message on the regulator’s website also notes that Sich Bank did not pay interest on refinancing loans for July 2022, violating the terms of the general loan agreement concluded between the bank and the National Bank.
Each depositor of Sich Bank will receive compensation from the DGF in the full amount of the deposit, including interest accrued as of the end of the day preceding the day the procedure for withdrawing the bank from the market begins. In general, the possible amount of payments of the guaranteed amount to depositors as of July 1, 2022 is UAH 1.229 billion.
Bank “Sich” was founded in 2011. According to the bank’s website, as of January 1, 2022, its shareholders were Oleg Balanda (55.615%), Valery Razdorozhny (31.016%), Andrey Melnik (9.6257%) and Oleg Gubanov (3.7433%).
Inflation in Ukraine in September accelerated to 24.4% y / y from 23.8% y / y in August, according to the macroeconomic and monetary monthly review of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU), released on Thursday.
According to him, the main reasons for the acceleration of inflation are the consequences of the war and the occupation of part of the country’s territory, including the disruption of supply chains, the destruction of industries, the reduction in the supply of goods and services, and the increase in business production costs.
The acceleration of inflation was also affected by further pass-through to prices of the July adjustment of the hryvnia against the US dollar, which was necessary to maintain the stability of the Ukrainian economy.
At the same time, price growth is constrained by fixing tariffs for gas and heat, and partial adjustment of supply chains, in particular, oil products.
The regulator pointed out that inflation expectations are further deteriorating, in particular, businesses expect inflation to reach 25% in the next 12 months.
The World Bank predicts the growth of the economy of Uzbekistan in 2022 by 5.3%, according to the updated WB economic review for the Europe and Central Asia region.
Earlier in April, the World Bank expected the country’s GDP to grow by 3.6% this year.
“According to forecasts, Uzbekistan’s GDP growth will slow to 5.3% in 2022 (in 2021 the economy grew by 7%) and will be 4.9% in 2023. Increasing difficulties in the field of logistics (supplies) associated with sanctions against Russia, will slow down the growth of private consumption,” the document says.
At the same time, according to the WB, private investment and exports are expected to grow steadily, and the current account balance of payments will improve, as Uzbekistan continues to benefit from high world commodity prices (gold, copper, natural gas) and increased remittances from labor migrants. .
“Foreign direct investment is not expected to increase in 2022, and the trade deficit will be covered primarily by government borrowing,” the review said.
According to the World Bank, higher commodity export revenues and “slow” government investment spending will reduce the budget deficit from 6.2% of GDP in 2021 to 4.4% in 2022. However, the deficit will be higher than planned (at 3%) due to higher government spending on social protection, health care, education and infrastructure development.
The government is expected to continue to adhere to its own borrowing restrictions. Thus, public debt and total external debt will gradually decrease to 32% and 55% of GDP, respectively, by the end of 2024.
The state budget of Uzbekistan for 2022 included GDP growth at the level of 5.9%, the inflation rate was planned to be reduced to 9%.
Earlier, the EBRD raised its growth forecast for the economy of Uzbekistan from 4% to 5.5%. The ADB forecast for the growth rate of the economy of Uzbekistan for the current year has not changed – 4%. According to the State Statistics Committee of Uzbekistan, in the first half of the year, the country’s GDP increased by 5.4%.
Head of the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Samantha Power has arrived in Kyiv.
“I just arrived in Kyiv, Ukraine. This is a critical moment for the Ukrainian people as they defend their freedom from brutal attacks, liberate occupied lands, prepare for winter, and strengthen democratic institutions and the rule of law. USAID now and always stands with Ukraine,” Power wrote on Twitter.
Quotes of interbank currency market of Ukraine (UAH for 1 RUB, IN 01.08.2022-31.08.2022)
graphics of the Club of Experts
