Export prices for food and feed wheat began to decline in December 2025, according to the information and analytical agency APK-Inform.
“Demand for food wheat remained low throughout the reporting period, while the first half of December was characterized by good purchasing activity in the feed wheat sector, followed by a decline at the end of the month. This was due to military threats, a reduction in ship calls at ports, and systematic strikes on energy infrastructure, leading to emergency and rolling blackouts,” analysts said.
Experts noted that these factors complicated the work of Ukrainian ports and land logistics, caused interruptions and forced stoppages, and forced market participants to adjust all elements of the supply chain. In addition, weather conditions deteriorated at the end of December, which also affected shipments from ports.
This situation, combined with a seasonal decline in trading activity and high competition in foreign markets, according to analysts, put pressure on exporters’ purchase prices.
Thus, in the ports of Greater Odessa during the reporting period, purchase prices for food wheat of grades 2 and 3 fell by $6-9 USD/t and as of December 29 are reported to be in the range of $208-216 and $206-214 per ton (CPT-port). At the same time, the decline in demand prices for feed wheat averaged $9 per ton and is recorded in the range of $197-207 per ton (CPT port) compared to the beginning of this month, according to APK-Inform.
The crop division of the Alebor Group grain trading company has completed the 2025 production season, the company’s press service reported on Facebook.
According to the report, the company’s specialists grew and harvested wheat from 2,000 hectares with a yield of over 7 tons/hectare, corn from 1,100 hectares with a yield of 14.5 tons/hectare, rapeseed from 1,500 hectares with a yield of 3.6 tons per hectare, and sunflower from 1,800 hectares with a yield of 3.85 tons per hectare.
Alebor Group is a trading company founded in 2006 in the Cherkasy region. Its structure includes the Khristinivskoye Grain Receiving Enterprise (with a storage capacity of 74,000 tons of grain), the Voronovitske Grain Receiving Enterprise (104,000 tons of grain), Chesne Grain Receiving Enterprise (27,500 tons of grain), transport companies Boleko and Avtoera with a fleet of 210 heavy-duty grain trucks, and construction company Alebor Real Estate.
According to information on the company’s website, Alebor Group is one of the top 20 grain trading companies in Ukraine, exporting about 2 million tons of grain annually. The group has its own land bank of 6,500 hectares. The company’s founder is Oleksiy Kustov.
KMZ Industries is the largest manufacturer of elevator equipment in Ukraine and produces a full range of products, including silos, grain dryers, transport equipment, and separators, as well as providing automation and installation services.
According to the company, it has built more than 5,000 facilities. KMZ Industries silos with a total volume of more than 12.5 million cubic meters are in operation.
In its December report, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) increased its forecast for global wheat exports in the 2025-2026 marketing year (MY) by 1.5 million tons to 218.71 million tons.
At the same time, the USDA raised its estimate of global wheat carryover stocks at the end of the season by 3.44 million tons to 274.87 million tons, indicating some easing of tensions in the global market.
With regard to Ukraine, the agency maintained its estimate of the wheat harvest at 23 million tons, but reduced its export forecast from 15 million tons to 14.5 million tons due to an increase in domestic consumption from 7.1 million tons to 7.6 million tons. This means that most of Ukraine’s wheat will be directed to the domestic market, while other supplier countries will provide the growth in global exports.
Ukraine exported 26,000 tons of wheat flour in the first five months of the 2025-2026 marketing year (MY, July-June), which is 11% less than in the same period of the previous MY. of which 5.4 thousand tons (-7%) were shipped in November, according to the information and analytical agency “APK-Inform.”
Analysts specified that the main volume of exports went to Moldova (30%), the Czech Republic (18%), and Palestine (16%).
“Importers have significantly reduced their purchases of Ukrainian products. For example, Moldova purchased 7.9 thousand tons this season, which is 10% less than in the previous season, and the Czech Republic purchased 4.7 thousand tons (-23%). Palestine reduced its imports, purchasing only 4.3 thousand tons compared to 5.7 thousand tons in the 2024/25 season (-25%),” experts said.
According to their estimates, in July-November 2025/26 MY, Ukraine produced 371.7 thousand tons of flour, which is 8% less than in the same period of 2024/25 MY.
“In general, wheat processing in 2025/26 MY is expected to reach 2.6 million tons, which is 2% less than last season,” APK-Inform predicts.
Kernel, one of Ukraine’s largest agricultural holdings, sold 499,000 tons of grain and oilseeds in July-September 2026 (FY, July 2025-June 2026), sold 499,000 tons of grain and oilseeds, with wheat accounting for 89% of the volume, the agricultural holding reported in its quarterly report.
“Profitability was further supported by favorable price conditions on the grain market, which helped to compensate for uneven yields in different regions,” the agricultural holding noted.
The agricultural holding named unfavorable weather conditions, which shifted the development phases of both grain and oilseeds, among the main features of the 2025 season. Two late spring frosts affected the growth of winter and early spring crops. A prolonged cool spring and summer with sharp fluctuations in day and night temperatures slowed plant growth in the northern regions. In the central regions, a constant shortage of soil moisture and limited rainfall hampered crop development and contributed to their premature wilting and early ripening.
According to published statistics, Kernel allocated 172,000 hectares to corn in the 2025 season, which is 98% more than last year. and thanks to a yield of 9.2 t/ha compared to 8.4 t/ha a year earlier, a gross harvest of 1,584 thousand tons was obtained, which is 18% more than last year.
In 2025, 94,000 hectares were planted with wheat (+1% compared to 2024), with a yield of 5.9 tons/hectare (-3%), resulting in 552,000 tons (-1%). The agricultural holding allocated 46 thousand hectares (-31%) for sunflowers, with a yield of 2.7 t/ha (-4%) and a gross harvest of 124 thousand tons (-33%). The area under soybeans was reduced by 44% to 22,000 hectares this year, while the yield increased by 7% compared to last year and amounted to 2.3 tons/hectare, which allowed for a gross yield of 54,000 tons (-65%). In 2025, the agricultural holding allocated 22,000 hectares for the cultivation of rapeseed, other secondary crops, and fallow land, which is 44% less than last year’s volumes.
As of the end of September, Kernel had completed the harvesting of wheat, sunflower, and soybeans on 100% of its production areas, while corn was harvested from 87% of the areas.
At the same time, the agricultural holding completed the sowing of winter crops for the 2026 harvest and sowed winter wheat on 84,000 hectares and winter rapeseed on 38,000 hectares.
Before the war, Kernel was the world’s leading producer of sunflower oil (about 7% of global production) and its exporter (about 12%). It is one of the largest producers and sellers of bottled oil in Ukraine. In addition, it is engaged in the cultivation and sale of agricultural products.
The Food from Ukraine platform symbolizes the expansion of Ukraine’s initiative from a focus on grain alone to finished products, as well as the transfer of technological knowledge, said Minister of Economy, Environment, and Agriculture Oleksiy Sobolev at the opening of the IV International Food Security Summit “Food from Ukraine” in Kyiv on Wednesday.
Sobolev noted that Ukraine had already exported 5.8 million tons of wheat in the 2025-2026 marketing year.
“This is not just a figure, it is an indicator of the resilience of our agricultural sector, which continues to operate despite the destroyed infrastructure, constant logistical challenges, drone attacks, and daily risks,” the minister emphasized.
He cited USDA forecast data, according to which wheat exports from Ukraine will amount to 15 million tons by the end of the season, or approximately 7% of global trade in this product.
“This confirms that Ukraine continues, despite everything, to be a reliable partner for the global food market. (…) However, the issue of food security remains relevant and will only intensify. Ukrainian farmers provide food to hundreds of millions of people in different regions of the world, from North Africa to Asia. Our country remains a guarantor of global food security, ensuring the stability of supplies of grains, oilseeds, and livestock products,” Sobolev noted.
As the minister noted, Ukraine understands that demand for food will grow most rapidly. In the coming decades, Sub-Saharan Africa, which currently imports more than two-thirds of its food needs, will account for almost 14% of the increase. The average productivity of farms on this continent is only 40% of their potential, grain losses are up to 20%, and the density of mechanization is only 2-4 tractors per 100 square kilometers, which is dozens of times lower than in Europe.
At the same time, he noted the strong response to these challenges from African countries, which are investing in irrigation, mechanization, the creation of agro-industrial zones, the localization of equipment production, infrastructure development, storage, and processing. According to Sobolev, this is not just modernization, but a strategic course towards self-sufficiency.
That is why, according to the Minister of Economy, one of the strategically correct decisions for Ukraine is to transform the Ukrainian President’s Grain from Ukraine initiative into Food from Ukraine.
“The Food from Ukraine platform will form a new approach to global food policy, combining long-term financing of humanitarian programs with the creation of stable and secure logistics routes, the development of processing and production of products with high added value, the attraction of investments, the technological modernization of the agricultural sector, expanding cooperation with countries in Asia, Africa, Latin America, and island states, as well as establishing partnerships between the government, business, and international organizations to create a sustainable, predictable, and innovative global food system,” Sobolev emphasized.
The minister announced that Ukraine will begin creating a network of regional food hubs as part of this initiative. He showed a video presentation of the first project of such a logistics and processing hub, which is planned to be built in Ghana. Its basic infrastructure will be the storage, processing, and distribution of Ukrainian agricultural products, as well as the localization of modern technologies in West Africa.
Sobolev emphasized that Ukraine and Ghana signed a memorandum of cooperation in Kyiv on Wednesday, laying the foundation for long-term partnership and practical development of the initiative and creation of Food for Ukraine.
“Ukraine is ceasing to be a political donor of food. We are becoming part of the architecture of a new model of global food sustainability, a country that not only helps feed the world today, but also creates mechanisms for innovative production tomorrow,” the Minister of Economy concluded.
