Business news from Ukraine

Business news from Ukraine

U.S. discusses a peace agreement on Ukraine by March – Reuters

The United States and Ukraine discussed during talks an “ambitious goal” of agreeing on a draft peace agreement with Russia by March 2026, although the timeline could shift due to the lack of agreements on key issues, Reuters reported, citing sources familiar with the course of the consultations.

According to the agency, the framework under discussion envisages putting a possible agreement to a nationwide referendum in Ukraine and holding nationwide elections on the same day. Two Reuters sources said May was discussed as a benchmark, however several interlocutors called such a schedule “fantastic.”

Reuters separately points to practical and legal constraints: holding nationwide elections in Ukraine is prohibited during martial law, and election organizers previously assessed that preparing a vote under current conditions would require about six months and legislative changes. In addition, Kyiv, according to the agency’s sources, insists that a ceasefire regime is needed for the campaign in order to ensure the integrity of the vote.

In parallel, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said the United States would like to find a solution to end the war “by summer,” and Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha told Reuters that Kyiv seeks to speed up the negotiation process, calling the U.S. role key to reaching a final agreement.

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Logistical constraints shift EU corn imports away from Ukraine

Logistical constraints related to the war are leading to a redistribution of corn imports to the European Union in favor of alternative suppliers, with Ukraine’s share in the 2025/26 season declining significantly, according to a review by S&P Global Commodity Insights (Platts).
According to S&P Global Market Intelligence Global Trade Analytics Suite (GTAS), corn imports to the EU in the 2024/25 marketing year amounted to 18.79 million tons, compared to 19.83 million tons in 2023/24, and GTAS forecasts an increase in imports to 21 million tons in 2025/26.
S&P notes that, on average over five years, Ukraine remained the dominant supplier of corn to the EU, supplying about 9.7 million tons per year (53.5% of imports), but in the 2025/26 marketing year (July-June), the structure of supplies changed: Brazil’s share grew to 40%, the US’s share rose to 28.3%, while Ukraine’s share fell to 22.4%.
Market participants reported delays in receiving contracted Ukrainian corn, which led buyers to switch more actively to Brazil and the US. Market participants cited the EU-Mercosur trade agenda as an additional factor in choosing the origin of products.
Spain, the Netherlands, and Italy remain among the largest corn importers in the EU. According to the European Commission, Spain imported 7.2 million tons in 2024/25 MY (7.6 million tons in 2023/24), the Netherlands imported 3.3 million tons (2.6 million tons), and Italy imported 2.8 million tons (2.1 million tons).
At the same time, Spain, as a price-sensitive market, has recently switched to more competitively priced American corn, while Ukrainian corn was relatively expensive amid high demand from Turkey, the review says.
Platts price benchmarks for February 3: feed corn ex-works Tarragona (Spain) – €213/t with loading between February 3 and March 5, Ukrainian corn – $223/t FOB POC (Odessa-Pivdenny-Chernomorsk ports) with loading between March 3 and 17, Brazilian corn – $210.81/t FOB Santos with loading in August.

 

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Leader of Servant of People party estimated cost of holding elections in Ukraine at UAH 6 bln

The leader of the Servant of the People party, First Deputy Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada Oleksandr Kornienko, estimates the cost of holding elections in Ukraine at UAH 6 billion.

“There are no complicated calculations here, since 90% of these costs are the salaries of commission members. Since the last elections, the 2019 parliamentary elections, the minimum wage and average salary have increased by several thousand hryvnia, and some indicators have doubled. Therefore, if elections previously cost UAH 2.5-3 billion, then simply multiplying that figure by two, the current cost would be UAH 6 billion,” Kornienko said in an interview with the Azerbaijani news agency Report.

He also noted a number of issues related to compensation for commission members abroad. “How can this be implemented? If, for example, we follow our regulations, some of these people will be there, and some may be on business trips. These are all additional expenses. So, these issues remain unresolved,” said the first deputy speaker.

According to Kornienko, partner countries “understand that they will finance these elections.”

“We are negotiating with them,” he said.

At the same time, the party leader said that he would not like to discuss the issue of election participants, since “there are more pressing problems in the country right now, such as the energy crisis.”

“Unfortunately, the aggressor country has deprived us of both democracy and the opportunity to hold elections on time… Let’s see how events unfold, including political ones. Now we need to do everything we can to at least be able to hold these elections,” Kornienko concluded.

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Analysis of Ukraine’s Land Market

The number of large landowners among companies has decreased by one third since the opening of the land market in Ukraine. This was reported by the information and analytical center Experts Club with reference to a study conducted by OpenDataBot on the basis of data from the State Land Cadastre. Thus, 91 companies reduced their land banks to a level of less than 100 hectares over two years. 31% of all land plots owned by businesses are held by 10 landowning companies. Currently, 192 companies own land banks of more than 100 hectares.

There are currently 192 companies in Ukraine whose ownership includes more than 100 hectares of land. For comparison, at the time the land market opened in 2024, there were 283 such companies. During 2024, the list of large landowners decreased by 51 companies, and last year by another 40 companies.

Under conditions of uncertainty, destruction of infrastructure, the difficulty of demining territories, and problems with logistics, large companies are in no hurry to increase their land banks, which explains the reduction in the number of large landowners, Denis Marchuk explains.

“For big business, buying land is an investment for decades and billion-scale вложення. Under the current conditions of war, these funds are more often directed to supporting working capital, covering logistical and export risks, and restoring damaged infrastructure (elevators, warehouses, machinery, etc.). Currently, business chooses a mobility model—leasing instead of ownership. This makes it possible to respond faster to risks and change regions of presence. Land is bought mainly by those players who clearly plan long-term work and choose regions with lower risks, which explains the significant difference in prices between western and southern Ukraine,” — Denis Marchuk, Deputy Head of the All-Ukrainian Agrarian Council.

Almost one third of Ukrainian land owned by business is held by only 10 companies. In total, this top ten owns 18,344.98 hectares. However, even within the list of leaders there is a large gap: the largest landowning company, the agricultural firm Svitanok, has 10 times more land than the company Kuialnyk, which closes the top ten.

“For Ukraine, this is a historically normal structure of the agricultural sector, when 20–25% of the market falls to big business. The key problem is not concentration as such, but access of small and medium-sized businesses to financial resources. With the availability of affordable lending, they can compete fully, in particular through auctions of state land,” Denis Marchuk believes.

The leader in reducing its land bank was the company Zemletrade: from 3,161.47 hectares to 733.57 hectares, that is, almost four times. The company Agroforest reduced its areas by 8.6 times—from 1,803.09 hectares to 210.44 hectares. At the same time, 103 companies did not change the area of their land holdings at all.

38 companies from the list of large landowners are registered in Kyiv Oblast. Another 28 companies are registered in Kirovohrad Oblast, and the same number—directly in Kyiv. At the same time, in Ivano-Frankivsk, Rivne, and Chernivtsi oblasts, large landowners among companies are absent.

It is worth noting that some of the companies from the list of the largest landowners are registered in territories affected by the war. Thus, 16 companies are registered in temporarily occupied territories. 4 companies are registered in zones of active hostilities where state electronic information resources continue to function. And 14 companies are located in territories of possible hostilities.

67% of large landowners operate in the field of agriculture—129 companies. Another 33 companies, or 17%, are associated with real estate operations. In the field of public administration and defense, 11 companies operate; in wholesale trade—4; in the financial sector—3 companies. Among large landowners there are also two companies included in the OpenDataBot Index for 2025. These are Ukreximbank and Oschadbank, which own land plots with an area of more than 100 hectares.

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Ukrainian team will travel to UAE for negotiations on evening of February 2, Zelensky said

In an evening address, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that the Ukrainian negotiating team will hold a preparatory meeting tomorrow to agree on the framework for future negotiations and all organizational details, and on Monday, February 2, will travel to the United Arab Emirates to participate in trilateral negotiations scheduled for Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

“There was a report from our negotiating team. An agreement has already been reached on a trilateral meeting at the appropriate level. This meeting will take place next week, as planned, on Wednesday and Thursday. In the Emirates, as last time,” Zelensky emphasized.

Zelensky added that a meeting is scheduled for Monday to agree on the framework for the talks and prepare for the negotiations, and the team will set off on Monday evening.

“Many leaders and different countries are with us in this process, supporting Ukraine, and we are coordinating on a daily basis. In February, we will be quite active in foreign policy, and starting tomorrow, we will have contacts and meetings,” the president said in a statement.

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Netherlands, China, and Egypt are leading suppliers of onions to Ukraine in 2025

In 2025, Ukraine increased onion imports by 3.2% compared to 2024, to 23.16 thousand tons, and in monetary terms, imports grew by 18.1%, to $29.71 million, according to the State Customs Service.

The largest suppliers of onions to Ukraine at the end of the year were the Netherlands (34.22% of supplies in monetary terms), China (29.68%), and Egypt (12.89%).

 

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