Business news from Ukraine

Business news from Ukraine

FAO forecasts global wheat production to grow to 810 mln tons in 2025

According to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), global wheat production in 2025 is forecast to reach around 809.7 million tons, which is 1.3% higher than in 2024.

The growth is expected to be driven by increased yields in Canada, Kazakhstan, China, and India, while southern Europe and North Africa remain at risk of lower production due to drought.

“The outlook for the global wheat market remains generally positive, and global stocks at the end of the season will remain stable despite active exports from the Black Sea region,” the FAO Cereal Supply and Demand Brief notes in its October review.

Top 20 countries in the world by wheat production in 2025 (FAO and USDA estimates)

  1. China — 138 million tons
  2. India — 110 million tons
  3. Russia — 90–92 million tons
  4. United States — 51 million tons
  5. France — 34 million tons
  6. Pakistan — 30 million tons
  7. Canada — 29 million tons
  8. Germany — 23 million tons
  9. Turkey — 20 million tons
  10. Australia — 18 million tons
  11. Ukraine — 16–17 million tons
  12. Argentina — 15 million tons
  13. Poland — 13 million tons
  14. Kazakhstan — 12 million tons
  15. Iran — 12 million tons
  16. United Kingdom — 11 million tons
  17. Italy — 8 million tons
  18. Egypt — 7 million tons
  19. Romania — 7 million tons
  20. Spain — 6 million tons

These twenty countries produce more than 90% of the world’s wheat.

Despite overall growth in yields, global wheat stocks could decline by 1.6% to around 312 million tons by the end of 2025. This is due to increased domestic consumption in Asia and the Middle East, as well as active exports from Russia, Ukraine, and Australia.

Average global wheat prices remain volatile, but FAO analysts predict their relative stabilization while maintaining harvest and stock volumes.

Despite the war, Ukraine retains its status as one of the largest grain exporters. According to estimates by the Ministry of Agrarian Policy, in the 2024–2025 marketing year, the country exported about 15 million tons of wheat, supplying it to Egypt, Indonesia, Spain, Turkey, and Tunisia.

Ukraine ranks 11th–12th in the world in wheat production and is among the top five global exporters thanks to its high yields and logistics routes through the Danube and Baltic ports.

A detailed overview of the world’s major wheat producers from 1970 to 2024 can be found in the Experts Club analytical video: Watch on YouTube

Source: https://expertsclub.eu/fao-prognozuye-zrostannya-svitovogo-vyrobnycztva-pshenyczi-v-2025-roczi-do-810-mln-tonn/

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Analysis of global aluminum production – Experts Club video

The Experts Club analytical center has created a video analysis of global aluminum production in 1970-2024. Based on visual data from the video “Top 20 aluminum producers from 1970 to 2024” and confirmed statistical data for 2024, an overview of industry trends has been formulated.

Since the 1970s, primary aluminum production has gradually shifted from Europe and North America to Asia and the Middle East. At the dawn of the industry, Western Europe and the US accounted for a significant share of production. However, the following decades saw rapid capacity expansion in China, India, and the Middle East.

The video confirms that in 2024, the largest producer (China) controls about 60% of the world’s volume, while the top ten leaders account for more than 80% of production.

According to sources (Wikipedia, Visual Capitalist, NATO, World Population Review), aluminum production in the top ten countries in 2024 will look like this:

China — ~43 million tons.

India — ~4.2 million tons.

Russia — ~3.8 million tons.

Canada — ~3.3 million tons.

UAE — ~2.7 million tons.

Bahrain — ~1.6 million tons.

Australia — ~1.5 million tons.

Norway — ~1.3 million tons.

Brazil — ~1.1 million tons.

Malaysia — ~0.98 million tons.

Total global primary aluminum production in 2024 is estimated at approximately 72 million tons.

The world of aluminum production is becoming increasingly concentrated: China holds a dominant position, while other leading countries control a significant share. Countries with growing infrastructure, automotive, and construction sectors (India, Brazil, UAE) are showing dynamic growth.

The video is available on our YouTube channel –

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Ukrainian butter market is facing losses and decline in production

The situation on the Ukrainian butter market is deteriorating after active summer exports, company warehouses are filling up, domestic sales are becoming increasingly difficult, and exports are facing additional challenges, according to industry analytical agency Infagro.

“Currently, only those producers who are willing to significantly reduce prices can sell their products consistently. These are usually companies that lack working capital. However, the current price level is unprofitable for most producers operating in the butter segment, along with skimmed milk powder or casein,” analysts explained.

They pointed out that due to the rise in raw material prices, production is becoming less profitable: the purchase prices for milk required to break even remain unattainable for most companies.
At the same time, at the end of October, there was a noticeable decrease in the price of block butter, while manufacturers of packaged products are in a slightly better position, but competition in this market is intensifying.

To increase sales, companies are forced to offer promotional discounts, which negatively affects profitability.

“The situation with exports is also difficult. Some companies are lowering prices to stay in foreign markets, particularly in Moldova. Demand for Ukrainian butter in the Caucasus remains, but sales volumes there are limited,” experts noted.

According to their information, expectations of additional opportunities after the introduction of new duty-free quotas to the EU have not been met—demand from European traders is accompanied by lower price offers that do not cover production costs.

Due to the unprofitability of production, some factories have already reduced or temporarily suspended butter production. As a result, production volumes in October were lower than last year, which is the first such case in recent times, Infagro concluded.

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Elon Musk presented modular house project from Tesla

Founder and CEO Elon Musk announced the launch of a new project from his company Tesla, Inc. — a modular house that will be manufactured and assembled using a model similar to that used in the production of electric cars. The company has published a video announcement demonstrating the assembly of modules, the installation of “smart” systems, integration with energy infrastructure, and the possibility of quick installation on site.

According to Musk, the Tesla modular home will have a number of key features, namely:

  • assembly from prefabricated blocks at the factory with minimal construction work on site;
  • integration with the Tesla Energy system — solar panels, Powerwall storage batteries, and a home smart control system;
  • high energy efficiency and low operating costs;
  • scalability — from compact options to multi-level configurations.

Musk noted that “the housing of the future must be built quickly, efficiently, and with minimal impact on the environment,” and that Tesla “can do for buildings what it has done for transportation.” According to him, the first prototypes will be assembled as early as 2026, and mass production is planned to start in 2027.

The company expects modular homes to be in demand both in the US market and abroad, especially in places with rising real estate prices and housing shortages. Musk emphasized that Tesla is considering partnerships with builders and developers around the world.

Elon Musk is one of the most famous entrepreneurs of our time. Born in 1971 in South Africa, he later moved to Canada and the US. He founded or was one of the key figures in companies such as PayPal, SpaceX, and Tesla. Musk has become a symbol of “21st-century technological entrepreneurship.”

Tesla, Inc. is an American company founded in 2003 that specializes in electric vehicles, renewable energy solutions, and stationary storage. On Musk’s initiative, the company scaled up production, launched Gigafactory, and became one of the leaders in the green tech sector.

The launch of the modular home project demonstrates the expansion of Tesla’s business format — from transportation and energy to residential construction — and may become a new growth vector in the field of “smart homes” and sustainable construction.

 

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Only 14% of Ukrainians well informed or work with cryptocurrencies

Only 14% of Ukrainians are well versed in cryptocurrencies or work with them

7% work with cryptocurrencies

7% are well informed about digital assets

57% have only superficial knowledge

25% “have heard something, but are not sure”

6% have never heard of cryptocurrencies

Regarding investment security:

25% consider them safe

38% consider them risky

37% cannot decide

So, Ukrainians are still hesitant about cryptocurrencies and their risks

The full study and methodology can be found at this link

Source: https://t.me/pulsweek/1122

AgriAcademy responds to staffing challenge: new course on animal welfare and rational use of antibiotics

In the context of the war, Ukrainian dairy farms are facing an acute shortage of staff. Forced migration, mobilization of workers, and reduced opportunities for professional training have created serious challenges for the development of the industry.

This was stated during the XVII International Dairy Congress by Valery Lototsky, associate professor of the Department of Animal Reproductology at Bila Tserkva National Agrarian University, head and co-founder of the AVM Advisory Center and Veterinary Service Centers, and AgriAcademy expert.

The International Dairy Congress, organized by the Association of Milk Producers (AMP), is the most powerful event of the year in the dairy industry. This year, it brought together hundreds of leading industry representatives: producers, scientists, and businesspeople to exchange experiences and the latest achievements in the dairy business.

“Today, dairy farm managers are forced not only to maintain production, but also to invest in knowledge to compensate for staff shortages and adapt their work to European requirements for animal welfare and product safety,” the expert emphasized.

That is why, in November 2025, the educational platform AgriAcademy will launch a new certified online course, “Best Practices for Cattle Welfare and Responsible Use of Antibiotics to Prevent the Development of Antibiotic Resistance.”

Three key risk periods and how to control them

The author of the course, Valery Lototsky, notes that the training will help farm workers understand where mistakes are most often made when using antimicrobial drugs and how to avoid them.

The course covers three critical stages in cattle breeding:

  • The transition period for cows – 21 days before and after calving: preparation for calving, prevention of postpartum diseases;
  • Rearing young stock – from birth to 8 months, with a particularly sensitive period up to two months of age;
  • Lactation period – prevention and treatment of mastitis.

“During the third module, participants will learn to identify critical points for the onset of mastitis, follow the milking protocol, select the right antibiotics, and develop their own treatment and prevention plan,” said Valery Lototsky.

AgriAcademy is a free platform that is changing agricultural education

AgriAcademy is a modern online platform for agribusiness, created in 2022 by the EBRD. It is a free online training platform for agricultural workers and students of agricultural education institutions, launched by the EBRD in December 2022 as part of a program to support food security in Ukraine. Its goal is to strengthen the competitiveness and sustainable development of agriculture, which has suffered significant losses due to the war.

Today, the platform offers 28 online courses – over 300 hours of practical training in agronomy, management, technology, processing, storage, and more. Each course includes a test of the students’ knowledge.

The creation and management of the platform (including course development, training tours, etc.) is supported and funded by the EBRD, as well as:

  • The EBRD’s Multilateral Donor Account for Stabilisation and Sustainable Growth in Ukraine (donors: Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, the United States and the European Union as the largest donor);
  • The Republic of Ireland through the EBRD Small Business Promotion Fund (other donors to the fund: Italy, Japan, South Korea, Luxembourg, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, Taipei China, and the United States);
  • The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO).

Today, the platform offers:

  • 30+ online courses and over 300 hours of practical training;
  • topics ranging from agronomy and management to processing and storage technologies;
  • certificates upon completion of courses;
  • free access at any time for farmers, students, and professionals.

AgriAcademy is not just about learning. It is a response to the challenge facing the Ukrainian agricultural sector: how to preserve and develop human capital in times of war. Choose a course and grow with us!

 

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