According to Fixygen, the cryptocurrency market ended the week with a partial recovery after Bitcoin fell below the psychological threshold of $60,000, however, the main topics for the industry remained outflows from ETFs, major banks revising their forecasts, intensifying regulatory competition surrounding stablecoins, and miners shifting to the AI data center sector.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading around $62,440, while Ethereum was trading around $1,625. Earlier in the week, BTC fell below $60,000 amid weak demand from institutional investors, outflows from exchange-traded funds, and persistent geopolitical risks.
Data on U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs served as a key negative signal. According to CoinDesk, citing SoSoValue, the funds recorded $4.5 billion in net outflows in June—the worst month since the launch of such products in January 2024. The previous record low was $3.48 billion in February 2025.
Against this backdrop, Citigroup lowered its 12-month price forecast for Bitcoin from $112,000 to $82,000, and for Ether from $3,175,000 to $2,240,000. The bank attributed the revision to waning investor interest, outflows from ETFs, and a lack of rapid progress in U.S. crypto regulation. Citi also lowered its expectations for net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs from $10 billion to zero.
The week’s regulatory agenda focused primarily on stablecoins. In the UK, the FCA eased its final requirements for stablecoin issuers, lowering the proposed capital reserve from 2% to 1% of the issuance volume. The final rules are set to bring the crypto-asset sector fully under FCA supervision starting in October 2027.
This is an important signal for the global market: jurisdictions are beginning to compete not only for crypto exchanges but also for tokenized payment infrastructure. Following increased U.S. scrutiny of dollar-pegged stablecoins, the UK is attempting to make its own regulations more proportionate so as not to lose companies working with payment tokens.
Another trend of the week is the continued expansion of Bitcoin miners into the AI and data center sectors. Reuters reported that the Hunt and Crow families—both American billionaire families—along with Nasdaq-listed company Empery Digital, have signed an agreement for a $230 million industrial facility with a capacity of 150 MW and plan to convert it into a hyperscale data center. The parties also signed a non-binding letter of intent for a $1 billion lease with a cloud computing company.
Another telling example is Ionic Digital, a company that positions itself as both a Bitcoin miner and an AI infrastructure company, which has filed for a direct listing on Nasdaq. This confirms structural changes in the sector: for some miners, the key asset is no longer so much hash rate as access to electricity, land, substations, and permits for data centers.
For miners, this diversification has been a response to the deteriorating economics of Bitcoin mining following the halving, high network difficulty, and falling BTC prices. Reuters previously noted that crypto miners are increasingly using large energy facilities for artificial intelligence (AI) computing, as mining profitability remains volatile and demand for AI data centers is growing rapidly.
The week also demonstrated a shift in investor sentiment. Following a strong first half of the year for AI-related stocks, part of the market began looking for opportunities to rotate back into Bitcoin after a deep correction. CoinDesk noted that a loss of momentum in the segment of stocks for companies involved in memory and semiconductor manufacturing could raise the question of returning some capital to BTC; however, traders are not yet showing full confidence in the sustainability of the rebound.
From a practical standpoint, the market situation looks like this: Bitcoin has recovered above $60,000 but has not received sufficiently strong institutional validation via ETFs. Ethereum remains under pressure from weaker network activity and lower forecasts, while stablecoins and AI data centers are becoming the most dynamic segments of the crypto infrastructure.
In the coming weeks, key factors for the market will remain the dynamics of inflows and outflows in spot ETFs, macroeconomic expectations regarding U.S. interest rates, regulatory signals regarding stablecoins, and Bitcoin’s ability to consolidate above $60,000. If outflows from ETFs continue, the market may revert to a defensive scenario. If, on the other hand, institutional demand stabilizes, July could be a month of technical recovery following a weak June.
According to Fixygen, the cryptocurrency market is ending the week on a down note: Bitcoin has once again fallen below the psychological $60,000 level, Ether has approached $1,550, and most major altcoins are trading under pressure amid capital outflows from crypto ETFs, harsher expectations regarding Fed interest rates, and a strengthening dollar.
As of Thursday and Friday, Bitcoin was trading around $59,200, down approximately 3% over the past 24 hours.
The intraday low was around $58,200. Ether fell to $1,550, losing about 5.5% over the day, while Solana held steady around $68–69.
The week marked a continuation of June’s weak performance. Earlier this month, Bitcoin was trading above $70,000, but the market then faced a series of negative factors: record or near-record outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, growing investor interest in stocks of companies related to artificial intelligence, a strengthening U.S. dollar, and deteriorating sentiment surrounding major corporate Bitcoin holders.
This week, the pressure intensified after Bitcoin once again fell below $60,000. CoinDesk noted that the cryptocurrency’s decline is occurring even amid periodic gains in other risky assets, as capital continues to flow into the technology and AI segments of the stock market. According to CoinDesk, Deutsche Bank attributed Bitcoin’s drop below $60,000 to the Fed’s hawkish rhetoric, outflows from ETFs, and concerns surrounding companies with high Bitcoin exposure.
Ethereum has also failed to serve as a safe-haven asset within the crypto market. Trading at around $1,550, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization remains under pressure alongside the broader market. The decline in ether indicates that investors are currently reducing their exposure to crypto assets in general, not just bitcoin.
Solana appeared slightly more resilient intraday, but the overall sentiment for altcoins remains weak. When Bitcoin falls below key levels, investors typically reduce their positions in riskier tokens faster than in the market’s core assets.
The dynamics of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. remain a separate factor. In June, the market already experienced several waves of outflows from funds that had previously been one of the main sources of demand for Bitcoin. When ETFs stop supporting the market with inflows, Bitcoin becomes more sensitive to macroeconomic data, yields, the dollar, and overall risk appetite.
Globally, cryptocurrencies are now competing for capital not only with traditional assets but also with the AI sector. Reuters previously noted that investors are increasingly shifting funds toward AI-related stocks and anticipated major IPOs, while bitcoin is experiencing one of its weakest starts to the year in the past decade.
Through the end of the week, the key technical level for Bitcoin remains the $58,000–$60,000 range. Holding this range could give the market a chance to stabilize, but a sustained move below $58,000 would reinforce expectations of a further decline. In this case, the next area of focus could be $55,000, which some analysts view as a potential level for a local bottom to form.
The base case scenario for the coming days is heightened volatility and cautious attempts at stabilization following the sharp decline. For a sustained recovery, the market will need a combination of several factors: an end to outflows from ETFs, a weaker dollar, softer expectations regarding Fed interest rates, and a return of risk appetite for crypto assets.
For now, the crypto market remains in defensive trade mode: investors prefer to reduce their exposure, cut their losses, or wait for new signals from ETF flows and the U.S. macroeconomy.
According to Fixygen, the cryptocurrency market is ending the week on a cautious note: Bitcoin is holding steady near $62,500–63,000, Ethereum is around $1,700, and the total market capitalization remains in the range of $2.15–2.24 trillion.
Following the sell-off in early June, the market is attempting to stabilize, though a confident recovery has not yet materialized. The main source of pressure remains shifting expectations regarding the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. The Fed kept its benchmark rate in the 3.50–3.75% range but sent a more hawkish signal to the market: some market participants now anticipate a rate hike by the end of the year. This is a negative backdrop for the crypto market, as Bitcoin and other digital assets are traditionally sensitive to expectations regarding liquidity and the cost of money.
Bitcoin remained within a narrow range this week following attempts to rebound. According to current data, it is trading at around $62,600, with the intraday low dropping to $62,300. Ethereum fell to $1,690 and remains weaker than Bitcoin in terms of market structure. Pressure on altcoins persists as investors favor more liquid assets and avoid elevated risk.
The total crypto market capitalization, according to aggregators, stands at around $2.15–2.24 trillion. Bitcoin’s market share remains high—around 56–58%—indicating that a protective bias persists within the crypto market itself. Investors are not completely exiting digital assets but are focusing on the largest cryptocurrency and stablecoins.
ETF flows created additional pressure. According to VanEck’s estimates, in the first half of June, Bitcoin’s 30-day average price fell to approximately $70,300, and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $5 billion in net outflows during 19 of 22 trading sessions. After that, signs of stabilization emerged: on June 12, spot Bitcoin ETFs showed a net inflow of about $85.8 million, and on June 16, about $10 million. However, these volumes are not yet sufficient to indicate a full-fledged recovery in institutional demand.
Ethereum’s weakness is also linked to less stable demand for spot ETH ETFs. Last week, certain trading days saw outflows from Ethereum ETFs, while demand for Bitcoin funds began to gradually recover after a series of heavy outflows. This widens the gap between Bitcoin and the rest of the market.
The Fear and Greed Index for the crypto market remains in the “extreme fear” zone. This means that following June’s sell-off, market participants are not yet ready to actively build up their positions. The market is reacting more to macroeconomic signals than to internal industry news.
The geopolitical backdrop this week was mixed. On the one hand, the agreements between the U.S. and Iran and expectations of a resumption of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz eased pressure on the oil market and supported overall risk appetite. On the other hand, uncertainty regarding the sustainability of these agreements, sanctions policy, and the Fed’s next moves is holding investors back from aggressively buying cryptocurrencies.
For Bitcoin, the nearest technical levels remain the $60–62 thousand range as support and $65–67 thousand as resistance. A sustained move above this range could improve the short-term outlook, but without a resumption of capital inflows into ETFs and a more dovish signal from the Fed, the market may remain range-bound.
According to Fixygen, the cryptocurrency market is entering June with heightened caution: Bitcoin is trading near the $73,000 mark, Ethereum is trading around $2,000, and investors are assessing several risk factors at once—the U.S.-Iran conflict, high oil prices, outflows from crypto ETFs, the upcoming Fed meeting, and the MiCA deadline for crypto companies in the EU.
Following the May decline, the main issue for the market will be not only Bitcoin’s performance but also broader risk appetite. If geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf persist, investors may continue to reduce their positions in risky assets, including cryptocurrencies. For BTC, this means the risk of continued trading within a wide range without a sustained recovery, and for altcoins, even greater sensitivity to liquidity.
The first key macroeconomic indicator will be the U.S. labor market report for May, which will be released on June 5. Strong employment data could dampen expectations of Fed policy easing and support the dollar and bond yields. For the cryptocurrency market, this is traditionally a negative combination, as more expensive money reduces interest in assets without a stable cash flow.
The second set of risks is related to oil. A meeting of select OPEC+ countries, which coordinate voluntary production cuts, is expected on June 7. Under normal circumstances, this would be primarily an oil-related event, but currently, the energy factor directly influences inflation expectations, central bank policy, and investor behavior. If the market perceives a risk of an oil shortage or a new surge in prices, crypto assets could come under pressure again due to fears of tighter monetary policy.
On June 10, U.S. inflation data for May will be released. This is one of the month’s key events for Bitcoin and Ethereum. If the CPI shows an acceleration due to fuel and transportation costs, the market may price in fewer chances of rate cuts in 2026 or even begin discussing the risk of further policy tightening. If inflation turns out to be lower than expected, the cryptocurrency market could receive short-term support.
On June 11, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision. This is important for the cryptocurrency market due to the euro, liquidity in Europe, and the overall revaluation of risk assets. Due to high energy prices, inflationary pressures in the eurozone have intensified again, so investors will be closely watching the ECB’s signals regarding its next steps.
The key event of the month will be the Fed meeting on June 16–17. It will be accompanied by updated economic forecasts and FOMC members’ rate expectations. For the cryptocurrency market, not only the decision itself but also the tone of the comments will be important: if the Fed acknowledges inflation risks stemming from oil and geopolitics, Bitcoin may remain under pressure. If, however, the regulator emphasizes the economic slowdown and the need to preserve room for future easing, the market may attempt a recovery.
A separate factor in June will be EU regulation. By June 30, crypto companies must obtain licenses under MiCA rules or risk facing restrictions, blacklists, and regulatory claims. For large players, this may be a step toward legalization and trust, but for small exchanges and providers, it poses the risk of losing access to EU clients.
ETF flows will remain one of the most important short-term indicators. Following an outflow of over $2 billion from Bitcoin ETFs in early June, the market will be watching closely to see if institutional investors return to buying. If outflows continue, it will be harder for BTC to hold above key technical levels. If funds show inflows again, this could signal a stabilization of demand.
The geopolitical front remains the most unpredictable. A U.S.-Iran war, risks to the Strait of Hormuz, the situation in the Middle East, the war in Ukraine, and tensions surrounding global trade could drastically shift investor sentiment. Cryptocurrencies behave erratically under such conditions: sometimes Bitcoin is perceived as an alternative asset, but in the short term, it more often reacts as a risky instrument and falls alongside stocks and the tech sector.
For Ethereum, June will be even more challenging than for Bitcoin. ETH depends not only on the broader market but also on activity in DeFi, NFTs, L2 networks, and demand for spot Ethereum ETFs. If liquidity remains weak, Ethereum may lag behind Bitcoin, while altcoins could exhibit even higher volatility.
The base case for June assumes continued high volatility and Bitcoin trading within a wide range without a clear trend until the release of inflation data and the Fed’s decision. A positive scenario for the market would be a combination of weaker inflation, oil price stabilization, a resumption of inflows into ETFs, and dovish signals from the Fed. A negative scenario would involve a new surge in oil prices, hawkish rhetoric from central banks, increased outflows from ETFs, and escalation in the Middle East.
Thus, June could be a test of resilience for the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin remains the main indicator of institutional demand, Ethereum serves as an indicator of risk in altcoins, and key external factors will include interest rates, inflation, oil, geopolitics, and regulation in Europe.
According to Fixygen, it was a volatile and nervous week for the crypto market. Midweek, Bitcoin managed to reclaim the $70,000 mark amid a short-term improvement in global risk sentiment following news of a pause in the potential escalation surrounding Iran; however, by the end of the week, the momentum faded, and the market fell again. As of March 27, Bitcoin was trading around $66,200, and Ethereum around $1,987.
Geopolitics remained the main external driver. At the start of the week, the market rallied following reports of U.S. strikes on Iranian infrastructure: Bitcoin rose above $70,000 and at one point tested the $71,700 range. But then this relief rally began to run out of steam, as the market returned to the fundamental question: how sustainable is the easing of tensions, and will oil prices resume their upward trend?
The second major factor of the week was the U.S. regulatory agenda. Last week, Citigroup lowered its 12-month price targets for Bitcoin and Ethereum, directly linking this to the stalled progress of crypto legislation in the U.S. At the same time, the market reacted negatively to news of a compromise on the Clarity Act, which discusses banning yields on stablecoin balances: against this backdrop, Circle and Coinbase shares fell sharply, and the issue itself reminded the market once again that the “regulatory bull scenario” has not yet materialized.
Technically, the week showed that the $70,000 level for Bitcoin remains more of a battleground than a solid support. A number of market reviews indicated that the return above this mark was not confirmed by strong volume, and by the end of the week, traders’ attention shifted to the major $18.6 billion options expiration. That said, one positive development was the decline in BTC supply on exchanges to a seven-year low, which is typically interpreted as a signal of long-term coin holding rather than immediate selling.
For Ethereum, the week turned out to be weaker than for Bitcoin. ETH participated in the rebound along with the rest of the market, but pressure on it remains stronger: Citi separately noted weak user activity on the network and a more modest set of potential catalysts compared to BTC. Against the backdrop of the current price below $2,000, this makes ether more sensitive to any new deterioration in risk appetite.
If we summarize the week using FIXYGEN’s logic, the picture looks like this: the market remains alive, liquid, and ready for quick rebounds, but so far lacks a single strong driver of its own. It continues to trade as a mix of risk assets and macro hedges, reacting not so much to internal crypto news as to oil, the dollar, the Fed, and headlines from the Middle East.
Here is Fixygen’s short-term forecast for the coming days: – For Bitcoin, the key zone remains the $65,000–$72,000 range. As long as the market stays above the midpoint of this range, the consolidation scenario—with attempts to retest $70,000–$71,000—remains in place. However, if geopolitical tensions escalate again or the dollar continues to strengthen, the market could easily revert to a steeper correction. This conclusion is analytical, based on current prices, market behavior over the past week, and the broader news backdrop.
For Ethereum, the near-term outlook appears more cautious. Without a clear shift in U.S. regulatory policy and without a return to a broader risk-on sentiment, ETH is likely to continue underperforming Bitcoin. In a positive scenario, Ether could quickly return to the zone above $2,000, but in the short term, it remains a more vulnerable asset than BTC. This is also an analytical conclusion based on the current ETH price, weekly dynamics, and Citi’s assessment of weaker fundamental momentum for the network.
Bitcoin ended the week with moderate growth, consolidating above the $58,000 mark. Investors are showing cautious optimism after the publication of macroeconomic data in the US and a decline in volatility in the stock market.
Ethereum traded in the $2,300–2,450 range, supported by an influx of funds into staking and activity in the DeFi sector. Amid discussions of a network upgrade, interest in ETH remains stable.
Among altcoins, the following stood out:
Solana (+9% for the week) — thanks to increased activity in NFT and the launch of new projects,
XRP (+6%) — amid positive news about lawsuits,
Dogecoin (+4%) — remains volatile, but demand is supported by the community.
The crypto market capitalization at the end of the week was about $2.2 trillion, with the BTC dominance index remaining at 48%.
It should be noted that interest in stablecoins has declined somewhat, indicating a growing willingness among market participants to return to risky assets.
The key risk factor remains the uncertainty of the Fed’s monetary policy and the volatility of the dollar. Fixygen analysts note that the coming weeks may bring a surge in volatility, especially against the backdrop of interest rate decisions and the publication of inflation data in the US.
Source: https://www.fixygen.ua/news/20250914/pidsumki-tizhnya-na-kriptorinku-vid-fixygen.html
