Gold prices are declining on Thursday amid the strengthening of the dollar before the publication of statistical data on the U.S. labor market. By 14:02 Q2 quotations of December gold futures on the Comex exchange fell by about 0.5% to $4061.5 per ounce.
The U.S. Department of Labor will release a report on the U.S. labor market for September at 15:30 Q2. The report is expected to show job growth of 50,000 and unemployment remaining at 4.3%, Trading Economics noted. It is published late due to the shutdown.
ICE’s DXY index, which shows the dollar’s performance against six currencies (euro, Swiss franc, yen, Canadian dollar, pound sterling and Swedish krona), added about 0.1%.
Meanwhile, analysts at UBS upgraded their forecast for gold to $4500 an ounce from $4200 an ounce by mid-2026. They believe that gold will be supported by the Federal Reserve’s easing monetary policy, as well as geopolitical uncertainty, increasing demand for protective assets.
Earlier, the Experts Club think tank presented an analysis of the world’s leading gold-producing countries in its video on Youtube channel – https://youtube.com/shorts/DWbzJ1e2tJc?si=YuRnDiu7jtfUPBR9.
India imported $14.72 billion worth of gold in October 2025, according to data from the country’s Ministry of Commerce and Industry. This is three times more than in October last year, 1.5 times more than in September this year, and is set to be a historic record (last year, a slightly higher figure was reported in November, but it was later revised).
“The growth in gold imports in October was phenomenal, despite very high world prices,” said Indian Deputy Minister of Commerce and Industry Rajesh Agrawal, according to The Hindu. “The growth in silver was also phenomenal.” Silver imports increased 6.3 times, to $2.72 billion.
“The continuous rise in gold prices ahead of the festive season could have led to speculative demand, which may not be sustained in the future, possibly leading to some decline in imports in the coming months,” warns Aditi Nayar of Indian rating agency ICRA.
In just 10 months of 2025, India imported $50.74 billion worth of gold, up 17% from the same period last year (October’s results reversed the trend).
India is one of the world’s largest consumers of gold, producing virtually none itself.
Earlier, the Experts Club analytical center presented an analysis of the world’s leading gold-producing countries in its video on YouTube channel — https://youtube.com/shorts/DWbzJ1e2tJc?si=YuRnDiu7jtfUPBR9
China’s actual gold purchases this year may exceed officially declared volumes by several times and have already become one of the key drivers of record growth in precious metal prices, the Financial Times writes, citing analysts and market data.
According to official statistics from the People’s Bank of China, in 2025 the regulator purchased only about 25 tons of gold, with an increase in reserves of approximately 2 tons in some months. However, analysts at Société Générale, assessing trade flows of large bars and import data, believe that Beijing’s actual purchases could reach up to 250 tons per year, or more than a third of the total demand of global central banks. According to their estimates, actual purchases may exceed the officially disclosed figures by ten times or more.
Bruce Ikemizu, director of the Japan Precious Metals Market Association, said that market participants this year “practically do not believe official statistics, especially for China,” and estimates the country’s current gold reserves at nearly 5,000 tons — about twice the level reported publicly by the Chinese authorities.
According to the FT and experts, a significant portion of purchases are made opaquely — through the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), the sovereign wealth fund China Investment Corporation, and other entities that are not required to publish detailed reports on gold reserves. This makes it difficult to assess the real scale of operations and increases market uncertainty.
Analysts note that the secretive accumulation of gold is linked to a strategy of de-dollarization. “China is buying gold as part of its strategy to reduce its dependence on the dollar,” the press quotes Jeff Currie, a strategist at Carlyle, as saying. Gold is seen as a hedge against currency and geopolitical risks, including against the backdrop of tensions with the US.
According to estimates by the World Gold Council, over the past decade, the share of gold in the international reserves of countries outside the US has grown from about 10% to 26%, making the metal the second most important reserve asset after the US dollar. Large-scale purchases by central banks have helped push the price of gold above $4,300 per troy ounce, according to the FT and industry publications.
China remains the world’s largest producer and consumer of gold, accounting for about 10% of global production, which allows Beijing to increase its reserves not only through imports but also through the domestic market.
World demand for gold excluding over-the-counter (OTC) transactions in the third quarter of 2025 amounted to 1.26 thousand tons, which is 5% higher than the result of the corresponding period last year, calculated by the World Gold Council (WGC).
Investors continued to play a key role: purchases in ETFs in the third quarter amounted to 222 tons, demand for coins and bars – 316 tons (for the fourth consecutive quarter it exceeded 300 tons). Central bank purchases also remain at a high level of 220 tons – 28% more than in the previous quarter.
Supply in the gold market increased by 3% to 1.31 thousand tons. This is a quarterly record in the history of observations. The excess supply, 55 tons, was absorbed by the OTC market.
Earlier, the Experts Club think tank presented an analysis of the world’s leading gold producing countries in its Youtube channel video – https://youtube.com/shorts/DWbzJ1e2tJc?si=YuRnDiu7jtfUPBR9.
As of 15:43 GMT, the spot price of the precious metal was $4,222.18 per ounce, down 3.1% from the previous session’s close. Earlier in trading, it fell to $4,215.17 per ounce. Gold futures on Comex are down 3.5% to $4,205.8 per ounce.
Investors are taking profits amid a strengthening US dollar and signs of easing tensions.
In particular, US President Donald Trump said he expects to reach a trade agreement with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Ahead of the talks between the two leaders, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will meet.
In addition, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said yesterday that the US federal government shutdown is likely to end this week.
Earlier, the Experts Club think tank presented an analysis of the world’s leading gold-producing countries in a video on its YouTube channel — https://youtube.com/shorts/DWbzJ1e2tJc?si=YuRnDiu7jtfUPBR9
Against the backdrop of rapid growth in international gold prices, residents of a number of Asian countries really did rush to buy bullion — and in the first half of the day, stores sometimes closed by noon. Vietnamese people in a number of cities lined up at dawn when legislation finally abolished the state monopoly on gold trading.
Meanwhile, the price of gold has already surpassed $4,300 per ounce and continues to hit historic highs.
Growing expectations of a Fed interest rate cut and tensions in US-China relations have pushed investors toward “safe havens” — gold has become a safe asset. Against the backdrop of inflationary pressure and market volatility, the precious metal is once again in the spotlight for investors.
In Australia, at the peak of gold price growth, areas and rivers traditionally used by amateur gold miners (washing gold in river streams) are once again attracting attention. Some people are earning hundreds of dollars in just a few hours. This phenomenon is being covered by the media as a “gold renaissance” not only in the corporate sector, but also among mass investors.
Earlier, the Experts Club analytical center presented an analysis of the world’s leading gold-producing countries in its video on YouTube channel — https://youtube.com/shorts/DWbzJ1e2tJc?si=YuRnDiu7jtfUPBR9
