Business news from Ukraine

Business news from Ukraine

Agrotrade increased hemp cultivation by 100 hectares

Agrotrade agricultural holding has completed the sowing of industrial hemp, allocating 330 hectares in the Chernihiv region, which is 100 hectares more than a year earlier, the holding’s press service reported on Facebook on Wednesday.

The expansion of production areas in the agricultural holding was explained by the higher profitability of industrial hemp compared to other crops.

Agrotrade also drew attention to the agronomic specifics of hemp: it is sown later than the main crops, and the cultivation technology requires careful preparation.

“The company has been growing industrial hemp for three years in a row as part of a pilot project. This season is the final one. After the harvest, a decision will be made on the future of this line of business. Over the past three years, we have collected enough data to make an informed decision based on economic justification — whether to scale up this direction or close it,” explained Alexander Ovsyannik, director of the agro-industrial department at Agrotrade.

Agrotrade is a vertically integrated holding company with a full agricultural cycle (production, processing, storage, and trade of agricultural products). It cultivates over 70,000 hectares of land in the Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Kharkiv regions. Its main crops are sunflower, corn, winter wheat, soybeans, and rapeseed. It has its own network of elevators with a total storage capacity of 570,000 tons.

The group also produces hybrid seeds of corn, sunflower, barley, and winter wheat. In 2014, a seed plant with a capacity of 20,000 tons of seeds per year was built on the basis of the Kolos seed farm (Kharkiv region). In 2018, Agrotrade launched its own brand, Agroseeds.

The founder of Agrotrade is Vsevolod Kozhemyako.

Kyivstar increased revenue by 49.5% and doubled capital investments to UAH 2.4 bln

Kyivstar, Ukraine’s largest mobile operator, increased its revenue by 49.5% in January-March 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, to UAH 10.72 billion, doubling its investments to UAH 2.42 billion.
According to the financial statements published by the parent company VEON, the operator’s revenue in the first quarter increased by 36.9% in dollar terms, to $257 million.

Kyivstar’s revenue for the first quarter of 2025 grew by 49.5% thanks to an increase in ARPU (average revenue per user), which rose by 53.9% to UAH 140.6.
“These impressive results were achieved thanks to price adjustments, the stability of the 4G base, and the growing adoption of Kyivstar’s digital services, which in turn led to an increase in mobile internet consumption.

The dynamic revenue growth reflects the effective recovery from last year’s cyberattack,” VEON said in a statement.
The bulk of Kyivstar’s revenue in the reporting period came from telecom services, which grew by 47.8% to UAH 10.39 billion. However, revenue from digital services increased 2.4 times to UAH 329 million.

EBITDA increased by 64.2% to UAH 5.95 billion, and EBITDA margin increased by 5 percentage points (pp) to 55.6%. In dollar terms, EBITDA grew by 50.6% to $143 million. EBIT increased by 99% to UAH 4.18 billion, and EBIT margin by 9.8 p.p. to 39.1%.

Kyivstar’s subscriber base decreased by 4.9% to 22 million subscribers in the first quarter of 2025. The 4G subscriber base also decreased by 4.3% to 14.3 million.

“The decrease in the number of 4G users is mainly due to the overall decline in mobile subscribers. This was more than offset by a 21.2% increase in data consumption per user and an increase in the number of roaming subscribers,” VEON said in a statement.

Kyivstar recorded a 21.2% increase in data usage (the amount of gigabytes consumed by users) in January-March, to 11.4 GB. The digital MAU (Monthly Active Users) indicator grew by 32.9% to 10.3 million.

During the same period, the revenue of the Helsi digital platform grew by 41% compared to the same period last year. At the end of the first quarter, the platform had 1.8 million app users, which is 30% more than in the first quarter of last year. The number of medical professionals on the platform also increased by 3% compared to the same period last year. As of the end of March, the number of active doctors on the platform reached 39,000.

Kyivstar TV showed impressive revenue growth of 177%, thanks to a 34.9% increase in subscribers compared to the same period last year. The growth was driven by attractive content offerings, including the exclusive launch of the Setanta Premium sports channel and an updated sports section in the app, VEON said. Ukrainian-language content now accounts for 81% of the platform’s catalog. In addition, the Kyivstar TV app has expanded its reach with the launch on Xbox devices.

Kyivstar’s capital investments in January-March increased by 126% to UAH 2.42 billion and were mainly directed towards strengthening the network’s energy resilience and expanding 4G coverage.

Ukraine imported $279 mln worth of transformers from China in January-April

Imports of transformers, inductors, and chokes to Ukraine in January-April 2025 increased 2.5 times compared to the same period in 2024, reaching $338 million, according to statistics from the State Customs Service.

According to published data, during this period, products were imported mainly from China, worth $279 million (82.5% of all imports of these goods), while a year earlier, transformers and chokes worth $66.1 million (48.4%) were imported from this country, i.e., imports increased 4.2 times.

In addition, transformers were imported from Germany ($17.4 million) and Turkey ($13.9 million), while in January-April 2024, imports from Turkey amounted to $37.1 million, and from Italy – almost $5 million. In particular, in April, imports of this equipment increased by 50% compared to the same month last year, but decreased by 22.3% compared to March this year, to $55.2 million. China’s share was 48.7%.

At the same time, Ukraine exported transformers, inductors, and chokes worth $8.37 million in the first four months of this year, compared to $5.64 million last year, mainly to Germany, Hungary, and Poland.

According to the State Customs Service, imports of transformers, inductance coils, and chokes in 2024 more than doubled compared to 2023, reaching $596.11 million, with imports from China increasing 2.5 times to $400.48 million.

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Current funding for science does not allow Ukrainian scientists to protect intellectual property rights abroad

The conditions for funding scientific research do not allow Ukrainian scientists to fully protect their intellectual property rights and developments abroad, according to Oleg Zadorozhny, senior researcher at the Filatov Institute of Eye Diseases and Tissue Therapy in Odessa, National Academy of Medical Sciences of Ukraine.

“Patents for all our developments are mainly patents within Ukraine. As for obtaining intellectual property rights abroad, this is a more complex issue that requires tens of times more financial resources. The conditions for financing scientific research do not yet allow for the full protection of intellectual property rights abroad,” he said in an interview with the Interfax-Ukraine news agency.

He noted that publishing in the most authoritative scientific journals also requires significant funding. “But we manage to find opportunities to publish our results in leading scientific journals in Europe and the US, introducing the scientific community to our developments and thus confirming the priority of Ukrainian science,” he said.

At the same time, Zadorozhny added that even in wartime, the institute manages to present itself at the international level, including by participating, in particular remotely, in major international scientific events and conferences, as well as holding the annual international conference “Filatov Readings.”

Source: https://interfax.com.ua/news/interview/1071616.html?utm_source=telegram

Tractor imports to Ukraine fell by 2.6% in January–April

Tractor imports to Ukraine in January–April 2025 amounted to $294.2 million, which is 2.6% less than in the same period of 2024, according to statistics from the State Customs Service (SCS).

According to published statistics, tractors were mainly imported from the United States (21.3% of total imports of this equipment, or $62.5 million), Germany (16.8% or $52.2 million), and China (16% or $47.3 million), while a year earlier it was Germany ($49.34 million), the Netherlands ($38.6 million), and Poland ($37 million).

In April of this year, tractor imports decreased by 2.1% compared to April 2024, to $85.1 million, while in March, the increase was 13.3% compared to March 2024, amounting to $98.62 million.

According to statistics, only $1.63 million worth of tractors were exported in the first four months of this year, mainly to Romania, Zambia, and Germany.

As reported, tractor imports to Ukraine in 2024 amounted to almost $784 million, 5.6% less than a year earlier, while exports amounted to $5.44 million compared to $5.74 million.

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Review and forecast of the hryvnia exchange rate against key currencies

Issue No. 1 – May 2025

Analysis of the current situation on the Ukrainian currency market

In early May, the Ukrainian currency market entered a phase of controlled volatility, with no excessive demand but heightened speculative expectations.

Overall, the situation remains relatively stable in the US dollar segment and tense in the euro segment.

Key facts and drivers:

Ø The dollar continues to trend downward, pressured by global rhetoric about Fed rate cuts and risks of stagnation in the US economy.

Ø The euro, on the contrary, continues to rise in price due to the European currency’s economic strength, pent-up demand for imports, and structural changes in currency preferences and preferences of businesses and the population toward the euro.

Ø The spread between the buying and selling of the euro remains at an abnormally high level of 1.5–2 UAH, signaling increased nervousness among market operators and expectations of further movement.

Internal factors

Ø The NBU continued its policy of cautious easing of currency restrictions in May: certain forward transactions for banks and clients were resumed, and the possibilities for financing foreign representative offices of companies and settlements with corporate cards abroad were expanded. At the same time, the monthly limit of UAH 500,000 was extended to more categories of transactions, which will partially reduce the attractiveness and weight of “gray” channels for capital withdrawal. This will add transparency to the market, and foreign exchange market statistics will become more representative due to the accurate and complete reflection of information on currency movements.

Ø At the same time, the NBU’s foreign exchange reserves rose to a record $46.7 billion (+10.1% in April) thanks to funds received from the EU (ERA Loans program) and the World Bank. The reduction in the volume of NBU interventions and net currency purchases by the population strengthened stability on the interbank market and helped keep the official and market exchange rates within the forecast range.

Ø The approaching tax payment period, as well as seasonal intensification of operations in the energy sector and imports of energy carriers, will add liquidity to the market, but are unlikely to lead to significant exchange rate fluctuations provided that key current conditions remain unchanged.

Ø Consumer inflation began to slow down in April, and the NBU expects it to fall to single digits as early as summer. This reduces pressure on the hryvnia, but the level of core inflation and the risks of a tariff shock remain compelling arguments against premature relaxation.

International factors

Ø At the global level, the situation remains ambiguous. The Fed has not changed its key rate, but continues to exchange information cautiously, given inflation risks, unemployment, and the threat of stagflation due to the Trump administration’s tariff policy. The “soft landing” scenario remains the baseline, but unwavering global confidence in the dollar is gradually eroding.

Ø At the same time, the euro is consolidating as a currency increasingly used in global trade. The potential strengthening of the EU’s political center, the acceleration of economic growth in the eurozone, the increase in consumption of European products in Ukraine, and the transition of many contracts to the euro are creating stable long-term demand.

Ø Stock and commodity markets are showing cautious optimism, with investors locking in profits after news of a possible deal between the US and the UK, as well as taking into account the likely resumption of negotiations and at least a temporary halt to Russian fire against Ukraine. However, market volatility remains high, with the global news background not conducive to predictability and stabilization.

Overview of currency dynamics and forecast

US dollar exchange rate: dynamics and analysis

In May, the dollar continued to trade in a relatively narrow range against the hryvnia, showing slight volatility and stable demand. The hryvnia gradually strengthened at the beginning of the month.

The exchange rate in the cash segment remained within the range of UAH 41.00–41.90/USD over the last four weeks, peaking on April 30, when the average selling rate in banks reached UAH 41.89/USD and the buying rate reached UAH 41.21/USD. This movement was fully synchronized with the official NBU exchange rate, indicating that the regulator’s policy is in line with market realities.

At the same time, average spreads between buying and selling rates remain stable (within 60–70 kopecks), without significant expansion, confirming the balance in the currency market and sufficient competition among its operators, particularly in the cash segment.

On the interbank market, the volume of foreign exchange transactions decreased, but the NBU’s interventions also declined, which suggests that the market is partially self-balancing without excessive involvement of the regulator.

Technical and psychological support for the market is provided by the growth of international reserves to $46.7 billion (+10% in April), which creates an additional buffer for the “managed flexibility” policy.

At the global level, the dollar remains under pressure due to fears of stagflation in the US economy. The Fed’s unchanged rate and Jerome Powell’s statement that there are no sufficient grounds for a rate cut in the near future are holding back the dollar’s decline, but are not creating preconditions for its strengthening. This situation does not create strong external pressure on the hryvnia exchange rate.

Forecast for the near term:

Ø Short term (2–4 weeks): the exchange rate will remain within the range of 41.20–41.80 UAH/USD with local fluctuations of ±20 kopecks under the influence of situational factors, provided that the current circumstances remain unchanged.

Ø Medium term (2–4 months): the exchange rate may remain stable or shift to 41.80–42.50 UAH/USD under the influence of moderate devaluation. The stabilization of the security situation could become a serious psychological factor influencing the market, driving consumption and stimulating business recovery.

Ø Long term (6+ months): the trend towards a slow devaluation of the hryvnia remains, as do its underlying factors, especially given the projected decline in international aid in 2026 and the increase in the budgetary burden. The target range is UAH 43.00–45.00/EUR in the event of the least favorable scenario.

Euro exchange rate

The euro exchange rate against the hryvnia in April and the first ten days of May showed a clearly volatile trajectory. Starting from April 15, the euro rose steadily, reaching a peak of 48.14 UAH/EUR at the end of April. This was the highest level in the last six months. After that, the market began to correct itself, and by mid-May, the euro had fallen back to 47.10 UAH (selling) and 46.20 UAH (buying).

The spread between buying and selling rates in the cash segment narrowed from 2 UAH to 0.6-1 UAH by mid-May, which is an important indicator of a decrease in nervousness and unpredictability of the exchange rate, as a result of which market operators stopped including increased risk and agitation premiums in their quotations.

Currently, market operators are still leaving themselves room for maneuver in anticipation of further fluctuations in the euro, as indicated by the slight lag of the official exchange rate behind real market quotations. The spread between the euro’s buying and selling rates is roughly equal to the NBU rate at 30-40 kopecks, which, if the trend continues, may indicate that currency market operators in all segments expect the euro to fall in the coming weeks.

The slowdown in the US economy, high uncertainty in negotiations on international customs agreements, volatility in the stock and commodity markets, and the rhetoric of the Fed all play in favor of the euro as a relatively stable alternative to the dollar, both globally and locally in Ukraine.

Forecast

  • In the short term (2–4 weeks): consolidation in the range of 46.50–47.80 UAH/EUR can be expected, with potential short-term jumps in response to external news or changes in the supply of currency on the market.
  • In the medium term (2–4 months): if the global economic situation remains stable and the current balance between supply and demand is maintained, as well as under the influence of internal devaluation factors, there is a high probability that the euro will move towards 48.50 UAH/EUR.
  • Long term (6+ months): the euro has more structural preconditions for growth than the dollar, both in the context of trade restructuring and the shift in demand from the dollar to the euro, and in portfolio savings strategies. We are still refraining from providing a long-term forecast for the euro, but given its high volatility, we recommend carefully measuring and keeping a close eye on the share of this currency in individual currency portfolios.

Recommendations for businesses and investors

In light of the growth of the NBU’s reserves, the decline in consumer inflation, the stabilization of the dollar market, and the continued volatility of the euro/hryvnia pair, currency risk management strategies should be reviewed.

1. Liquidity is paramount.

The coming months will remain a period of controlled volatility. The primary task is to ensure quick access to foreign currency funds in any scenario. Long-term deposits, illiquid assets, and single currency exposure increase risks. All instruments should be subject to prompt review or withdrawal.

2. Adjust the share of the euro.

After rapid growth and peak values at the end of April, the euro entered a correction phase. The potential for growth remains in the medium term, but now is not the time for active position building. New exchange rate impulses should be closely monitored to avoid risks and choose the right moment for new transactions.

3. Currency interventions are a marker of stability.

The volume of NBU interventions is a sign of the market’s ability to self-regulate and maintain balance. Focus on exchange rate ranges without emotional reactions to news: the market is becoming less responsive to isolated information leaks and has developed a certain immunity to them.

4. Do not stick to fixed currency “rules.”

The hryvnia remains at risk of devaluation, but in the short term, the exchange rate is stable. This is not a reason to get rid of dollars, but it is also not a reason to buy currency en masse. Switch to scenario planning: 3–4 alternative scenarios with adaptive asset allocation for each of them.

5. Be cautious in short-term speculation.

Especially in the EUR/UAH pair. Even if the euro falls to 47 UAH, the margin is too small for comfortable trading. The potential return does not match the market risks without precise timing and liquidity. Most players are better off refraining from short bets.

6. Control the share of hryvnia.

Despite the stability, it is not worth accumulating excess hryvnia liquidity. Anything above the functional amount should be immediately transferred to instruments with a fixed exchange rate (for example, to a multi-currency structure or reserve).

7. Monitoring spreads is a new skill.

In the euro market, it is spreads, not absolute exchange rates, that have become the main indicator of nervousness and expectations among operators in recent weeks. They are more useful for forecasting than the exchange rate itself. In the event of a sharp expansion, it is better not to enter the currency, and in the event of a contraction, you should look for a comfort zone for placements or short maneuvers.

This material has been prepared by the company’s analysts and reflects their expert, analytical, and professional judgment. The information presented in this review is for informational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation for action.

The company and its analysts make no representations and assume no responsibility for any consequences arising from the use of this information.

All information is provided “as is,” without any additional guarantees of completeness, timeliness, or updating or supplementation. Users of this material should independently assess the risks and make informed decisions based on their own assessment and analysis of the situation from various available sources that they themselves consider sufficiently qualified.

Before making any investment decisions, we recommend consulting with an independent financial advisor.

REFERENCE

KYT Group is an international multi-service FinTech company that has been successfully operating in the non-bank financial services market for 16 years. One of the company’s flagship activities is currency exchange. KYT Group is one of the largest operators in this segment of the Ukrainian financial market, is included in the list of the largest taxpayers, and is one of the industry leaders in terms of asset growth and equity capital.

More than 90 branches in 16 major cities of Ukraine are located in convenient locations for customers and are equipped with modern equipment for the convenience, security, and confidentiality of each transaction.

The company’s activities comply with the regulatory requirements of the National Bank of Ukraine. KYТ Group adheres to EU standards of operation, with branches in Poland and plans for cross-border expansion into other European countries.

 

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