The ALVIVA GROUP, owner of Ukraine’s leading bakery products manufacturer Kyivkhlib LLC, has announced a strategic expansion of its activities and entry into the Ukrainian agricultural market, according to the company’s press service.
“This step will allow the group to establish complete control over the entire agricultural production cycle,” the company’s press service said in a statement.
In 2024, the group formed a land bank of 4,000 hectares in the Kyiv and Chernihiv regions, and this year it expects its first harvest of wheat and sunflowers.
“In 2025, wheat will occupy 26% of the sown area, and by 2026, 100% of the group’s land bank will be allocated to it,” said Artem Chernysh, the company’s agricultural director.
The company also expressed confidence that investments in agricultural production will enable the group’s enterprises to secure their own high-quality raw materials, which will not only optimize production processes and guarantee stable supplies, but also ensure the high quality of the final product and allow control over its cost price.
“Today, ALVIVA GROUP exports finished products to more than 30 countries around the world. That is why the launch of the agricultural division is a logical and strategically important step. After all, combining experience in the food industry with the potential of the Ukrainian agricultural sector will open up new opportunities for growth and strengthen the group’s position both in Ukraine and abroad. This is an investment in the future that demonstrates ALVIVA GROUP’s commitment to sustainable development and support for the country’s economy,” the company said.
ALVIVA offers products in categories such as dry breakfasts (KYIVMLYN), croissants (Tendi), snacks (Mr Snex), cookies (Honey Moon, Kyivkhlib), bread (Kyivkhlib, Super Tost), flour (KYIVMLYN, Naturavo), water and beverages (Rosynka), cakes and pastries (Tarta, BKK).
Alviva Group is an international group of companies in the food technology and services sector that manufactures bakery products under the brands Kyivkhlib, Tarta, Tendi, Norden Brod, British Sandwich, Mr Snex, Naturavo, Honey Moon, and Kyivmlyn.
The group’s annual turnover exceeds UAH 9 billion, and its tax and fee payments to the state budget amount to over UAH 1.2 billion. It employs over 6,000 people.
Earlier it was reported that in August 2023, the owner of the group, Vyacheslav Suprunenko, privatized the former Rosinka non-alcoholic beverage plant in the capital. In November of the same year, the businessman registered Kyivkhlib and its plants under his name.
The manufacturer of agricultural and special-purpose machinery, JSC “Fregat Plant” (Pervomaisk, Mykolaiv region), increased its losses by 21.3% in January-March 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, to UAH 15.1 million.
According to the company’s financial report published in the information disclosure system of the National Securities and Stock Market Commission, net sales revenue decreased 6.9 times to UAH 8.4 million.
The company received UAH 1.2 million in gross profit (UAH 19 million a year earlier), and operating losses amounted to UAH 13.7 million compared to a profit of UAH 6.8 million in January-March 2024.
“The martial law in Ukraine, which was introduced in connection with the Russian Federation’s military aggression against Ukraine, is leading to unstable operations and a reduction in production. The company is continuing its production activities, but not all production capacities are operating, as a result of which not the entire range of products is being manufactured,” the report says.
According to the plant, during the reporting period, the production of agricultural machinery for crop production amounted to 0.47% of the plant’s commercial output, equipment for the processing industries of the agro-industrial complex was not produced, and other types of products accounted for 99.5%.
The Fregat plant specializes in the production of irrigation systems, road barriers, metal structures, as well as machine-building products and special-purpose machines.
As of April 1, the average number of employees at the plant was 140, with another 88 people working in the Eastern branch and 9 in the Dnipro branch. The average salary is 13,080 UAH.
As reported, in 2024, the plant increased its losses by 58% compared to 2023, to UAH 60.4 million, while net income grew by 34.6%, to UAH 188.6 million.
TAD has completed construction of a new complex for the production of special trailers for transporting oversized cargo in Volochysk (Khmelnytskyi region), which will enable it to double its production volumes, according to Dmytro Kysilevsky, deputy chairman of the parliamentary committee on economic development.
“The new production complex covers an area of 8,000 square meters and will create 250 additional jobs. The investment in the new production complex amounted to $8 million. This project will enable TAD to launch the production of a new type of product—modular special trailers,” he wrote on Facebook on Thursday.
He recalled that TAD specializes in the transportation of oversized cargo and the production of special trailers. TAD trailers have between two and 25 axles with a maximum load of up to 300 tons. The company employs 650 people.
“To attract new employees, TAD has agreed with the Volochysk city authorities to build a residential complex. In particular, the company is recruiting welders, CNC machine operators, and electricians to work at the new production complex,” Kysilevsky said.
He also noted that the company uses, in particular, loans under the “5-7-9” program, and its products are sold with a 15% compensation program for the cost of Ukrainian-made equipment. In addition, the company’s products are subject to localization requirements in public procurement (in 2025 – 25% – IF-U).
TAD (PP Trans-Auto-D), founded in 2006, is a leading manufacturer of special trailers in Ukraine and Eastern Europe, according to its website. It uses components from global manufacturers such as BPW, SAF, WABCO, TRIDEC, Pewag, and Rud.
According to the Clarity Project, in 2024, it increased its net profit by 42.7% compared to 2023, to UAH 51.1 million, with revenue growing by 25.4% to UAH 1.28 billion.
The company is co-owned by two local entrepreneurs, Vitaliy Melnyk (87.5%) and Andriy Babkin (12.5%).
The end of May 2025 is characterized by moderate stability on the Ukrainian currency market in the absence of shock changes despite external turbulence and a complex geopolitical background.
The national currency maintains a controlled exchange rate against the US dollar, while the euro/hryvnia pair continues to show increased volatility, which is associated with both global trends and internal structural shifts in the currency preferences of businesses and the population.
In May, the dollar exchange rate remained within the expected range, showing no significant fluctuations. This was due to stable demand for currency in Ukraine, moderate activity on the interbank market, and the restraining effect of the NBU’s significant reserves. There were no acute shortages or surges in current or speculative demand on the market.
The situation with the euro was somewhat contrasting: in the second half of May, the EU currency showed a correction after reaching its peak at the end of April. At the same time, the spread between buying and selling remained higher than for the dollar, indicating that market operators’ expectations of potential fluctuations remain unchanged.
Global context
The key external drivers remain the monetary policy of the world’s leading economies and the overall level of investor sentiment.
The US Federal Reserve has kept interest rates unchanged, citing the need for more macroeconomic data. This not only signals a cautious approach, but also demonstrates the Fed’s independence from political pressure from the new administration. These two factors are holding back the dollar’s recovery, but are not contributing to its further decline.
Europe has clearly stated its ambition to make the euro an alternative to the dollar: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said that the euro could become a viable alternative to the US dollar as the global standard currency for international trade. She noted that the unpredictable economic policy of the US has forced global investors to limit their appetite for the dollar in recent months, but to achieve the ambitious goal of the EU and its members, they must strengthen their financial and security architecture.
Overall, the temporary fragile balance and the absence of significant changes within the previously established trends led to a decline in the euro’s “exchange rate premium” against the hryvnia, which the euro had gained in the first quarter.
Domestic context
The National Bank continues its policy of cautious currency liberalization: in May, it allowed and increased limits on a number of new transactions for banks and businesses. This not only demonstrates the stability of the currency market, but may also serve as an additional signal to foreign investors about the gradual easing of restrictions on cross-border capital movements.
At the same time, the effectiveness of such steps will be measured not only by the volume of repatriated profits, but also by whether investors perceive this as Ukraine’s readiness to return to a model of long-term capital investment even in the face of military risk.
The likely inflow of investment could offset the next risk, which remains the biggest source of uncertainty: the amount of external support in 2026. This year, Ukraine is expected to receive the equivalent of about $60 billion in international aid, an amount that ensures the stability of the economy, the currency market, and the budget. At the same time, only $15 billion in external financing has been secured for next year, which poses a serious challenge to exchange rate stability starting in late 2025. If international partners and allies do not take on broader commitments, this could put additional pressure on the hryvnia in forecasts and the formation of devaluation expectations and, as a result, in the actual behavior of currency market participants.
Overall, May confirms that there is no panic on the currency market, but a regime of heightened caution remains in place.
US dollar exchange rate: dynamics and analysis
In the second half of May, the dollar exchange rate against the hryvnia showed a steady downward trend with a gradual decline in all three key indicators: the buying rate, the selling rate, and the official NBU rate.
After reaching a local peak at the end of April (average selling rate in banks — 41.96 UAH/USD, buying rate — 41.32 UAH/USD), the dollar began to lose ground. From mid-May to the end of May, the cash selling rate fell to 41.74 UAH/USD, the buying rate to 41.17 UAH/USD, and the official NBU rate to 41.5 UAH/USD. All these movements took place without sharp fluctuations, within controlled volatility and in line with global trends.
Key factors behind the decline in the exchange rate:
Forecast:
Euro exchange rate: dynamics and analysis
Throughout May 2025, the euro-hryvnia exchange rate showed noticeable wave-like dynamics. From the end of April to the third decade of the month, there was a gradual decline from over 47.90 UAH (sale) to a local minimum of around 46.20 UAH (purchase) and 46.90 UAH (sale) on May 20–21. In the last working week of the month, the euro returned to growth, confirming the volatile nature of the EUR/UAH pair.
Main factors:
Forecast:
Recommendations for businesses and investors
In the second half of May, Ukraine’s currency market has been stable in the dollar segment and the euro/hryvnia pair has returned to calm after a period of peak volatility. At the same time, fundamental devaluation risks remain relevant. In these conditions, currency asset management requires maximum adaptability.
1. Liquidity is an absolute priority.
All currency assets must be readily available: term deposits, long bonds, or currency in instruments without early withdrawal rights are sources of risk. Preference should be given to instruments with flexible management.
2. Dollar/euro shares should be reviewed, but not aggressively increased.
Ø The euro has emerged from its peak growth phase and is stabilizing in a higher range. Now is not the time for active entry, but there is an opportunity to selectively reformat shares in the currency portfolio. New purchases should be made when spreads narrow.
Ø The dollar exchange rate is in a downward trend, and a decline to 41.00 UAH/USD is not an exception but a scenario. However, the risks for the hryvnia are growing. If there is no urgent need for hryvnia, hold on to your dollars. It will show growth in the fall or closer to the end of the year if the fundamental factors of devaluation pressure on the hryvnia are not eliminated, which is highly unlikely.
3. Spreads are the main indicator on the euro market.
Unlike the dollar, where the market is already balanced, in the EUR/UAH pair, it is the dynamics of the spread (buying and selling and deviation from the NBU exchange rate) that demonstrate a change in expectations and signal the likelihood of further movement. A narrowing is a signal to act, while a widening is a signal to pause.
4. A flexible, multi-scenario strategy instead of fixed benchmarks.
Uncertainty about the amount of international aid in 2026 is the main long-term risk.
Follow the news with a cool head — ignore emotions and focus on facts, while developing strategies based on several different exchange rate scenarios (pessimistic, baseline, optimistic) and testing the asset structure in each of them.
5. Short-term speculation — only with precise timing.
In the EUR/UAH pair, the potential margin is still limited and the risk is high. If you do not have quick tools and access to “entry” positions with a minimal market premium, it is better to hold off.
6. Do not weaken control over the hryvnia’s share.
The hryvnia remains stable, but the accumulation of excessive hryvnia mass is undesirable. Keep only operational liquidity, and hold the rest in hedged or conservative currency instruments.
7. Currency liberalization is a signal, not an invitation to act.
The easing of currency restrictions is positive news for investors, but its effect will only be felt in the middle or at the end of the year. Consider this factor as a prospect, not as a justification for immediate action.
This material has been prepared by the company’s analysts and reflects their expert, analytical, and professional judgment. The information presented in this review is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation for action.
The company and its analysts make no representations and assume no responsibility for any consequences arising from the use of this information.
All information is provided “as is,” without any additional guarantees of completeness, timeliness, or updates or additions. Users of this material should independently assess the risks and make informed decisions based on their own assessment and analysis of the situation from various available sources that they themselves consider sufficiently qualified.
Before making any investment decisions, we recommend consulting with an independent financial advisor.
REFERENCE
KYT Group is an international multi-service FinTech company that has been successfully operating in the non-bank financial services market for 16 years. One of the company’s flagship activities is currency exchange. KYT Group is one of the largest operators in this segment of the Ukrainian financial market, is included in the list of the largest taxpayers, and is one of the industry leaders in terms of asset growth and equity capital.
More than 90 branches in 16 major cities of Ukraine are located in convenient locations for customers and are equipped with modern equipment for the convenience, security, and confidentiality of each transaction.
The company’s activities comply with the regulatory requirements of the National Bank of Ukraine. KYТ Group adheres to EU standards of operation, with branches in Poland and plans for cross-border expansion into other European countries.
The market for slaughter pigs continues to stabilize and consolidate, with prices in the last days of May recorded at 92-93 UAH/kg, according to the Ukrainian Pig Farmers Association (ASU) based on the results of weekly monitoring of purchase prices.
“At the end of May, prices on the live pig market remained largely within the price range of the previous week — 92-93 UAH/kg. At the same time, the weighted average market price fell by 0.6% to 92.7 UAH/kg. This change was due to a revision of the maximum price offers on the market,” analysts explained.
According to their information, meat processing representatives report relative stability in wholesale and retail prices for pork. In recent weeks, operators have described trade as consistently sluggish and have also noted that demand for quality pork is in line with supply. Given this conditional market balance, most processors expect pork market prices to remain unchanged at the beginning of summer. At the same time, buyers note that the volume of live pigs on the market remains quite “restrained,” which forces them to maintain a larger than usual “purchasing radius” that is not limited to neighboring regions.
“A number of processors believe that with the improvement of weather conditions, prices on the live pig market may return to their previous levels,” the ASU concluded.
