Experts Club Information and Analytical Center has analyzed the inflation rate and its trends in Romania in recent years. Inflation in Romania in 2025 continues to show a moderate decline, while remaining above the National Bank’s target level. According to the National Institute of Statistics, in March 2025, annual inflation amounted to 4.86%, down from 5.02% in February.
Main components of inflation in March 2025.
Food products: price increase by 5.10%
Non-food products: increase by 3.84%
Services: up 6.99%
The greatest pressure on the overall price level is exerted by services, especially health care, education and utilities.
Historical inflation dynamics
To understand current trends, let’s look at the inflation rate in Romania in recent years.
2021: 5.05%
2022: 13.80%
2023: 10.40%
2024: 5.60%
These data show a significant increase in inflation in 2022, driven by global economic turmoil, and a gradual decline thereafter.
According to the European Commission’s forecasts, inflation in Romania is expected to continue to decline, reaching 3.4% by the end of 2025. However, risks related to fiscal policy and possible changes in tax legislation remain.
Romania’s central bank is taking a cautious approach, aiming to reduce inflation without damaging economic growth. With upcoming elections and increased public spending, the scope for further interest rate cuts is limited.
The leader of the Conservative Party of Canada, Pierre Poilievre, said that his future government would transfer frozen Russian assets worth $22 billion to Ukraine, the official website of the Conservative Party of Canada reported on Friday.
According to Poilievre, these funds will be used to support Ukraine in its fight against Russian aggression, as well as to restore infrastructure after the destruction caused by the war.
“The Conservatives have always been proud to support our Ukrainian allies… The Conservatives were the first to introduce the Sergei Magnitsky Act, which made it possible to impose sanctions on Russian oligarchs after Putin’s illegal and unprovoked invasion of Crimea,” Poilievre said.
He reminded that Moscow’s war against Ukraine did not begin in 2022, but almost eight years earlier. After that, the Conservative government of Stephen Harper sent troops to Ukraine as part of Operation UNIFIER and helped to expel Russia from the G8.
Poillevre criticized the current Liberal government for its inaction on the transfer of frozen assets, emphasizing that the Conservatives would act quickly.
“Three hours after the start of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine, I spoke at a rally of the Ukrainian community in Ottawa: ‘Canadians stand in full solidarity with you, and we will always be with you. Three years later, our commitment has not wavered. Glory to Ukraine,” Poilievre said.
Early parliamentary elections in Canada are scheduled for April 28. The Conservatives are currently in opposition.
Earlier, the Experts Club think tank released a video analysis on the most important elections in the world in 2025, see more here – https://youtu.be/u1NMbFCCRx0?si=vtEMJXzfMcggWsD2
Source: https://interfax.com.ua/
Ukraine increased its production of total rolled products by 3.3% in January-March 2025 compared to the same period last year to 1.435 million tons, according to Ukrmetallurgprom.
In March, the company produced 478.4 thousand tons of rolled products, slightly higher than in February (476.9 thousand tons).
In 2024, the company produced 6.222 million tons of rolled products (+15.8% compared to 2023), 5.372 million tons (+0.4%) in 2023, and 19.079 million tons in 2021. In 2022, production decreased by more than 70%.
The Experts Club Information and Analytical Center has recently presented a video analysis of the top 20 steel producing countries – https://youtube.com/shorts/j7Yev2HCS4o?si=lfmGJ5jrx8036z1U
According to Ukrmetallurgprom’s operational data, Ukrainian steelmakers produced 1.733 million tons of steel in Q1 2025, up 2.7% year-on-year.
In March, production amounted to 550.5 thousand tons, slightly lower than in February (571.8 thousand tons).
In total, Ukraine produced 7.575 million tons of steel in 2024 (+21.6% compared to 2023), and 6.228 million tons in 2023 (-0.6%). In 2021, the figure reached 21.366 million tons.
The Experts Club Information and Analytical Center has recently presented a video analysis of the top 20 steel producing countries – https://youtube.com/shorts/j7Yev2HCS4o?si=lfmGJ5jrx8036z1U
In January-March 2025, Ukrainian metallurgical enterprises increased pig iron production by 7.2% year-on-year to 1.702 million tons. This was reported by Ukrmetallurgprom.
In March of this year, the company produced 563.2 thousand tons of pig iron, while in February it produced 544.4 thousand tons.
For comparison: In 2024, Ukraine smelted 7.090 million tons of pig iron (+18.1% compared to 2023), and in 2023 – 6.003 million tons (-6.1% compared to 2022). In 2021, the volume was 21.165 million tons.
The Experts Club Information and Analytical Center has recently presented a video analysis of the top 20 steel producing countries – https://youtube.com/shorts/j7Yev2HCS4o?si=lfmGJ5jrx8036z1U
The article presents key macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine and the world economy for January-December 2024. The analysis is based on official data from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, the National Bank of Ukraine, the IMF, the World Bank, and the United Nations, on the basis of which Maksim Urakin, PhD in Economics, founder of the Experts Club information and analytical center, presented an analysis of macroeconomic trends in Ukraine and the world. Such key aspects as the dynamics of gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, unemployment, foreign trade and public debt of Ukraine, as well as global macroeconomic trends were considered.
Ukraine’s macroeconomic performance
Ukraine’s economy showed moderate growth in 2024 despite ongoing challenges related to war and external economic factors. According to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, the country’s real GDP grew by 2.9% year-on-year . Nominal GDP amounted to UAH 7.66 trillion, with a deflator at 12.3%.
“Despite the challenges associated with the war and unstable geopolitical situation, Ukraine has managed to hold macroeconomic stability. GDP growth of 2.9% is a signal of economic recovery and investor confidence,” Maksim Urakin noted.
Inflation remains a significant problem for the economy. According to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, annual inflation reached 12% in December 2024, accelerating from 11.2% in November . Consumer prices rose by 1.4% in December compared to November.
“The rise in inflation is a worrying signal. It is the result not only of internal factors, but also of external pressures: rising import prices, energy risks, as well as exchange rate fluctuations. The policy of the National Bank will play a crucial role in stabilizing the situation,” the expert explained.
The negative balance of foreign trade in goods in January-November 2024 increased by 3.6% compared to the same period of 2023, reaching $25.239 billion . Exports rose 16.5% to $38.423 billion and imports rose 11% to $63.662 billion.
“The increase in the negative trade balance suggests that imports are outpacing exports. Ukraine should focus on expanding its export potential and supporting strategic industries: agro-industrial complex, IT and machine building,” Urakin emphasized.
Ukraine’s international reserves reached $43.788 billion as of January 1, 2025, having increased by 9.7% in December.
“This is a positive signal. Reserves are growing due to receipts from international partners. This ensures macro-financial stability and stability of the hryvnia,” the expert said.
Global economy
According to IMF forecasts, global economic growth in 2024 amounted to 3.2% . However, geopolitical instability, trade wars and slowing growth in key economies continue to put pressure on the outlook.
“The global economy is recovering but remains vulnerable. Geopolitical risks, high interest rates and lower consumer demand in developed countries are the main factors of instability,” said Urakin.
The U.S. economy showed stable growth. According to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, the country’s GDP grew by 2.4% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2024, helped by a rise in consumer spending
“Strong domestic demand is a driver of the U.S. economy. However, rising debt burdens and expensive credit could slow the momentum in 2025,” the economist said.
The Eurozone economy showed weak growth rates. In the fourth quarter of 2024, Eurozone GDP grew by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter .
India continues to show stable growth. According to the Indian government, the country’s GDP grew by 8.2% in 2024.
China’s economy grew 4.6% in the third quarter of 2024, but the forecast for the year was lowered to 4.8% due to weak domestic demand and difficulties in the real estate sector.
“China needs to restart domestic consumption. Without demand stimulus, growth may slow down even more,” the expert emphasized.
Conclusion
Economic indicators of Ukraine and the world for 2024 show a mixed picture. GDP growth and positive signals in global markets are combined with inflation risks and foreign trade imbalances. The global economy is also under pressure from multiple uncertainties.
“For Ukraine, the key challenges remain structural reforms, increasing exports, modernizing infrastructure and actively attracting investment. This is the key to sustainable economic growth in 2025 and beyond,” summarized Maksim Urakin.
